Odds GOP wins 2016 Presidential Election if Clinton doesn't run (user search)
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  Odds GOP wins 2016 Presidential Election if Clinton doesn't run (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What are the odds that the GOP wins 2016 Presidential Election if Clinton doesn't run?
#1
0-25		  
#2
25-40		  
#3
40-49		  
#4
50-65		  
#5
65+		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 72

Author Topic: Odds GOP wins 2016 Presidential Election if Clinton doesn't run  (Read 3984 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: May 25, 2014, 06:14:15 AM »
40-49% percent chance due to the Kerry-Gore fire wall States. Add NV, CO, NH, OH, Va and FL that gets us across the 270 mark. We will have more of a challenge, because the House won't be in play without Hillary. But we can and shall get to 270 even with Biden or Schweizer not OMalley.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2014, 03:59:37 PM »
« Edited: May 25, 2014, 04:04:14 PM by OC »
The odds of recapturing the House will be prominent should there be no Clinton or Obama on the ticket.  The only base voters that appeal to the GOP voters are conservative Mexicans. 2000 and 2004 would of made a 3rd term Clinton and Gore received a plurality of the vote. Blks will never vote in that high number for a GOP candidate that Dubya got. The GOP have a 51% chance of winning the WH without the Kerry/gore fire wall excluding WI with Walker.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2014, 05:46:32 PM »
« Edited: May 25, 2014, 05:56:25 PM by OC »
The Dems have a core group of voters that are single women, minority. voters that by no means will sit out any election even with Obama or Clinton off the ticket. The Dems will ensure that they win at the very least Kerry or Gore States which is 48.5% of the vote.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: May 25, 2014, 06:07:17 PM »
Brian Schwiezer would be my second choice to a Hillary Clinton ticket.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: May 26, 2014, 05:41:18 AM »
« Edited: May 26, 2014, 05:43:12 AM by OC »
The media likes the thought of political dynasties. Bushes, Clinton's and Cuomos but once they find something in their closet, they have something to critique. Jeb is likeable as opposed to Cuomo who seems mean.
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