Gephardt 2008
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Gephardt 2008
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Poll
Question: How would have ex-House Democratic Leader Richard Gephardt have done in 2008 if he ran for president
#1
Win Iowa caucuses
 
#2
Win New Hampshire primary
 
#3
Win South Carolina primary
 
#4
Lose Democratic nomination
 
#5
Drop out of race, old news and not what the Democrats needed in 2008
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 17

Author Topic: Gephardt 2008  (Read 864 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: May 20, 2014, 01:36:11 PM »

How would have former House Democratic leader Dick Gephardt have done if he ran for president a third time in 2008? Would he have won the nomination and the presidency?
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #1 on: May 20, 2014, 01:37:33 PM »

He would drop out before the Iowa Caucus. After finishing fourth place in the caucus in 04, he basically just became a joke.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2014, 08:01:41 PM »

Gephardt would get a cabinet spot in either an Obama or Hilary administration.

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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: May 23, 2014, 11:57:17 AM »

Gephardt would get a cabinet spot in either an Obama or Hilary administration.


Dick Gephardt would have made a pretty good Secretary of Labor in my opinion.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #4 on: June 09, 2014, 07:28:15 PM »

If Gephardt won the nomination in 2008, he probably would only win Missouri and Iowa by a squeaker over John McCain.  Florida would have been a little closer, but still in McCain's column, Gephardt would have picked former Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, while McCain would have probably picked Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty over Sarah Palin.


Former Missouri Representative and House Democratic Leader Richard Gephardt/Former Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack-270 EV
Arizona Senator John McCain/Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty-268 EV
or:
With a McCain-Palin ticket, McCain might have lost even more (winning IN, NC, losing NV, NM, OH, AR, VA, FL) but Gephardt would have still been a lackluster, old-fashioned campaigner.

Former Missouri Representative and House Democratic Leader Richard Gephardt/Former Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack-355 EV
Arizona Senator John McCain/Alaska Governor Sarah Palin-183 EV
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #5 on: June 09, 2014, 08:50:53 PM »

Gephardt probably drives Edwards out early, (which may or may not change the results in Iowa) but he doesn't change the Obama-Clinton dynamic (Only Al Gore and maybe John Kerry could have done that). He probably tops Clinton/Obama for second in Iowa, and loses the remaining states by progressively margins.

Unlike 2004, where he actually had a chance to be the nominee, here he's essentially battling for the Vice-Presidential nomination (and I can't see Obama picking him, as he would've immediately Clinton, whereas Biden remained neutral, which he had to hope Hillary Clinton became the nominee)
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