Romney/Pawlenty vs. Clinton/Warner
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  Romney/Pawlenty vs. Clinton/Warner		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Romney/Pawlenty vs. Clinton/Warner  (Read 528 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: July 10, 2014, 07:06:30 PM »
« edited: July 10, 2014, 07:10:59 PM by bronz4141 »
If Mitt Romney does run again, and picks his friend former governor Tim Pawlenty as his running mate (Romney likes loyalty), how would they do against Hillary Clinton if she picked Mark Warner? Discuss with maps.
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Never
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« Reply #1 on: July 10, 2014, 07:23:15 PM »


Hillary Clinton/Mark Warner - 347 EVs - 52% PV
Mitt Romney/Tim Pawlenty - 191 EVs - 45-46% PV

Mitt Romney wouldn't do as well as he did in 2012, but North Carolina might be the only Democratic pickup compared to 2012. Considering how poorly Romney did with several groups in 2012, the only demographic that I could imagine him slipping even further with is white women. I suspect that Mark Warner is among the strongest vice-presidential options, while Pawlenty wouldn't add much to any ticket based on what was witnessed during his failed bid for the presidency.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #2 on: July 11, 2014, 01:18:22 AM »
379 / 159
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Vega
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2014, 12:44:13 PM »
364/174
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2014, 02:03:09 PM »
Why do some people continue to have Arkansas as one of the most pro-GOP states in a post-Obama landscape?  I'm not seeing that.  AR, KY and WV will swing back to what they were post-Obama, IMO: fairly Democratic locally and fairly Republican nationally (though not at Alabama levels)
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Vega
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« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2014, 02:27:12 PM »
Quote from: Rockefeller GOP on July 18, 2014, 02:03:09 PM
Why do some people continue to have Arkansas as one of the most pro-GOP states in a post-Obama landscape?  I'm not seeing that.  AR, KY and WV will swing back to what they were post-Obama, IMO: fairly Democratic locally and fairly Republican nationally (though not at Alabama levels)

If Hillary ran, AR could be in play. Though I'm not sure if it will be.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2014, 02:46:30 PM »
Quote from: Vega on July 18, 2014, 02:27:12 PM
Quote from: Rockefeller GOP on July 18, 2014, 02:03:09 PM
Why do some people continue to have Arkansas as one of the most pro-GOP states in a post-Obama landscape?  I'm not seeing that.  AR, KY and WV will swing back to what they were post-Obama, IMO: fairly Democratic locally and fairly Republican nationally (though not at Alabama levels)

If Hillary ran, AR could be in play. Though I'm not sure if it will be.

Even if it wasn't in play a week before the election, Hillary is not doing worse in these three states - states that still have way more registered Democrats than Republicans and Democratic governors - than Obama did and she's definitely not losing 60% of the vote in any of them.
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