SHOCK poll: Eric Cantor (R) in primary trouble !?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Um... wtf?

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

Any idea on who the new Majority Leader will be? Will Kevin McCarthy ascend up to the post?

Also, congratulations to Brat, I was following his campaign on Facebook, hope he makes for a good Congressman!

[Brittain33]

Just when the Republican primaries were starting to look boring... OMG.

Boehner must be laughing his ass off.

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

[cackles uncontrollably]

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Lay in the bed you made, Republicans. Thought you were safe with TEA Party backing, now they've turned on you in a matter of months. Way to go!

[Brittain33]

Don't feel bad for Cantor. He may never be the first Jewish speaker of the House, but he's going to become insanely rich earlier in his career than anticipated.

[Matty]

Will Brat have a democratic challenger?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Will Brat have a democratic challenger?

Yes, it's actually another professor from the college Brat teaches at. But this is a R+10 district, with Romney winning 57% of the 2012 vote and Cantor winning 58% of the 2012 vote, so even though Brat is a tea partier, this is definitely a Likely R if not Safe R race.

[Never]

Good, he was a douche.
And the dems have Jack Trammell.

I take it that you like Trammell.

Judge Smith and Willis Robertson lost in '66 when the Organization imploded. Apparently last time a House Majority Leader lost was ... 1899.

History got made in a surprisingly quick fashion tonight.

I didn't think that party leaders got knocked out anymore in the way Cantor was.

[RogueBeaver]

Never mind, no House Majority Leader has lost since position was created in 1899.

[King]

Never mind, no House Majority Leader has lost since position was created in 1899.

I was just about to say.

This is quite historic.

[free my dawg]

Will Brat have a democratic challenger?

Yes, it's actually another professor from the college Brat teaches at. But this is a R+10 district, with Romney winning 57% of the 2012 vote and Cantor winning 58% of the 2012 vote, so even though Brat is a tea partier, this is definitely a Likely R if not Safe R race.

Actually, Northam won VA-07 by a slim margin. It's more Democratic than McIntyre's district, so I'd imagine Democrats have a chance in this district. A very, very faint chance, but nevertheless a chance.

[justfollowingtheelections]

Don't feel bad for Cantor. He may never be the first Jewish speaker of the House, but he's going to become insanely rich earlier in his career than anticipated.

Isn't he already insanely rich?

Anyway, have we heard who will replace him as majority leader?

[StateBoiler]

Don't feel bad for Cantor. He may never be the first Jewish speaker of the House, but he's going to become insanely rich earlier in his career than anticipated.

Isn't he already insanely rich?

Anyway, have we heard who will replace him as majority leader?

That's the more important bit of this result in all honesty. He's not going to carry on as House Majority Leader as a lame duck, I doubt the party would let him anyway, but someone has to pick that up.

Was turnout low or high?

[Brittain33]

Don't feel bad for Cantor. He may never be the first Jewish speaker of the House, but he's going to become insanely rich earlier in his career than anticipated.

Isn't he already insanely rich?

It looks like he's in the low-to-mid 9 figures, which makes him quite comfortably rich by U.S. standards but only middle class in terms of Congressmen. He should be able to increase that by 5-10x as a lobbyist.

[Never]

Don't feel bad for Cantor. He may never be the first Jewish speaker of the House, but he's going to become insanely rich earlier in his career than anticipated.

Isn't he already insanely rich?

Anyway, have we heard who will replace him as majority leader?

Possibly Cathy McMorris Rodgers, for all we know, but that is just an educated guess. She seems like a reasonable candidate for the position, and is probablythe only representative in Republican House leadership right now who is capable of taking over the Majority Leader spot other than Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy.

[King]

You really to have to throw in guys like Justin Amash and Jason Chaffetz as empowered to move into leadership right now.

[muon2]

So if McCarthy ends up making a move I'll be watching my Rep Roskam to see what direction he chooses. As Chief Deputy Whip it would be natural to move up to Whip.

[The Mikado]

Don't feel bad for Cantor. He may never be the first Jewish speaker of the House, but he's going to become insanely rich earlier in his career than anticipated.

Isn't he already insanely rich?

It looks like he's in the low-to-mid 9 figures, which makes him quite comfortably rich by U.S. standards but only middle class in terms of Congressmen. He should be able to increase that by 5-10x as a lobbyist.

You must have added a few digits to that, because "low-to-mid 9 figures" would be in the hundreds of millions, i.e. Mitt Romney money.  Unless you're counting the numbers after the decimal point?

Anyway, this is the funniest thing to happen in politics in 2014.

[Mr. Morden]

He's not going to carry on as House Majority Leader as a lame duck, I doubt the party would let him anyway, but someone has to pick that up.

He's not?  I would have figured that he'll continue serving as Majority Leader until his term is up.  Otherwise, you have to reshuffle the entire leadership below Boehner, as everyone tries to move up to the next rung on the ladder.  Why have a distracting leadership battle like that right now?  It makes far more sense to hold off on that until November.

Unless Cantor has already made some kind of announcement to suggest that he'll step down as Majority Leader?

[Never]

You really to have to throw in guys like Justin Amash and Jason Chaffetz as empowered to move into leadership right now.

I can live with Chaffetz being Majority Leader, but Amash appears to be a loose cannon. Hopefully enough of the Republican House caucus would recognize this. McMorris-Rodgers might have enough clout with Tea Party congressmen to hold off any representatives who only align with the movement from gaining traction.

[RogueBeaver]

Hensarling allies are making moves. He, Price, Pete Sessions would be names to watch per Costa...

[Brittain33]

Don't feel bad for Cantor. He may never be the first Jewish speaker of the House, but he's going to become insanely rich earlier in his career than anticipated.

Isn't he already insanely rich?

It looks like he's in the low-to-mid 9 figures, which makes him quite comfortably rich by U.S. standards but only middle class in terms of Congressmen. He should be able to increase that by 5-10x as a lobbyist.

You must have added a few digits to that, because "low-to-mid 9 figures" would be in the hundreds of millions, i.e. Mitt Romney money.  Unless you're counting the numbers after the decimal point?

Brain fart, yes, I should have said 7 figures.

[doktorb]

Meh.  Cantor will win, that's what matters.

Yes it is...

[© tweed]

is it possible for him to run as an independent a la Murkowski or Lieberman?