Smash255
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Posts: 15,453
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« on: July 09, 2014, 11:32:54 PM » |
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What happens with the Cubans in Florida will be key. Cubans were already drifting away from the GOP a bit as much like the rest of the country younger Cubans were more Democratic than their parents. However, overall they still tilted strongly towards the GOP. There was a HARD Democratic trend among Cubans in 2012 (Miami-Dade was one of the strongest Dem trending counties in the U.S).
If the hard trend towards the Democrats among Cubans in 2012 was simply a result of the circumstances of one election, than the state will remain a 50/50 state for some time, although the slow trend of Cubans away from the GOP should be troublesome for them and could cause problems further down the road. If that hard trend was a result of something a bit deeper, the GOP is completely f*****.
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