Florida going forward (user search)
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  Florida going forward (search mode)
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Author Topic: Florida going forward  (Read 2876 times)
sg0508
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,058
United States


« on: July 09, 2014, 07:24:26 AM »

President Obama's victory in Florida during the 2012 may have been the most significant win of the entire cycle.  Romney didn't receive the 2-3% national "swing" he got in most states from McCain's performance.  The "Corridor" has swung more bluish mid-state when it used to be the pinnacle swing area during presidential races and most statewide races. 

That being said, counties like Palm Beach are weakening a little for the Democrats.  How do you see the state of FL going as we move forward? McCain should have been the ideal Republican for winning it back in '08, but he lost and Romney's loss there should scare the hell out of the GOP.  As FL is likely to have >30 EVs after the next census, if the GOP watches FL go, they are beyond screwed. 

The great thing about studying FL politically, is that it's dividable to several sub-regions within the state, each with a different voting pattern and overall demographic, and the state is very dynamic, changing by the minute. 

One major thing the GOP has over the Democrats is that the statewide GOP is far, far stronger and the cabinet is near-empty for the Democrats in-state.  See this year's gubernational race as another example.  I bet Charlie Crist loses. Rick Scott thus far, has run a very smart campaign, much more organized and the way that Jeb Bush expected his party to run races when he was in charge from '99-'07. 

That being said, at the presidential level, the Democrats have performed far better in FL.  Where does the state go?
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