2016 Republican Nomination Poll - July 2014

[Maistre]

Christie probably will not even run. Bush will be in an even worse place than Romney was. He will have a field of smart opponents with lots of money to throw around, and plus Bush won't be as soullessly pandering as Romney was. If immigration doesn't kill him, common core will. If Bush doesn't run, I think the establishment donors will first beg somebody like Ryan to run or line up behind Rubio.

Rand Paul and Ted Cruz are pulling from the same group. If Rand pulls the trigger first (as I imagine he will), I think Cruz might stay out (I can't see the opposite happening though). To be honest, I can't imagine Rand getting the nomination. He is a treasure trove of "gaffes" (which is an inappropriate word because it implies the statement is unintentional, and I fully believe Rand willfully believed most of the stuff about Cheney and the like.)

It's possible that the establishment candidate and insurgent candidate (probably Bush and Paul respectively) are both deemed to be crippled, and a dark horse governor like Walker, Pence, or Jindal might gain some traction.

If Ted Cruz is able to monopolize the TP crowd, I don't think there's much stopping him from taking the nomination because he is clearly the most talented of the group. Rubio might be able to make a play for the TP people, but I think he would be squeezed out between Paul and Cruz.

So, I say Cruz for now.

[Maistre]

Romney had to financially drown Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum to win. Some of you must be smoking some powerful stuff to think Romney 2016 can happen.

[Maistre]

Hillary won the popular vote? Where did you get that?

[Maistre]

Hillary won the popular vote? Where did you get that?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_vote_count.html

[Maistre]

Hillary won the popular vote? Where did you get that?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_vote_count.html

You can't just exclude certain states. Granted, Obama didn't campaign there, but the fact remains that more people voted for Hillary than Obama.

...

Obama's name wasn't on Michigan's ballot. If your argument is that Hillary got more votes than Obama, shouldn't you only count contests where both Hillary and Obama's names are on the ballot?