Most Overrated D Senate Candidate

[GaussLaw]

I thought these were three Senate candidates that a lot of people thought could hold their own, but are now fizzling in polling.  While Nunn still has a chance, things are looking worse and worse for her as polls continue to pour in that show Perdue and Kingston up.


I personally vote John Walsh as a lot of people thought he would soar in polling once he got the Senate appointment, but that completely fizzled.

[ElectionsGuy]

Walsh, a lot of sites listed Montana as a toss-up for a while.

[moderatevoter]

In my opinion, for a candidate to be considered overrated, their chances have to be rated pretty highly in the first place. Did people actually give Tennant a good chance of winning her race? Not that I remember. Similar story with Walsh.

I think Nunn is a great recruit, but I think people overrated her chances against someone other than Paul Broun or Phil Gingrey.

[IceSpear]

Definitely Walsh. Tennant actually seems to be narrowing the gap from the last couple polls, so if anything she's underrated.

On the R side, definitely Gillespie, with Scott Brown a distant second.

[free my dawg]

Walsh. Nunn would be absolutely perfect for the job in '08 or even in 2010 or 2016, but she's actually facing some of Georgia's best candidates.

Same with Tennant - once Capito got in she was favored against anyone, even when Rockefeller was running.

[Keystone Phil]

Please, they'll be talking MICHELLE NUNN 4 PRESIDENT 2016 soon enough.

[nolesfan2011]

 Walsh isn't that great but Nunn is an embarrassment, clearly overrated, inexperienced, lack of issue knowledge, cardboard, no values, no real ideology, she's a cardboard cutout of a candidate spouting out staffer approved talking points, she'll crash and burn in the debates.

[illegaloperation]

Nunn shouldn't be on this list. She has run a great campaign.

Had weaker Republican candidates made it to the runoff, this would be a tossup.

[NHLiberal]

Nunn shouldn't be on this list. She has run a great campaign.

Had weaker Republican candidates made it to the runoff, this would be a tossup.

Since when is it not a tossup?

[NHLiberal]

Write-in: Shenna Bellows. It's amazing how many people on here seriously think the ACLU spokeswoman can beat Collins when a phenomenal Congressman couldn't even come close to beating her in a Democratic wave.

Among those 3, probably Nunn, and I used to be one of those overly optimistic for Nunn winning, but I see her chances fading. I'm not sure she can find that 50% yet when there's a huge chunk of unregistered Democratic voters and the red to blue transition always talked about has yet to materialize.

Walsh was never given a chance by most people though and still isn't, so he shouldn't be up there. Like Alaska, most polls are pretty bad out of Montana and/or underestimate Democratic chances. Which means if anything, Walsh might be underrated, for now.

What I'm about to say isn't perfect because PPP doesn't poll North Dakota, but I'd say Walsh is more or less in the same position as Heitkamp was at this point in 2012.

[TJ in Oregon]

Allison Lundergan Grimes, but of those listed Michelle Nunn. Walsh and Tennant aren't rated enough to be overrated. The title of most overrated needs to go to someone the beltway and/or newsmedia is really sold on having an extraordinary appeal but doesn't. Think Ed Gillespie for the GOP.

[SPC]

Write-in: Shenna Bellows. It's amazing how many people on here seriously think the ACLU spokeswoman can beat Collins when a phenomenal Congressman couldn't even come close to beating her in a Democratic wave.

Among those 3, probably Nunn, and I used to be one of those overly optimistic for Nunn winning, but I see her chances fading. I'm not sure she can find that 50% yet when there's a huge chunk of unregistered Democratic voters and the red to blue transition always talked about has yet to materialize.

Walsh was never given a chance by most people though and still isn't, so he shouldn't be up there. Like Alaska, most polls are pretty bad out of Montana and/or underestimate Democratic chances. Which means if anything, Walsh might be underrated, for now.

What I'm about to say isn't perfect because PPP doesn't poll North Dakota, but I'd say Walsh is more or less in the same position as Heitkamp was at this point in 2012.

Berg never had a double digit lead in North Dakota polling, and no reputable polling company had the race outside the margin of error.

[IceSpear]

Write-in: Shenna Bellows. It's amazing how many people on here seriously think the ACLU spokeswoman can beat Collins when a phenomenal Congressman couldn't even come close to beating her in a Democratic wave.

I think you're confusing people who really want Shenna Bellows to win with people who actually think she has a chance to win. Almost everyone who has entered a prediction has the race as Strong R.

[illegaloperation]

Allison Lundergan Grimes, but of those listed Michelle Nunn. Walsh and Tennant aren't rated enough to be overrated. The title of most overrated needs to go to someone the beltway and/or newsmedia is really sold on having an extraordinary appeal but doesn't. Think Ed Gillespie for the GOP.

Most polls show Grimes in a dead heat with McConnell so how could she possibly be overrated?

[Vosem]

Nunn could win if everything goes right. Not likely, but it could still happen. No one ever thought Tennant would win in the first place. Walsh has consistently trailed by double digits but been treated as though he's tied with Daines or barely down. Walsh.

[free my dawg]

Out of all the candidates I'd say Landrieu, just because it's Louisiana.

[windjammer]

Nunn.

John Walsh, I think his candidacy is seen accurately. For Tennant, again I believe she won't win, but she's underrated.

[Consciously Unconscious]

Nunn, definitely.  Her chances and campaign skills are overrated.

[Maxwell]

Walsh. INCUMBENCY ADVANTAGE turned out to be a big fat nothing because he wasn't really an incumbent.

[Orser67]

Walsh's poll numbers are certainly the most disappointing compared to what I hoped in 2013, so I voted for him in the poll, but there's still a long way to go.

[IceSpear]

Walsh. INCUMBENCY ADVANTAGE turned out to be a big fat nothing because he wasn't really an incumbent.

How dare you question the incumbency advantage. AR-Sen 2010 and PA-Gov 2014 are clearly toss ups.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Walsh. INCUMBENCY ADVANTAGE turned out to be a big fat nothing because he wasn't really an incumbent.

How dare you question the incumbency advantage. AR-Sen 2010 and PA-Gov 2014 are clearly toss ups.

It seems that appointed Senators don't have the best track record for getting re-elected. A Democrat managed to lose in California in 1964. Although recently that might not be as true (Bennet, Gillibrand)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Walsh lost one defining experience that would of set him apart from Daines, which was his military experience. It came under scrutiny, and he never recovered.

Nunn is clearly the overrated candidate. She would need to win, without the runoff. Her name set her apart from other Dems, but not the defining issue.

[dmmidmi]

Nunn's chances of winning are overrated
Tennant's chances of winning are underrated
Walsh's chances of winning are non-existent

[sg0508]

Just because their likelihood of winning aren't good, that doesn't mean they are overrated.  For example, Heather Wilson of NM was a VERY STRONG candidate for Senate in 2012, but she ran in a presidential year and was still very competitive. 

I think you need to better define "overrated" here.  Tom Kean Jr. for example was "overrated" when he ran for the GOP.  He should have been much, much more competitive and Menendez never even sweated during that race.