Which heavily speculated candidates will be much weaker than people expect?
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  Which heavily speculated candidates will be much weaker than people expect?
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Author Topic: Which heavily speculated candidates will be much weaker than people expect?  (Read 1163 times)
Hamster
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« on: July 11, 2014, 02:19:35 PM »

Every cycle there are names we expect to be big contenders who end up not mattering. Anybody remember Tim Pawlenty? Jon Huntsman? Or how about Rudy Giuliani? All piss-poor candidates, but people we rated as actually having a chance. Of the current crop of potential candidates, which ones do you think would be massive flops?
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daveosupremo
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« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2014, 02:22:52 PM »

Clinton, Bush, Christie, Rubio
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #2 on: July 11, 2014, 02:26:29 PM »

Bush, Walker, maybe Cuomo
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JRP1994
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« Reply #3 on: July 11, 2014, 02:38:35 PM »

I fully accept the risk of later being mocked for this, but: Hillary Clinton, almost certainly.
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Clermont County GOPer
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« Reply #4 on: July 11, 2014, 02:49:34 PM »

Hillary
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #5 on: July 11, 2014, 03:04:52 PM »
« Edited: July 11, 2014, 03:06:38 PM by X is Tywinning »

Christie, Cuomo*, O'Malley, Cruz**, Jindal, Perry, Pence***, Rand Paul**, Bush**, Rubio*, Clinton**, Sanders**, Kasich*, Biden**, Santorum*, and Peter King*.

*May very well end up not running

**Too high-profile or entertainingly ideosyncratic to be a mere footnote, but will significantly underpreform the current CW

***I could see Pence being built up by the media (especially MSNBC and the right-wing talk radio crowd) as a major threat to win the nomination, but then hardly breaking double-digits anywhere (save a weak Thompson-ish showing in SC) after only winning Iowa by like 12 votes.  Does that count?
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Orser67
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« Reply #6 on: July 11, 2014, 03:15:29 PM »

I could see a repeat of 2012. Bush would be in the 2012 Romney role, where he's always in first or second place, while the second place cycles through various candidates.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html
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Never
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« Reply #7 on: July 11, 2014, 05:22:51 PM »

Clinton, Romney, Rubio
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: July 11, 2014, 05:26:50 PM »

Biden, Gillibrand, Christie, Jindal, Perry
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Supersonic
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« Reply #9 on: July 11, 2014, 06:10:17 PM »

Clinton. More the fact she's over-hyped, rather than weak.
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jfern
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« Reply #10 on: July 12, 2014, 02:22:43 AM »

Andrew Cuomo seems like he could do a Guiliani and spend $62 million for one hypothetical federal delegate. But I doubt he'd do that well.
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badgate
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« Reply #11 on: July 12, 2014, 02:32:23 AM »

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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #12 on: July 12, 2014, 05:40:10 AM »

Christie will be the biggest flop of the 21st century to date.  He'll make the 1972 Ed Muskie campaign look stunningly successful.

Rubio won't even run.  He's already been shoved aside.
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Cory
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« Reply #13 on: July 12, 2014, 06:43:48 AM »

Christie will be the biggest flop of the 21st century to date.  He'll make the 1972 Ed Muskie campaign look stunningly successful.

Rubio won't even run.  He's already been shoved aside.

Even worse then Rudy 2008?
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henster
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« Reply #14 on: July 12, 2014, 07:15:06 PM »

I could see Clinton bombing very easily.
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Vosem
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« Reply #15 on: July 12, 2014, 07:45:56 PM »

Clinton would/will be weaker in the general election than the polls now show once her opponents gain strength and she's viewed more as "active politician" than "elder statesman" again, but I don't think she's underestimated for the primary. Christie looks like a redux of Giuliani to me. People saying someone "won't even run" are kinda missing the point of the thread, I think.
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The Dowager Mod
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« Reply #16 on: July 12, 2014, 10:50:31 PM »

Walker and Sanders.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #17 on: July 12, 2014, 11:46:47 PM »

Clinton, Ryan, Christie, and Paul
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