Which is more likely to flip?
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  Which is more likely to flip?		 « previous next »
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#1
GA		  
#2
SC		  
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Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: Which is more likely to flip?  (Read 1411 times)
Miles
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« on: July 01, 2014, 09:25:18 PM »
I was checking the Gubernatorial ratings at RRH. I think they did a good job overall, but they rate SC as more likely to flip than GA. Personally, I'd rate SC Lean R but GA in between Tilt/Lean R.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #1 on: July 01, 2014, 09:29:43 PM »
« Edited: July 01, 2014, 10:11:12 PM by ModerateVAVoter »
The problem for Carter is the run-off. I could certainly see a path where he wins a plurality on the November ballot, but getting 50% + 1 is tough.

Then again, I don't really see Haley as in that much danger.

Georgia, but I don't see Governor Sheheen or Governor Carter as particularly likely.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2014, 09:32:47 PM »
Georgia, the runoff makes it very hard for Carter, but he still has a better chance at defeating corruption-ridden Deal than a rematch of 2010 in South Carolina.
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illegaloperation
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« Reply #3 on: July 01, 2014, 09:34:32 PM »
Georgia, definitely.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: July 01, 2014, 10:08:43 PM »
Georgia (duh).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: July 01, 2014, 10:35:09 PM »
Quote from: ModerateVAVoter on July 01, 2014, 09:29:43 PM
The problem for Carter is the run-off. I could certainly see a path where he wins a plurality on the November ballot, but getting 50% + 1 is tough.

Then again, I don't really see Haley as in that much danger.

Georgia, but I don't see Governor Sheheen or Governor Carter as particularly likely.

Josh Mandel was not suppose to be even competetive in OH.

I think should Kasich fall, alot of Govs like Haley or Walker can be defeated. OH, just like WI or MI may be the bellweathers of this election.
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Never
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« Reply #6 on: July 01, 2014, 10:36:06 PM »
Georgia is more likely to flip in my view.

While Haley is not a strong candidate, South Carolina is far enough to the right to keep her from losing.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #7 on: July 02, 2014, 08:39:15 AM »
Both will flip.

Georgia will be easier though.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #8 on: July 02, 2014, 03:22:28 PM »
Neither.

GA and SC haven't sent Democrats to their respective Governor's Mansions since 1998.
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Supersonic
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« Reply #9 on: July 02, 2014, 03:43:49 PM »
SC is lean/likely R. GA is toss-up/lean R, so Georgia.

Plus another major scandal could easily come along and drown Deal.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #10 on: July 02, 2014, 03:56:03 PM »
Georgia, but I doubt that either will.
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windjammer
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« Reply #11 on: July 02, 2014, 06:14:45 PM »
I love Georgia, I love Carten, I love Griffin, but you're all overestimating Carter's chances.

Both are lean rep.

But if I have to choose, GA, because Deal has more chances to fall by a scandal than Haley.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #12 on: July 02, 2014, 06:42:14 PM »
Quote from: TX Conservative Dem on July 02, 2014, 03:22:28 PM
Neither.

GA and SC haven't sent Democrats to their respective Governor's Mansions since 1998.



Does that mean Rauner can't win in Illinois? Illinois last elected a Republican in 1998.

#BadLogic
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Clermont County GOPer
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« Reply #13 on: July 04, 2014, 07:19:39 PM »
Quote from: TDAS04 on July 02, 2014, 03:56:03 PM
Georgia, but I doubt that either will.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #14 on: July 07, 2014, 03:46:43 PM »
South Carolina.  Last I heard, Haley's job approval was in the dumps (for some strange reason), and she only leads by single digits in the polls.
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