Which state is more likely to flip?
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  Which state is more likely to flip?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Which state is more likely to flip?
#1
Illinois		  
#2
Wisconsin		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 60

Author Topic: Which state is more likely to flip?  (Read 1302 times)
Mr. Illini
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« on: July 04, 2014, 01:15:44 AM »
Thoughts?
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #1 on: July 04, 2014, 01:44:39 AM »
Illinois - Rauner seems to be in better position than Brady, and while I think it will be close, he should be able to narrowly scrape by. Same with Walker - this is a highly partisan race but it appears he has a bit larger share locked up - it's just about turnout and getting a decent chunk of the remaining undecideds.
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windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: July 04, 2014, 04:10:29 AM »
Both Walker and Quinn will probably be reelected.

Which state is more likely to flip? I don't know
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #3 on: July 04, 2014, 07:14:11 AM »
Both will flip.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: July 04, 2014, 10:58:43 AM »
Illinois.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: July 04, 2014, 11:26:33 AM »
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Never
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« Reply #6 on: July 04, 2014, 11:48:06 AM »
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #7 on: July 04, 2014, 01:42:44 PM »
Polls show a consistent lead by the challenger in Illinois, and a close race in Wisconsin.

It's also likely to be a Republican cycle, which protects Republican incumbents to a degree.

So I think Illinois is likelier to flip in gubernatorial elections.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #8 on: July 04, 2014, 04:40:05 PM »
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Clermont County GOPer
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« Reply #9 on: July 04, 2014, 07:12:30 PM »
Illinois
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: July 04, 2014, 07:15:27 PM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: July 04, 2014, 07:49:01 PM »
I thought Illinois initially, but the GOP surge in states like MI and IL have appeared to have ended. The Teachers Union got their man Paul Vallas, who will be doing the real negotiating with Madigan.

I wouldnt count out Burke or Fitzgerald winning either besides us winning MI and IL.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #12 on: July 07, 2014, 03:45:48 PM »
By far.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: July 09, 2014, 12:07:36 AM »
But like most politicans in the state they have had a history of holding elected office. Without the scandle, Rauner is doing the Blair Hull thing, coming in without a track record.

I think people will stick with Quinn.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #14 on: July 10, 2014, 01:54:46 PM »
That and the fact that the GOPers haven't won the Illinois Executive Mansion since 1998.
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SamInTheSouth
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« Reply #15 on: July 14, 2014, 04:04:46 PM »
Honestly, what planet are you people on?

Pennsylvania!
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SamInTheSouth
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« Reply #16 on: July 14, 2014, 04:05:24 PM »
Quote from: VP windjammer on July 04, 2014, 04:10:29 AM
Both Walker and Quinn will probably be reelected.

Where on Earth are you getting that idea from?  Quinn hasn't lead in a single poll.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #17 on: July 15, 2014, 12:01:49 AM »
Quote from: SamInTheSouth on July 14, 2014, 04:05:24 PM
Quote from: VP windjammer on July 04, 2014, 04:10:29 AM
Both Walker and Quinn will probably be reelected.

Where on Earth are you getting that idea from?  Quinn hasn't lead in a single poll.

The campaign hasn't kicked into full gear yet bro. They've had some commercials and a good deal of Facebook activity but the Democratic mobilization in Chicago and its suburbs has barely begun here. Most people that I know don't know much about the race yet. Especially of note is that those that I know who are in unions have received zero calls or mailers about the race yet.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #18 on: July 15, 2014, 07:02:28 AM »
Quinn will be running aggressive TV Ads later around the end of summer and bring up his experience in state government.
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Vega
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« Reply #19 on: July 15, 2014, 09:02:45 PM »
If Quinn can turnout the Democratic base, in big number, I think he'll manage to win.

And Walker, he was re-elected in a recall election, which was a super heated environment. I think he'll win too. It's a matter of getting all the Democrats to turn out.

But I'll say Illinois.
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