Women in Congress

[ElectionsGuy]

The Senate: 20 are women, 16 (80%) are democratic while 4 (20%) are republican

Blue = 2 men
Red = 2 women
Green = 1 man, 1 woman

Now of those women, how many are republican or democratic?

With just men, the senate would have 80 members. 41 would be republicans, 37 would be democrats, and 2 would be independents who would likely caucus with democrats.

The House: 79 are women (18%), 60 are democratic (76%) while 19 (24%) are republican. I'm not going to do a map because the values are too low (I don't want to go into the code and adjust them, plus the light color would look terrible too), but here are the states that do have women representatives.

AL: 2/7 = 29%
AZ: 2/9 = 22%
CA: 18/53 = 34%
CO: 1/7 = 14%
CT: 2/5 = 40%
FL: 6/27 = 22%
HI: 2/2 = 100%
IL: 4/18 = 22%
IN: 2/9 = 22%
KS: 1/4 = 25%
ME: 1/2 = 50%
MD: 1/8 = 13%
MA: 2/9 = 22%
MI: 1/14 = 7%
MN: 2/8 = 25%
MO: 2/8 = 25%
NC: 2/13 = 15%
NH: 2/2 = 100%
NM: 1/3 = 33%
NV: 1/4 = 25%
NY: 7/27 = 26%
OH: 3/16 = 19%
OR: 1/5 = 20%
PA: 1/18 = 6%
SD: 1/1 = 100%
TN: 2/9 = 22%
TX: 3/36 = 8%
WA: 3/10 = 30%
WI: 1/8 = 13%
WV: 1/3 = 33%
WY: 1/1 = 100%

Of those women, what percentage are dems/reps by state?

With just men, there would be 356 total members, 215 republicans (60%) and 141 democrats (40%).

[Padfoot]

I recently read somewhere (can't remember where, sorry) that at the present rate it will take women approximately another 100 years to achieve an even 50-50 gender split in Congress.  Since the '92 "Year of the Women" when female membership in Congress shot up from 33 members to 55 we have not really been electing that many new women to Congress.  The biggest jump up since '92 was '04 when the number of women increased by 9. 

It will be interesting to see if the replacement of Baby Boomers with Millennials yields another major increase.  So far not so much.  Women make up only 15.2% of the House members in their 30s but they make up 36.6% of the House members in their 70s or older.  I would imagine it is probably more difficult for women to start a political career in their 30s if they have kids.  Also they live longer so one might expect there to be a greater percentage of women amongst older members due to the guys dying off sooner.

[jamesyons]

In 2014 it looks like at least one pickup but not a good chance of more than one pickup for women in the Senate.

Georgia (possible pickup)
Hawaii (possible pickup)
Iowa (possible pickup)
Kentucky (possible pickup)
Louisiana (possible loss)
Michigan (possible (small chance) pickup)
New Hampshire (possible (small chance) loss)
Oregon (possible (even smaller chance) pickup)
West Virginia (guaranteed pickup)

In the house women will probably gain between 5 and 10 seats.

AZ-1 (possible loss)
AZ-2 (possible pickup)
AZ-9 (small chance of loss (Sinema favored in general (50% of woman winning R primary))
CA-21 (small chance of pickup)
CA-26 (possible loss)
CT-5 (very small chance of loss)
FL-2 (possible pickup)
HI-1 (possible loss)
IL-11 (very small chance of pickup)
IL-13 (possible pickup)
IL-17 (very small chance of loss)
IN-2 (very small chance of loss)
IA-2 (very small chance of pickup)
IA-3 (possible pickup)
KY-6 (very small chance of pickup)
ME-2 (likely pickup)
MI-7 (small chance of pickup)
MI-8 (very small chance of pickup)
MI-11 (very small chance of pickup)
MI-12 (guaranteed pickup)
MI-14 (good chance of pickup)
NV-3 (small chance of pickup)
NH-1 (possible loss)
NH-2 (very small chance of loss)
NJ-3 (small chance of pickup)
NM-2 (small chance of pickup)
NY-18 (very small chance of pickup)
NY-21 (possible pickup)
NY-22 (small chance of pickup)
NY-23 (small chance of pickup)
NC-12 (guaranteed pickup)
OH-6 (small chance of pickup)
OR-5 (very small chance of pickup)
UT-4 (guaranteed pickup)
VA-2 (small chance of pickup)
VA-10 (likely pickup)
WA-1 (very small chance of loss)
WV-2 (guaranteed loss)

[ElectionsGuy]

After 2014:

Men pickups in NC, LA. Women pickups in WV, IA. Net gain of zero, still 20 women in the Senate. But now its 14/6 Democrats instead of 16/4.

In the House:

Women pickups in:

AZ-02
CA-45
FL-02
MI-12
MI-14
NJ-12
NY-21
NC-12
UT-04
VA-10

Men pickups in:

HI-01
MN-06
NH-01
PA-13
WV-02

Net gain women +5. There are now 84 women in the House of Representatives. Five of the new women are Republicans, 5 are Democrats. In total now, 62 are Democrats (74%), 22 are Republicans (26%).

[The Free North]

Great maps, thanks for posting!