Odds GOP wins 2016 Presidential Election if Clinton doesn't run

[Devils30]

I think dems would be a slight favorite. Obamas approvals even right now are nowhere near Bush numbers and the GOP likely will hit a demographic wall around 48.5%. The GOP is making a mistake by believing just putting Paul and walker up there that victory is a given. Eventually a democratic candidate will develop the universal name recognition that Hillary has. Without improvement among minorities the GOP needs about 61-62% of whites which is not an easy task. GOP has the bigger names if Hillary doesn't run to id expect them to lead early polls.

[Devils30]

What exactly makes people think the GOP is in great shape with jeb? The democrats can rather easily remind people of the way his brother wrecked the country. Don't think there's much nostalgia for W.