Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
Posts: 44,073
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« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2014, 11:02:33 PM » |
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I'd guess something like….
mid-January to mid-February: IA, NH, NV, SC (in that order)
Feb. 23: Arizona and Michigan
Mar. 1: Super Tuesday (about 10-12 or so states vote, the biggest being Texas and Florida)
Mar. 8 to early June: The remaining primaries
FHQ lists CO, MN, UT, and NC as being other possibilities in February, but I don't think any of those will happen.
It's also unclear to me how severe the RNC penalties are for states going on Feb. 23. Strong enough to get Arizona and Michigan to move later? I don't know. I've asked Josh Putnam for clarification on the RNC rules on this point, and he's told me he'll get back to me, but he's never followed up on that.
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