FL-St. Leo University: Bush leads Clinton, other Republicans trail

[Tender Branson]

In general election match-ups against six potential Republican nominees, Clinton would carry Florida against all of them – except Bush.

In trial heats:

Jeb Bush would defeat Hillary Clinton, 46-44 percent (2 points)

Clinton defeats former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, 47-40 percent (7 points)
Clinton defeats U.S. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, 49-41 percent (8 points)
Clinton defeats U.S. Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, 50-40 percent(10 points)
Clinton defeats U.S. Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky, 50-38 percent (12 points)
Clinton defeats U.S. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, 52-36 percent (16 points)

http://polls.saintleo.edu/florida-presidential-primary-preview-hillary-clinton-jeb-bush-florida-favorites

[eric82oslo]

Wow, Jeb Bush is really experiencing major momentum these days in Florida. Could it be because of all the dramatic grassroots tea party attacks on his perhaps two most basic policy views: Support for Common Core educational standards and support for major immigration reform? I think his star is probably rising rapidly among independent and Democratic voters due to these unreasonable attacks!

Even I see him in a much more positive light these days, and I've always been positive towards him. Well, at least recently. I was not positive towards him in 2000 and 2001, during the dramatic days of the presidental election and it's aftermath lol.

[Consciously Unconscious]

Bushmentum.  Seriously though.  Bush is leading the national polls and leading Clinton in Florida.  In a few months time, could Bush be where Christie was pre Bridgegate? 

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Can't believe the country will vote for another Bush. Someone please tell me something positive about Jeb so I don't have nightmares.

[IceSpear]

Bushmentum.  Seriously though.  Bush is leading the national polls and leading Clinton in Florida.  In a few months time, could Bush be where Christie was pre Bridgegate? 

The same pollster has her up 18 on Bush nationally.

[pbrower2a]

Can't believe the country will vote for another Bush. Someone please tell me something positive about Jeb so I don't have nightmares.

Favorite Son effect, good for about 10% in a state in which a politician has a local and positive record. Jeb at the lest (much unlike his brother) handled natural disasters well. It will be sixteen years since he helped foist a not-so-natural disaster (his brother) upon America. 

[Consciously Unconscious]

Bushmentum.  Seriously though.  Bush is leading the national polls and leading Clinton in Florida.  In a few months time, could Bush be where Christie was pre Bridgegate? 

The same pollster has her up 18 on Bush nationally.

I meant leading the primary, and I know he's trailing (by a lot) nationally.  I think once Clinton starts campaigning again he could close the gap. 

[IceSpear]

Bushmentum.  Seriously though.  Bush is leading the national polls and leading Clinton in Florida.  In a few months time, could Bush be where Christie was pre Bridgegate? 

The same pollster has her up 18 on Bush nationally.

I meant leading the primary, and I know he's trailing (by a lot) nationally.  I think once Clinton starts campaigning again he could close the gap. 

It will probably take a lot for any Republican to perform at Christie pre-Bridgegate levels. In the afterglow of his landslide win, he was actually leading Hillary nationally. Thank god for Bridgegate!

[eric82oslo]

At this point in time, Jeb Bush mostly seems to be a local star. He seems to have some star power in many other southern states as well, but in all other regions he seems to be treated like if he was W.'s identical twin. Which suggests one of two issues:

1) Either people simply don't know enough about him, his personal life and his political positions outside of Florida and/or the south
2) People's hatred for W. is still so intense that voters simply refuse to take a serious look at a candidate who happens to share W.'s last name

Probably it's a combination of the two I would guess, although W.'s image has recovered a lot during the last few years. Perhaps because he has, altogether, stayed out of the political limelight, which most voters, especially Democrats and independents, appreciate a lot [but I'm sure very many Republicans, whether moderate or conservative, do as well].

[Tender Branson]

St. Leo is not a tested pollster though and they had Sink winning by 9, when she actually lost.

Better trust SurveyUSA when it comes to FL Presidential polls, because SUSA has a great FL track record (showed Obama winning by 3 in 2008, he won by 3 and showed a tie in 2012, when Obama won FL by 1 point).

[Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez]

Bushmentum.  Seriously though.  Bush is leading the national polls and leading Clinton in Florida.  In a few months time, could Bush be where Christie was pre Bridgegate? 

I would say he's there now.  Christie is finished as the "establishment's" candidate.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Bushmentum.  Seriously though.  Bush is leading the national polls and leading Clinton in Florida.  In a few months time, could Bush be where Christie was pre Bridgegate? 

I would say he's there now.  Christie is finished as the "establishment's" candidate.

He's the establishment candidate, sure, but that doesn't mean he has the same potential that Christie had.