ill ind
Jr. Member
Posts: 488
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« on: July 02, 2014, 09:31:47 AM » |
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It all depensd on turnout and where.
The turnout in the primary was 25% less than in 2010. Will turnout be off significantly in the 2014 general vs 2010?
Neither candidate is inspiring, and when push comes to shove, there will be millions shoveled into negative adds pummelling the other guy from both sides, which will likely depress turnout in November.
In 2010, downstate turnout was 38% and Cook county 40%. If the Dem organization can turn out its votes in 2012, they have a big leg up in a low turnout race.
So it comes down to a Dem Cook County Machine vs the rest of the state in a race for who has the best turnout.
If I had to pick: Quinn solely due to the Dem organization.
Ill_Ind
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