Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014

[Talleyrand]

I'm thinking the TPP vote will be around 50-51% Labor, with Labor struggling to win an outright majority or doing so very narrowly.

I'll probably be wildly off though.

[Talleyrand]

What is the overall two party-preferred vote at this point?

[Talleyrand]

I just did this quickly. I only saw Smid's Melbourne maps and an early results map by Htmldon in the gallery; apologies in advance if I missed a final results map in there.

[Talleyrand]

Those Melbourne maps were from 2010. They were only just released under my own version of the Cabinet-in-Confidence 30-year rule.

Ah, okay. And they were for L.C. results too. I didn't read the text-box until now.

[Talleyrand]

Thanks, that explains a lot; now I wish we had Senate primary votes for each House of Representatives Division on hand somewhere. I recall reading somewhere before the 2013 federal election about how high Joanna Gash's personal vote was, evidenced by how Labor actually outperformed in the Senate in Gilmore. Gives so some insight into why that was a rare seat to swing away from the Coalition that year once she retired. I wonder what other examples exist akin to that one.