Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014

[Knives]

Looks like Geoff Shaw is going to preference the Liberals. It's kind of ridiculous that he could end up retaining his seats, surely those in Frankston aren't that dumb.

[Knives]

ugh, last day to vote and over 200 000 remain unregistered. We really need to adopt same day registration.

[Knives]

Glad to see that my thread got revived!

It's fascinating to observe the trends in Australia over the past several years: you start out in 2008 with Labor in control of the federal government and every state/territory gov't as well.  That slowly whittles away to what we have now with a Coalition calling the shots federally and only a minority Labor gov't in SA and the ACT.  If Labor is able to win in Victoria could this be the beginning of another sea change?

There's definately a move against the Liberals atm. I almost always happens, I mean following Howard almost every state government from Howard to Rudd was a Labor one. But if the Vic Libs lose it'll be pretty historic considering no state government has not had a second term since like the 50s. But it'll be there own fault, they're pretty useless and got almost nothing done in 2010-2012.

[Knives]

Well Dennis Napthine is preferencing Labor ahead of the Greens, this is pretty big if the Greens wanted to win those seats. It'll be close but I do think the Greens could win but its very unlikely.

[Knives]

Labor up to 56% in most recent Ipsos poll. Incredible thing out of the poll though is the 76% support for Euthanasia, lol  you Kevin Andrews.

[Knives]

Some of the ads this election are just ridiculous and downright insulting to our intelligence. I mean a Coalition ad literally called in a Labor CMFEU Coaltion if Labor is elected. Like, just the dumbest attack and the sad thing is it'll probably stick with some voters. Also, the focus on abortion this election is scary despite the high level approval of our laws.

[Knives]

ALP will win popular vote like 53/47 but lose in seats or a minority government.

[Knives]

I voted, first time ever!

[Knives]

As I went in to vote Dee Ryall tried to win my vote and I gave her a spray about the government's anti-union tactics and how Australia is only successful because of our egalitarian past. She didn't expect that from an 18 year old.

[Knives]

Guys what are you hearing!? I wanna know

[Knives]

This is brilliant.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=77QDIFTjMpk

[Knives]

Looking good!

[Knives]

What is interesting is Prahan.

[Knives]

I'm thinking it takes a long time until we know who wins Prahan all is confirmed is that ALP or Greens win not Liberal as I had expected.

[Knives]

This result was the expected one. Congrats to Daniel Andrews and Victorian Labor. It's good for Victoria to have majority government once again.

Does anyone know what were the results out of Frankston?

Labor will win Frankston, of votes not counted yet they favour Labor.

[Knives]

The senate is going to be a mess.

[Knives]

The senate is going to be a mess.

ABC currently forecast:

Liberal 14
Labor 13
Green 5
Shooters and Fishers 3
Nationals 2
Family First 1
Country Alliance 1
DLP 1

Surely that is very off?

It'll be interesting because if I am correct in assuming it is the first election where not all boxes had to be marked to count when voting below the line? Which would mean that minor parties may miss out on more but I'm not sure.

[Knives]

Of th 713 votes cast, we had less than 40 as valid below the line

How is that possible!?

[Knives]

So, the Greens have claimed Melbourne yet their lead with 52% counted is only 1.2% - is this all a bit premature?

[Knives]

I don't understand by the VEC didn't count early votes and postal votes when they came in?

[Knives]

The Greens lead in Melbourne is down to .74% with 52% counted, I can't believe they claimed it last night. Will be funny if they lose.

[Knives]

You are all getting way too ahead of yourself only half the vote has been counted. There is still a long way to go.

[Knives]

The Greens lead in Melbourne is down to .74% with 52% counted, I can't believe they claimed it last night. Will be funny if they lose.

But it also looks like the Libs may claw Prahran back... off the back of Green preferences. It is the nature of these seats, affluent, but socially progressive.

Regardless if the Greens don't end up winning in Melbourne they will look beyond ridiculous. However the reality is unless a candidate is up by more than 3% you can't really call a seat as so many votes are either yet to be counted or haven't been added to the official tally at the VEC. I dunno, I feel that after recounts we won't know the results for quite a few seats for a bit longer. And the VEC is totally blamable for this because they didn't count early votes as they got them as they underestimated the rate at which Victorians would vote early.

[Knives]

Well it has started and both major news publications have called the Greens out for premature celebrations. The gap is 300 votes with over 8000 to be counted today. We should know all final results later today.

[Knives]

Hifly your insight is as about as useful as your prediction  that Labor will lose Macedon. Just face it you know nothing.