Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

At the moment... it looks like the Greens will indeed win Melbourne, based off a stonking primary vote of 44%.

But the ALP hasn't lost a seat so far to the Libs but has probably lost one or two to the Greens.

[Knives]

What is interesting is Prahan.

[BaconBacon96]

This result was the expected one. Congrats to Daniel Andrews and Victorian Labor. It's good for Victoria to have majority government once again.

Does anyone know what were the results out of Frankston?

[Knives]

I'm thinking it takes a long time until we know who wins Prahan all is confirmed is that ALP or Greens win not Liberal as I had expected.

[Knives]

This result was the expected one. Congrats to Daniel Andrews and Victorian Labor. It's good for Victoria to have majority government once again.

Does anyone know what were the results out of Frankston?

Labor will win Frankston, of votes not counted yet they favour Labor.

[Hifly]

All of the candidates who might win Prahran are awful. There's around a 50 vote gap between Labor and the Greens so this one is going to take a while.
But the overall election is a convincing Labor victory.
Only Ripon was lost to the Libs.

[MaxQue]

Quick forecast. Only three seats not called yet (Morwell (NAT-LAB), Prahran (LIB-LAB-GRN??) and Richmond (LAB-GRN)).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So the projected swing in Morwell is currently exactly the same as the National margin there. Hilarious.

[MaxQue]

An independent will apparently win in Shepparton. Not a great election for Nationals.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

All of the candidates who might win Prahran are awful. There's around a 50 vote gap between Labor and the Greens so this one is going to take a while.
But the overall election is a convincing Labor victory.
Only Ripon was lost to the Libs.

Why's that? You do understand the area don't you?

No candidate you'd like could possibly win in Prahran.

[Hifly]

All of the candidates who might win Prahran are awful. There's around a 50 vote gap between Labor and the Greens so this one is going to take a while.
But the overall election is a convincing Labor victory.
Only Ripon was lost to the Libs.

Why's that? You do understand the area don't you?

No candidate you'd like could possibly win in Prahran.

Labor could have at least stood the man who actually won the branch preselection, former MLA Tony Lupton. But instead they put up that awful person, who incidentally came third in the branch preselection vote. His pathetic 25% of the vote share is embarrassing, even if he somehow does win in the end (but this will take a while).

[Knives]

The senate is going to be a mess.

[MaxQue]

Oh, I see hifly issue. A gay Labor candidate, a Green candidate adversizing on Grindr and a pro-gay rights Liberal. Would that division cover the gay neighbourhood of Melbourne?

[MaxQue]

The senate is going to be a mess.

ABC currently forecast:

Liberal 14
Labor 13
Green 5
Shooters and Fishers 3
Nationals 2
Family First 1
Country Alliance 1
DLP 1

Surely that is very off?

[Knives]

The senate is going to be a mess.

ABC currently forecast:

Liberal 14
Labor 13
Green 5
Shooters and Fishers 3
Nationals 2
Family First 1
Country Alliance 1
DLP 1

Surely that is very off?

It'll be interesting because if I am correct in assuming it is the first election where not all boxes had to be marked to count when voting below the line? Which would mean that minor parties may miss out on more but I'm not sure.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Oh, I see hifly issue. A gay Labor candidate, a Green candidate adversizing on Grindr and a pro-gay rights Liberal. Would that division cover the gay neighbourhood of Melbourne?

That's kind of what I was alluding to.

You cannot win that seat and be anti-gay rights. Pure and simple.

[MaxQue]

The senate is going to be a mess.

ABC currently forecast:

Liberal 14
Labor 13
Green 5
Shooters and Fishers 3
Nationals 2
Family First 1
Country Alliance 1
DLP 1

Surely that is very off?

It'll be interesting because if I am correct in assuming it is the first election where not all boxes had to be marked to count when voting below the line? Which would mean that minor parties may miss out on more but I'm not sure.

Antony Green's blog is saying than, below the line, at least 5 preferences are needed. But, it's was the case in 2010, too.

[Platypus]

Of th 713 votes cast, we had less than 40 as valid below the line

[MaxQue]

Family First was replaced by the Sex Party, in their recent forecast. How ironic!

[Knives]

Of th 713 votes cast, we had less than 40 as valid below the line

How is that possible!?

[MaxQue]

Of th 713 votes cast, we had less than 40 as valid below the line

How is that possible!?

I assumed than the 670 others were above the line.

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

Not a great day for my side of politics, I expected Labor to win, but by a slightly smaller margin and also surprised that Mulgrave did not swing that strongly to Labor either.

Also, what happened in Shepparton?

[Knives]

So, the Greens have claimed Melbourne yet their lead with 52% counted is only 1.2% - is this all a bit premature?

[Vosem]

Shame that the right-wing government lost, of course, but apparently there are some fantastic upper-house results -- the Shooters and Fishers are set to get in (with 3 seats!), as are the Sex Party. Kinda makes up for the sucky lower-house result (though what I'm reading on Poll Bludger tells me that it's still possible on paper for Labor to be reduced to a minority government, albeit unlikely).

Congrats to the Greens on their very successful result, as well.

[Frodo]

So it looks as if the East West Link is done for.