If Bayh could win his homestate of Indiana, that would be huge. I was under the assumption that he would NOT be able to win in Indiana.
Bayh has a near certain chance of winning Indiana. He has a broad bi-partisan and cross-ideological support base. Over a third of Republicans and conservatives vote for Bayh - granted he might not attract that level of support from them in a presidential race - but he'd do well enough among them (along with liberals, moderates, Democrats and independents) to see him cross the finish line
The extent to which he wins depends on who would be the GOP nominee
Some conservative columnists absurdly wrote Bayh off in Indiana when he voted against Condi Rice - but I think this poll says otherwise!
Dave
what's the average voter turnout rate in Indiana? polls mean little if the people answering those polls don't vote.