Who will win in Illinois?

[Senator Cris]

Who will win in Illinois?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Quinn will win, Rauner has dodged Chicago media because of his stance on min wage being reduced by a dollar and he doesnt want to give Public Schools more funding and give it to especially parochial schools.

[TDAS04]

Probably Quinn. 

[Rockefeller GOP]

Sadly, probably Quinn.  Which is unbelievable considering the lack of fiscal responsibility Democrats have displayed in that state...

[free my dawg]

Quinn. He's being smart and putting powerful ballot measures (minimum wage and now birth control) on the ballot with him, so the base should come out for him in the end.

Plus all the polls that have him down by +10 are usually R-leaning or just laughably bad firms (that have 60% of the electorate over 65).

[RogueBeaver]

Quinn.

[free my dawg]

If Quinn wins again, Illinois deserves to continue to fail. The Illinois Democratic Party has driven the state into the ground for the past 12 years, and they deserve to lose big. Sadly the best case scenario would be a narrow Rauner win, with little changing in the legislature. But at least he would not pursue wantonly destructive policies and restructure the state tax code to reflect the changes of the past 40 years.


Right now, I say Rauner since Quinn is not as strong as he was in 2010. But the Democratic Machine could still win this on turnout.

>implying reducing the minimum wage isn't a wantonly destructive policy

[CatoMinor]

What puzzles me is why Democrats in Illinois want to keep Quinn. The GOP has no chance of winning the legislature, so its not like Rauner can do much anyways.

[windjammer]

Quinn.

[sg0508]

What puzzles me is why Democrats in Illinois want to keep Quinn. The GOP has no chance of winning the legislature, so its not like Rauner can do much anyways.

Gerrymandering? Also, you don't just want to voluntarily give up the statehouse to the minority party. 

[Maxwell]

I have a feeling Rauner will win, he's polling well, and unlike Brady, he isn't so conservative that by election time the bottom drops on moderate Republican turnout.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

After seeing how Kirk towed the party line on breaking GOP filibusters, I think the term maverick has gone out the window. Dold just like Rauner may lose.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

After seeing how Kirk towed the party line on breaking GOP filibusters, I think the term maverick has gone out the window. Dold just like Rauner may lose.

Even Maverick County Texas is sick of term maverick. Just compare how much worse McCain/Palin did there than Bush/Cheney.

[ill ind]

  The ultimate losers will be the Illinois voters.

  Never has there been an election in a state with such dire shape, where two so unqualified candidates are running for governor.

ill_Ind

[Maxwell]

  The ultimate losers will be the Illinois voters.

  Never has there been an election in a state with such dire shape, where two so unqualified candidates are running for governor.

ill_Ind

Even the ones with Governor Blago?

[NHLiberal]

  The ultimate losers will be the Illinois voters.

  Never has there been an election in a state with such dire shape, where two so unqualified candidates are running for governor.

ill_Ind

Unqualified isn't the right word (the incumbent is by definition qualified), but if you switched that to "bad" I would totally agree.

[President Johnson]

Rauner will win, he's far ahead of Quinn in the polls.

My assumption is 51% for Rauner and 45% for Quinn. However, I hope Quinn will manage to win.

[Dixie Reborn]

Rauner, but by a smaller margin than expected.

[Vega]

Quinn. Never underestimate Chicago.

[Rockefeller GOP]

Quinn. Never underestimate Chicago.

In a non-Presidential year, turnout will be lower, and Quinn is very unpopular.  IMO, the suburbs will provide his margin of defeat.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

[quote author=Rockefeller GOP link=topic=195181.msg4271641#msg42


In a non-Presidential year, turnout will be lower, and Quinn is very unpopular.  IMO, the suburbs will provide his margin of defeat.

The surburbs outside Cook cnty suburbs, like Dupage, are are GOP favored.

We have Dold's district 10  and Biggerts district where Sneider and Foster are favored in.

If we win those House races, Rauner may not get the bump he needs.

Rauner is up by only 5 pts.
[/quote]

[muon2]

It would be nice if the tail end of this thread were spliced on to the August thread of the same name and then this one locked so all the comments were in one place.

[Vega]

It would be nice if the tail end of this thread were spliced on to the August thread of the same name and then this one locked so all the comments were in one place.

Bit of a novice at Atlas modding, but can't Mods merge threads? Seems like a pretty basic moderator tool on most other forums

[ElectionsGuy]

Quinn. Never underestimate Chicago.

In a non-Presidential year, turnout will be lower, and Quinn is very unpopular.  IMO, the suburbs will provide his margin of defeat.

Quinn was re-elected in a non-presidential year, he was also unpopular at the time. I'm not disagreeing with you though, I think he'll lose this time around as Rauner is a better candidate than Brady and Quinn is more unpopular than he was before.

[NHLiberal]

Quinn. Never underestimate Chicago.

In a non-Presidential year, turnout will be lower, and Quinn is very unpopular.  IMO, the suburbs will provide his margin of defeat.

Quinn was re-elected in a non-presidential year, he was also unpopular at the time. I'm not disagreeing with you though, I think he'll lose this time around as Rauner is a better candidate than Brady and Quinn is more unpopular than he was before.

I agree with this. Imagine if Dillard was the nominee, the race would be over by now