MO-Sen 2016: Blunt vs. Nixon

[Suburbia]

If the 2016 Missouri U.S. Senate election was between Gov. Jay Nixon, and U.S. Sen. Roy Blunt, who would win, in what most political analysts think will be a realistic showdown? Also, if you can show a results map of Missouri?

[MATTROSE94]

I think that Jay Nixon would probably win, as even though Missouri is turning into a solid Republican state, Roy Blunt isn't that popular and did not accomplish much in the Senate. On a side note, I think that Claire McCaskill is likely to be defeated by Matt Blunt in 2018 regardless of how the midterms shape up that year.

[TX Conservative Dem]

So you're betting McCaskill goes down in flames come 2018 ?

[MATTROSE94]

So you're betting McCaskill goes down in flames come 2018 ?

I have a feeling that Claire McCaskill is going to be defeated in 2018. I think that the only thing that allowed her to remain in office is shear luck and timing, as she faced a very weak incumbent in 2006 (Jim Talent) and a far-right extremist in 2012 (Todd Akin). Even though Matt Blunt had an unremarkable term as Missouri Governor, he is a far superior candidate overall when compared to Jim Talent and Todd Akin.

[TX Conservative Dem]

If that happens, what odds do you have McCaskill running for the governorship again in 2016?

[Prince of Salem]

This is curious: in my upcoming story, this race will be made true

Casting my vote for the "winner"... hahaha.

[MATTROSE94]

If that happens, what odds do you have McCaskill running for the governorship again in 2016?

I see her retiring from public life if she loses re-election in 2018.

[TX Conservative Dem]

It's possible McCaskill goes for the governorship in 2016 to succeed Nixon. Her U.S. Senate seat ain't up until 2 years later.

[windjammer]

Well,
For Claire Mmccaskill, I would like to remind all of you the race was a toss up (maybe she was a slight underdog, but realy slight). Considering Clinton will definitely overperform Oobama in Missouri, I wouldn't count Mccaskill out.

Oh and, Nixon obviously, one of the best democratic governors.

EDIT: sorry, I didn't read the question. It would really a tight race, but Blunt would have a narrow advantage.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Matt Blunt is done with politics. His awkward and random rationalization for his resignation after one term, coupled with the fact that it is widely known throughout the state that he is in the closet and that's the real reason why he resigned, signals to me that he won't run in 2016 against Jay Nixon, who put enough fear into him to reinforce his resignation. I do, however, believe Jay will run for Papa Blunt's seat in 2016, which could be a real showdown, especially with Hillary on the top of the ticket.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Baby Blunt did NOT resign, he chose not to seek reelection in 2008 as MO Governor.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matt_Blunt

[Emperor Charles V]

Nixon wins. Like the 2000 Ashcroft v. Carnahan race without the plane crash.

[TX Conservative Dem]

That will depend IF Republicans keep the United States Senate in 2016 (since they're likely going to win back the Senate come this November).

[Suburbia]

If Nixon doesn't run, the Missouri Democrats may be in a hole. The treasurer, Clint Zweifel may run if Nixon doesn't, or Susan Montee, the former Auditor. But if Montee or Zwiefel doesn't run, the secretary of State Jason Kander should. He's young, former Army captain in Afghanistan, and moderate enough for the red-leaning state.

[Suburbia]

Nixon may have to rebuild his image with the African-American community in Missouri after the Ferguson, Missouri shooting situation, if he runs for Senate.. I won't be surprised if he didn't run.