Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush vs. Bernie Sanders

[Frodo]

This is assuming Bernie Sanders decides to run in the general election as an independent candidate as opposed to joining the Democratic Party with the purpose of running a primary campaign against Hillary Clinton. 

[Donerail]

Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.

[Frodo]

Also, as always, maps are welcomed.  I am curious to see if Bernie Sanders' entry to the race would result in prediction maps that are any different to the ones posted in my earlier poll.

[IceSpear]

Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.

Florida is a safe R state?

Hillary, of course.

[Niemeyerite]

Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.

Florida is a safe R state?

Hillary, of course.

Bush was Governor there and Hillary and bernie would split the dem. and liberal vote. So I think SJoyce is right.

Bernie, of course.

[DINGO Joe]

Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.

Florida is a safe R state?

Hillary, of course.

Bush was Governor there and Hillary and bernie would split the dem. and liberal vote. So I think SJoyce is right.

Bernie, of course.

I don't think that's how "safe" is defined.  Safe is when one candidate can be expected to get over 50% of the vote. 

[Mr. Illini]

Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.

Florida is a safe R state?

Hillary, of course.

Bush was Governor there and Hillary and bernie would split the dem. and liberal vote. So I think SJoyce is right.

Bernie, of course.

So he will vote to split the Dem because Hillary and Bernie will split the Dem?

[Donerail]

Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.

Florida is a safe R state?

Hillary, of course.

Bush was Governor there and Hillary and bernie would split the dem. and liberal vote. So I think SJoyce is right.

Bernie, of course.

I don't think that's how "safe" is defined.  Safe is when one candidate can be expected to get over 50% of the vote. 

I can't think of any way where Jeb doesn't win under this scenario. That makes it safe.

[MATTROSE94]

Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.

Florida is a safe R state?

Hillary, of course.

Bush was Governor there and Hillary and bernie would split the dem. and liberal vote. So I think SJoyce is right.

Bernie, of course.

I don't think that's how "safe" is defined.  Safe is when one candidate can be expected to get over 50% of the vote. 

I can't think of any way where Jeb doesn't win under this scenario. That makes it safe.

He would win, but I doubt he would receive more than 55-60% of the vote in Florida.

[Mr. Illini]

Bush 318/Hillary 216/Sanders 4

Sanders % in selected states
Vermont 38% (W)
New Hampshire 21% (Bush - 44%)
Massachusetts 25% (Hillary - 40%)
Pennsylvania 18% (Bush -  43%)
Illinois 14% (Hillary - 46%)
Mississippi 3% (Bush - 51%)
Wyoming 6% (Bush - 61%)
California 19% (Hillary - 45%)

This was interesting.

[Consciously Unconscious]

I'd probably end up voting for Bush.  Depending on how strong Sanders' campaign was, Clinton would probably win narrowly.

[henster]

Sorry Sanders ain't getting more than 2% of the vote he would have no money or organization and has very low recognition he poses no threat to Hillary.

[TarHeelDem]

Gotta keep Jeb away from the presidency. I like Sanders, but I don't mind Clinton either, so I'd vote to secure NC's 15 electoral votes for her.

[Mister Mets]

I don't see Bernie getting more than two percent of the vote, which is unlikely to affect the election. The closer the election looks the less support Sanders gets, especially against W's brother. I also wouldn't expect Sanders' showing in Vermont to be much bigger than Gary Johnson's showing in New Mexico, but even if it was 15%, it wouldn't change how that state goes.

[IceSpear]

Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.

Florida is a safe R state?

Hillary, of course.

Bush was Governor there and Hillary and bernie would split the dem. and liberal vote. So I think SJoyce is right.

Bernie, of course.

Well, it depends what type of third party Sanders would be. Would he be a Nader like candidate who attracts only a few percent? If that's the case, he would only have an impact in the closest of states, so Hillary would still be in decent shape. Of course, if it ends up being a Perot-like candidate, Bush's victory would be certain, with the only question being the margin. I'm much more inclined to believe the former than the latter, since the latter would require vast discontent about Hillary in the Democratic Party, which is not present at the moment.

Of course, this is all academic anyway, since Sanders stated that if he ran it would be in the Democratic primary, not as an independent.

[Frodo]

Time to revive this in light of recent events....

[Maxwell]

Bernie Sanders, cause no more Bush's

[henster]

Sanders is not Perot he has no money or fundraising base, I seriously doubt he could raise more than 100 million necessary to be even be noticed in a Presidential race. He has very little name recognition outside of Vermont.

[SWE]

Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.

Florida is a safe R state?

Hillary, of course.

Bush was Governor there and Hillary and bernie would split the dem. and liberal vote. So I think SJoyce is right.

Bernie, of course.

Well, it depends what type of third party Sanders would be. Would he be a Nader like candidate who attracts only a few percent? If that's the case, he would only have an impact in the closest of states, so Hillary would still be in decent shape. Of course, if it ends up being a Perot-like candidate, Bush's victory would be certain, with the only question being the margin. I'm much more inclined to believe the former than the latter, since the latter would require vast discontent about Hillary in the Democratic Party, which is not present at the moment.

Of course, this is all academic anyway, since Sanders stated that if he ran it would be in the Democratic primary, not as an independent.

Not all of Sanders votes have to come out of the Democratic party. There's left-leaning independents, of course, and he could benefit from general discontent with the political system,  with many potentially upset at the idea of the race being between a Clinton and a Bush.