IL-12, Tarrance Group: Bost in the lead

[krazen1211]

Link


Bost 43
Eynart 37



Great news! Bost is known as a great defender of liberty and freedom.

[DrScholl]

I know that's a lie. He's got no money and he's a raging nutcase that goes off on violent rants on the state house floor.

[Gass3268]

Illinois house polls were so off last cycle.

[Miles]

Like a Bost.

[publicunofficial]

Tarrance Group is a firm you hire to put you in the lead. They had Horsford down 10 points last cycle.

[free my dawg]

If a shill firm is putting Bost up by only 6, Enyart should be looking good.

[muon2]

I know that's a lie. He's got no money and he's a raging nutcase that goes off on violent rants on the state house floor.

He raised more than Enyart in the 1st quarter and you are overplaying the effect of a single viral video. The district (and state) has a very different view of the candidates than the country. Check with his Dem colleagues in the IL House (especially those in So. IL) if you doubt it.

[GaussLaw]

If anything, wouldn't the video help him?  People in downstate IL don't like Chicago politics or Mike Madigan.

[DrScholl]

I know that's a lie. He's got no money and he's a raging nutcase that goes off on violent rants on the state house floor.

He raised more than Enyart in the 1st quarter and you are overplaying the effect of a single viral video. The district (and state) has a very different view of the candidates than the country. Check with his Dem colleagues in the IL House (especially those in So. IL) if you doubt it.

COH counts for something and Enyart has a lot more than Bost. IL-12 is a seat that Obama won and a video like that doesn't help a Republican candidate in a seat like this. Downballot, it's even more Democratic.

If anything, wouldn't the video help him?  People in downstate IL don't like Chicago politics or Mike Madigan.

If he was in IL-18, it would help him, but in swing district, violent rants caught on video are rarely helpful.