Who will win in Connecticut?

[Free Bird]

I tend to think a lot more seats will flip in 2014 than most people here do. I think the Republicans will pick up CT, IL, and AR (with decent chances in HI and CO and non-negligible chances in MA), but I also think the Democrats will pick up MI, PA, ME, WI, KS, GA, SC, AND FL (with decent chances in AZ and OH and non-negligible chances in IA and NE).

I think this year's gubernatorial elections will look like 2002 with lots of seats flipping on both sides.

Everything I highlighted I disagree with,  with SC, IA, and KS just being pipe dreams

You don't think we'll pick up Maine? And Kansas a pipe dream? LOL look at a poll. And yeah Iowa we probably won't win, but gun to my head I do think we take South Carolina.

LePage is in trouble since there is no fourth candidate, but I feel he is being underestimated. Collins is on the ballot this year first, and her immense popularity will draw in at least a few undecideds.

By the way, don't say "we." Makes you guys sound like a hive mind.

[Flake]

I feel that the deep blue (atlas red) nature of Connecticut will save Malloy.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Possibly Foley, but at this point the Connecticut gubernatorial race is going to be one of the most difficult races this year to accurately predict.

This, but I certainly hope Foley wins.

[SWE]

Malloy wins

[Maxwell]

I think Foley will, narrowly.

Also, Former State Rep. Jonathan Pelto, a Democrat, is running as a Democrat. If his candidacy catches fire, game over for Malloy.

[homelycooking]

I think Foley will, narrowly.

Also, Former State Rep. Jonathan Pelto, a Democrat, is running as a Democrat. If his candidacy catches fire, game over for Malloy.

Pelto is not running as a Democrat. He is petitioning for ballot access as a candidate of his own "Education and Democracy" party, though he would most certainly attract the votes of liberal Democrats in a general election.

Even if Pelto manages to only win 1-2% of the vote, the margin between Foley and Malloy is likely to be tight enough that a third-party Pelto candidacy could significantly improve Foley's odds of winning the election.

[The Other Castro]

I think Foley will, narrowly.

Also, Former State Rep. Jonathan Pelto, a Democrat, is running as a Democrat. If his candidacy catches fire, game over for Malloy.

Pelto is not running as a Democrat. He is petitioning for ballot access as a candidate of his own "Education and Democracy" party, though he would most certainly attract the votes of liberal Democrats in a general election.

Even if Pelto manages to only win 1-2% of the vote, the margin between Foley and Malloy is likely to be tight enough that a third-party Pelto candidacy could significantly improve Foley's odds of winning the election.

Don't forget about Joseph Visconti, he looks like he could easily pick up 1-2% and negate or surpass any damage Pelto could do to Malloy.

[Maxwell]

I think Foley will, narrowly.

Also, Former State Rep. Jonathan Pelto, a Democrat, is running as a Democrat. If his candidacy catches fire, game over for Malloy.

Pelto is not running as a Democrat. He is petitioning for ballot access as a candidate of his own "Education and Democracy" party, though he would most certainly attract the votes of liberal Democrats in a general election.

Even if Pelto manages to only win 1-2% of the vote, the margin between Foley and Malloy is likely to be tight enough that a third-party Pelto candidacy could significantly improve Foley's odds of winning the election.

my bad, that was my typo, I meant to put independent.