The Romney Downfall - or is it? - and Beyond

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

August 1, 2016 - A Look at Senate Races

Alaska (Safe R): State Sen. Hollis French (D) vs. Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R)
Utah (Safe R): 2014 UT-4 Nominee Doug Owens (D) vs. Real Estate Developer Josh Romney (R)
Idaho (Safe R): 2014 Senate Nominee Nels Mitchell (D) vs. Sen. Mike Crapo (R)
North Dakota (Safe R): 2014 ND-AL Nominee George Sinner (D) vs. Sen. John Hoeven (R)
South Dakota (Safe R): Political Consultant Steve Jarding (D) vs. Sen. John Thune (R)
Kansas (Safe R): Wichita Mayor Carl Brewer (D) vs. Sen. Jerry Moran (R)
Iowa (Safe R): 2012 IA-4 Nominee Christie Vilsack (D) vs. Sen. Chuck Grassley (R)
Oklahoma (Safe R): 2014 Special Senate Nominee Constance Johnson (D) vs. Sen. James Lankford (R)
Arkansas (Safe R): State Sen. Bruce Maloch (D) vs. Sen. John Boozman (R)
Louisiana (Safe R): State Rep. Katrina Jackson (D) vs. Sen. David Vitter (R)
Alabama (Safe R): 2014 Gubernatorial Nominee Parker Griffith (D) vs. Sen. Richard Shelby (R)
South Carolina (Safe R): Sen. Tim Scott (R) unopposed

Indiana (Likely R): 2012 Gubernatorial Nominee Judd Gregg (D) vs. Sen. Dan Coats (R)

Polling:

Coats: 50%
Gregg: 40%

Arizona (Lean R): 2012 Senate Nominee Richard Carmona (D) vs. ? (R)

Sen. John McCain (R) faces a tough primary against Rep. David Schweikert (R) on Aug. 23. Either candidate would be favored in the general:

McCain: 49%
Carmona: 40%

Schweikert: 47%
Carmona: 41%

Ohio (Lean R): Councilman P.G. Sittenfeld (D) vs. Sen. Rob Portman (R)

Polling:

Portman: 49%
Sittenfeld: 41%

Kentucky (Lean R): Sec. of State Allison Lundergan Grimes (D) vs. Sen. Rand Paul (R)

Polling:

Paul: 47%
Grimes: 40%

Georgia (Lean R): 2014 Gubernatorial Nominee Jason Carter (D) vs. Sen. Johnny Isakson (R)

Polling:

Isakson: 49%
Carter: 40%


Nevada (Toss-Up): Sen. Harry Reid (D) vs. Fmr. Lt. Gov. Brian Krolicki (R)

Polling:

Krolicki: 47%
Reid: 43%

Colorado (Toss-Up): Sen. Michael Bennet (D) vs. Rep. Scott Tipton (R)

Polling:

Bennet: 46%
Tipton: 46%

Missouri (Toss-Up): Att. Gen. Chris Koster (D) vs. Sen. Roy Blunt (R)

Polling:

Blunt: 46%
Koster: 43%

Illinois (Toss-Up): Rep. Cheri Bustos (D) vs. Sen. Mark Kirk (R)

Polling:

Bustos: 45%
Kirk: 44%

Pennsylvania (Toss-Up): 2010 Senate Nominee Joe Sestak (D) vs. Sen. Pat Toomey (R)

Polling:

Toomey: 45%
Sestak: 45%

New Hampshire (Toss-Up): Fmr. Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) vs. Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R)

Polling:

Ayotte: 46%
Hassan: 44%

North Carolina (Toss-Up): Treasurer Janet Cowell (D) vs. Sen. Richard Burr (R)

Polling:

Burr: 46%
Cowell: 43%

Florida (Toss-Up): Rep. Alex Sink (D) vs. Sen. Marco Rubio (R)

Polling:

Rubio: 47%
Sink: 46%

Wisconsin (Lean D): 2012 Senate Nominee Tammy Baldwin (D) vs. Sen. Ron Johnson (R)

Polling:

Baldwin: 48%
Johnson: 43%

Connecticut (Lean D): Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D) vs. 2010 Gubernatorial Nominee Tom Foley (R)

Polling:

Blumenthal: 47%
Foley: 39%

Vermont (Likely D): Sen. Pat Leahy (D) vs. 2014 Gubernatorial Nominee Scott Milne (R)

Polling:

Leahy: 52%
Milne: 41%

Washington (Likely D): Sen. Patty Murray (D) vs. State Sen. Steve Litzow (R)

Polling:

Murray: 53%
Litzow: 41%

California (Likely D): Insurance Commissioner Dave Jones (D) vs. San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer (R)

Polling:

Jones: 51%
Faulconer: 40%

Oregon (Safe D): Sen. Ron Wyden (D) vs. Fmr. State Rep. Jason Conger (R)
Maryland (Safe D): Att. Gen. Doug Ganzler (D) vs. State Sen. Nancy Jacobs (R)
New York (Safe D): Sen. Chuck Schumer (D) vs. 2014 Gubernatorial Nominee Rob Astorino (R)
Hawaii (Safe D): Sen. Brian Schatz (D) unopposed

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

August 23, 2016 - Senator John McCain (R, AZ) loses primary

"Today, Senator John McCain has lost by a suprisingly wide margin to his primary challenger, Rep. David Schweikert (R). Schweikert ran a strong campaign attacking McCain for neglecting the republican base and aligning himself (McCain) with democrats. Schweikert has pledged to be a true voice for the Tea Party in the united states senate, and now begins the general election against Richard Carmona. John McCain said in a speech tonight that this means that he has reached the end of his political career, taking away rumors that he would mount a future run for one AZ's house seats. For Schweikert, the celebration ends after tonight, and the tough general election begins tomorrow."

Primary Results

Schweikert: 54.2%
McCain: 44.7%
Others: 1.1%

GE Poll (August 24-27)

Schweikert: 48%
Carmona: 41%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Debate Schedule - All Debates held at 7 PM EST

Saturday, October 8 - First Presidential Debate (Domestic Policy) at the University of Pennsylvania

Saturday, October 15 - Vice Presidential Debate at the University of Georgia

Saturday, October 22 - Second Presidential Debate (Town Hall) at the University of Missouri

Saturday, October 29 - Third Presidential Debate (Foreign Policy) at the University of Colorado - Boulder

September 30, 2016 - Presidential Polling

Rating Changes:

SC: Safe R to Likely R
MO: Lean R to Toss-Up
ND: Likely R to Safe R
OH: Toss-Up to Lean D


Schweitzer/Gillibrand: 291
Santorum/Daniels: 178
Toss-Up: 69

Inclusive National:

Schweitzer/Gillibrand: 48.3%
Santorum/Daniels: 43.2%
Others: 2.2%
Undecided: 6.3%

Two-Way National:

Schweitzer/Gillibrand: 49.3%
Santorum/Daniels: 44.4%
Undecided: 6.3%

Colorado:

Schweitzer: 47%
Santorum: 45%

Iowa:

Schweitzer: 47%
Santorum: 47%

Ohio:

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 43%

North Carolina:

Santorum: 47%
Schweitzer: 47%

Florida:

Schweitzer: 47%
Santorum: 46%

Arizona:

Santorum: 50%
Schweitzer: 44%

Georgia:

Santorum: 48%
Schweitzer: 43%

Missouri:

Santorum: 48%
Schweitzer: 44%

NE-2:

Santorum: 50%
Schweitzer: 43%

Virginia:

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 42%

Pennsylvania:

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 42%

Wisconsin:

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 41%

New Hampshire:

Schweitzer: 50%
Santorum: 43%

ME-2:

Schweitzer: 48%
Santorum: 42%

Nevada:

Schweitzer: 53%
Santorum: 42%

Montana:

Schweitzer: 53%
Santorum: 41%

Minnesota:

Schweitzer: 50%
Santorum: 40%

Michigan:

Schweitzer: 50%
Santorum: 40%

South Carolina:

Santorum: 50%
Schweitzer: 39%

South Dakota:

Santorum: 52%
Schweitzer: 40%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The First Debate was bad for Brian Schweitzer. He had underprepared, underestimating Santorum's debate skills. Santorum, if anything, overprepared for the debate, and worked hard to come off as a centrist, while Schweitzer looked like an uncommitted person who was trying to run out the clock.

Debate Winner Poll:

Santorum: 57%
Schweitzer: 34%
Tie: 9%


Image Credit: s3.amazonaws.com

Gillibrand, under pressure to make up for lost ground, did much better than Schweitzer did the week before. Daniels's great debate skills won out, but it was a very hard fought victory.

Debate Winner Poll:

Daniels: 42%
Gillibrand: 39%
Tie: 19%


Image Credit: cdn.lightgalleries.net

Schweitzer learned his lesson from the first debate, and gave a much better and much more convincing performance, while an overconfident Santorum messed up on several questions.

Debate Winner Poll:

Schweitzer: 53%
Santorum: 37%
Tie: 10%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Image Credit: mnginteractive.com

Both candidates came to the third debate well-prepared, and it was vicious and closely contested throughout. The winner of the debate would be decided in the closing statements. By a coin toss, Santorum was selected to close first:

Santorum: "Well, we've come to an end of four long years. We had big goals, and we accomplished them. Ineffective congressional leaders were weakened and eventually thrown out, and ones who care about getting things done have been inaugurated. Throughout my term, Washington has worked again, and real bipartisan deals have been reached. Bipartisan Tax Reform - Done. A balanced budget amendment to the constitution - Passed in congress, and very close to state ratification. Comprehensive Immigration reform - Done. Passing a budget every year, no continuing resolutions - Done. ObamaCare Repeal - Done. Sensible entitlement reforms - Done.

The Democrats wish to cast me as an arch-conservative lunatic who would ruin the nation if he could. Nothing I have ever done in my life suggests that, that is only fabrication. I have conservative principles, yes, but I'll use them to pursue the right path for the nation, and not the horribly flawed path that the democrats think I like, and not the equally horribly flawed path the democrats want to pursue.

With Schweitzer, the path is clear. It's a path back to ObamaCare as it was originally passed in 2009. It's an end to any hope of ever repealing Dodd Frank. It's a reversal of many of the deals we've accomplished these last few years.

Look, I know that some of the votes I received four years ago were related to Benghazi more than anything else, but throughout my term, I've strived to show everyone everything I can to prove that I deserve to win again. And if you reelect me, and give me 3 more senate seats, all the roadblocks will be gone, and you'll see many more great policies than we could have ever hoped for during the last four years."

Schweitzer: "Santorum will stand up and tout his so-called accomplishments to anyone who will listen, but as any sensible member of congress will tell you, Santorum was not working to reach any of those bipartisan deals. Instead, he sulked in a back room while wishing for some arch-conservative policy, and would only sign the eventual deal for political reasons. The way it would work was the house would often pass Santorum's preferred policy, but the senate would refuse, and the house would be forced to agree to a more moderate version that the senate would approve, and Santorum would only sign it to help his reelection, not because he actually liked the deal.

But, you don't need to know what goes on behind the scenes in Congress to understand that Santorum's claims of being moderate are not genuine. When he announced his reelection campaign, he said that during his 2nd term, america would become a "conservative utopia". Those are his words, not mine. Santorum publicly opposed the immigration deal before changing his mind at the very last minute, probably to help him win reelection. When the Supreme Court legalized gay marriage, Santorum cried in anguish and disgust on National TV while trying to ram a consitutional amendment through the house to reverse it. Santorum pretends to be a conciliatory person, but several times, he's publicly criticized conservative democrats and relatively liberal republicans, the very people that are needed to reach bipartisan deals.

In 2014, Santorum asked us to trust him with more power. He got that trust. And then he punished us by taking away medicaid expansion, by eroding almost all health care reform Obama instituted, and by refusing to agree to a tax reform deal that didn't cut taxes for the wealthy. That's just plain wrong. And if we give him the trust he wants now, he'll accomplish all the goals he hasn't accomplished yet - the amendment to overturn Roe vs. Wade, complete repeal of Dodd-Frank, replacing the immigration deal with a self-deportation bill, huge tax cuts for the rich...the list goes on. We simply cannot handle another four years of Santorum.

When I was governor of Montana, I worked across the aisle, and I was beloved for it. I won reelection with 65% of the vote, in a red state that now has a republican governor. Under my presidency, all of the good things passed under Santorum will stay. The bad will be modified or removed. And we'll pursue the real path to prosperity."

The debate winner poll is close, but it's not the result Santorum wanted:

Schweitzer: 43%
Santorum: 38%
Tie: 19%

Next Time: Final Polling
After: Election Night!

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

November 7, 2016 - Presidential Polling

Schweitzer/Gillibrand: 273
Santorum/Daniels: 178
Toss-Up: 87

Santorum's approval numbers have gone up since the primary, but he remains underwater heading into election day:

Disapprove: 50%
Approve: 46%

Senatorial Polling

(totals include holdovers)

Rep: 49
Dem: 39
Ind: 4
Toss-Up: 8

Gubernatorial Polling

(totals include holdovers)

Rep: 33
Dem: 11
Ind: 1
Toss-Up: 5

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 1

It is 7:00 on the east coast, and the first polls have closed!



In the state of Kentucky, President Santorum is the winner!

Kentucky (Final Results):

Santorum: 59.1%
Schweitzer: 38.6%
Others: 2.3%

In the state of Indiana, President Santorum is the winner!

Indiana (Final Results):

Santorum: 55.4%
Schweitzer: 42.3%
Others: 2.3%

In one of the most obvious results of the night, Schweitzer wins in Vermont

Vermont (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 65.1%
Santorum: 31.5%
Others: 3.4%

In Georgia and South Carolina, it is too early to call, but Santorum has the lead. South Carolina's early count is extremely democratic, Georgia will have a republican counting bias throughout the night.

South Carolina (1% in):

Schweitzer: 75%
Santorum: 23%
Others: 2%

Georgia (1% in):

Santorum: 65%
Schweitzer: 34%
Others: 1%

In Virginia, which has a republican counting bias, it is too close to call:

Virginia (1% in):

Santorum: 54%
Schweitzer: 45%
Others: 1%

Looking at the electoral map, Santorum has an early lead, with 19 electoral votes to 3 for Schweitzer:

Looking now to the senate, it is too early to call in Vermont, Kentucky, Indiana, and Georgia. Kentucky has a democratic counting bias. According to exit polls, the republicans are ahead in Kentucky, Indiana, and Georgia, while the Democrats lead in Vermont.

Vermont Senate (1% in):

Leahy(D): 55%
Milne(R): 44%
Others: 1%

Kentucky Senate (7% in):

Grimes(D): 51%
Paul(R): 47%
Others: 2%

Indiana Senate (4% in):

Coats(R): 55%
Gregg(D): 43%
Others: 2%

Georgia Senate (1% in):

Isakson(R): 66%
Carter(D): 32%
Others: 2%

Tim Scott has the life many politicians would love. A life where nobody even tries to defeat you!

South Carolina Senate (Final Results):

Scott (R): 100%

The senate map starts like this:

(totals include holdovers)

Rep: 33
Dem: 30
Ind: 4

Looking now to the governor's chairs, it is too early to call with a Pence Lead in Indiana, and Vermont is too close to call.

Indiana Governor (4% in):

Pence(R): 55%
Ellsworth(D): 43%
Others: 2%

Vermont Governor (1% in)

Shumlin(D): 52%
Dubie(R): 45%
Others: 3%

The Gubernatorial map isn't really worth showing, but take a look:

(totals include holdovers)

Rep: 29
Dem: 9
Ind: 1

We'll now take a look at the first exit polling results of the night:




Virginia:

Schweitzer: 51%
Santorum: 47%

Vermont Governor:

Shumlin(D): 50%
Dubie(R): 47%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 1 Continued

It is 7:30 on the east coast, and polls are closing in three more states!



West Virginia continues to be utterly dead for the democratic party, as Santorum cruises to victory in the state.

West Virginia (Final Results):

Santorum: 60.2%
Schweitzer: 37.5%
Others: 2.3%

It is too close to call in North Carolina and Ohio. Both states have democratic counting biases.

North Carolina (1% in):

Schweitzer: 54%
Santorum: 44%
Others: 2%

Ohio (1% in):

Schweitzer: 61%
Santorum: 37%
Others: 2%

Still too early to call with a Santorum lead in Georgia and South Carolina, and still too close to call in Virginia.

Georgia (2% in):

Santorum: 64%
Schweitzer: 35%
Others: 1%

South Carolina (3% in):

Schweitzer: 55%
Santorum: 43%
Others: 2%

Virginia (6% in):

Santorum: 55%
Schweitzer: 44%
Others: 1%

Santorum now has 24 electoral votes to just 3 for Schweitzer.

Looking to the senate, it is too close to call in North Carolina, while Ohio is too early to call with a Portman lead according to exit polling.

North Carolina Senate (1% in):

Cowell(D): 53%
Burr(R): 45%
Others: 2%

Ohio Senate (1% in):

Sittenfeld(D): 56%
Portman(R): 41%

However, we can project a win for the democrats in Vermont, and a win for the Republicans in Indiana!

Vermont Senate (5% in):

Leahy(D): 54%
Milne(R): 45%
Others: 1%

Vermont Senate (Final Results):

Leahy(D): 54.7%
Milne(R): 44.1%
Others: 1.2%

Indiana Senate (15% in):

Coats(R): 55%
Gregg(D): 43%
Others: 2%

Indiana Senate (Final Results):

Coats(R): 54.2%
Gregg(D): 43.8%
Others: 2%

In Kentucky and in Georgia, it is too early to call with a lead for the republicans according to exit polling.

Kentucky Senate (22% in):

Grimes(D): 50%
Paul(R): 48%
Others: 2%

Georgia Senate (2% in):

Isakson(R): 64%
Carter(D): 34%
Others: 2%

Let's take a look at the senate map:

Rep: 34
Dem: 31
Ind: 4

Moving along to the gubernatorial races, too early to call in North Carolina and West Virginia, with republican leads according to exit polling. Vermont remains too close to call.

North Carolina Governor (1% in):

Cooper(D): 51%
McCrory(R): 47%
Others: 2%

West Virginia Governor (1% in):

Morrisey(R): 54%
Goodwin(D): 44%
Others: 2%

Vermont Governor (5% in):

Shumlin(D): 50%
Dubie(R): 47%
Others: 3%

The Republicans have won in Indiana!

Indiana Governor (15% in):

Pence(R): 55%
Ellsworth(D): 43%
Others: 2%

Indiana Governor (Final Results):

Pence(R): 54.4%
Ellsworth(D): 43.5%
Others: 2.1%

The Gubernatorial map has reached this point:

Rep: 30
Dem: 9
Ind: 1

Now for some exit polling!



Ohio:

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 49%

North Carolina:

Santorum: 49%
Schweitzer: 49%

North Carolina Senate:

Burr(R): 49%
Cowell(D): 48%

-------------------------------------
7:51




Two more republican victories now, for Kentucky Senate and West Virginia Governor!

West Virginia Governor (9% in):

Morrisey(R): 55%
Goodwin(D): 44%
Others: 1%

West Virginia Governor (Final Results):

Morrisey(R): 55.3%
Goodwin(D): 43.4%
Others: 1.3%

Kentucky Senate (39% in):

Paul(R): 49%
Grimes(D): 49%
Others: 2%

Kentucky Senate (Final Results):

Paul(R): 51.9%
Grimes(D): 45.4%
Others: 2.7%

Here are the new senate and gubernatorial maps:

Rep: 35
Dem: 31
Ind: 4

Rep: 31
Dem: 9
Ind: 1

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 2

It is 8:00 on the east coast, and polls are closing in several more states, including the crucial battlegrounds of Florida, Missouri, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire!



And we now have another list of projections to make. Let's first look at the projections for Brian Schweitzer. We can project that he will win in Illinois, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and the District of Columbia!

Illinois (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 57%
Santorum: 41.3%
Others: 1.3%

Maryland (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 61%
Santorum: 36.8%
Others: 2.2%

Delaware (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 57.4%
Santorum: 41%
Others: 1.6%

New Jersey (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 56.4%
Santorum: 42.8%
Others: 0.8%

Connecticut (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 57%
Santorum: 41.8%
Others: 1.2%

Rhode Island (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 62.3%
Santorum: 35.9%
Others: 1.8%

Massachusetts (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 60.9%
Santorum: 37.1%
Others: 2%

District of Columbia (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 91.3%
Santorum: 6.8%
Others: 1.9%

For the state of Maine, we can project the 2 at-large votes and the 1 vote for the first congressional district for Schweitzer. The 2nd congressional district is too early to call, but Schweitzer does have the lead there.

Maine (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 56.7%
Santorum: 42%
Others: 1.3%

ME-1 (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 60.1%
Santorum: 39.2%
Others: 0.7%

ME-2 (1% in):

Schweitzer: 51%
Santorum: 47%
Others: 2%

For Rick Santorum, we have five projections to make, in Alabama, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Mississippi, and South Carolina!

Alabama (Final Results):

Santorum: 60.1%
Schweitzer: 38.9%
Others: 1%

Tennessee (Final Results):

Santorum: 58.4%
Schweitzer: 40.3%
Others: 1.3%

Oklahoma (Final Results):

Santorum: 64.5%
Schweitzer: 33.9%
Others: 1.6%

Mississippi (Final Results):

Santorum: 55.7%
Schweitzer: 42.7%
Others: 1.6%

South Carolina (7% in):

Santorum: 52%
Schweitzer: 47%
Others: 1%

South Carolina (Final Results):

Santorum: 54.4%
Schweitzer: 44.1%
Others: 1.5%

In New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, both of which have democratic counting biases, it is too early to call with a lead for Schweitzer, and it is too close to call in Missouri and Florida. Missouri has a republican counting bias.

New Hampshire (1% in):

Schweitzer: 65%
Santorum: 33%
Others: 2%

Pennsylvania (1% in):

Schweitzer: 57%
Santorum: 41%
Others: 2%

Missouri (1% in):

Santorum: 60%
Schweitzer: 39%
Others: 1%

Florida (50% in):

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 48%
Others: 3%

Meanwhile, still too early to call in Georgia with a Santorum lead, and still too close to call in Ohio, North Carolina, and Virginia!

Georgia (9% in):

Santorum: 59%
Schweitzer: 40%
Others: 1%

Ohio (7% in):

Schweitzer: 61%
Santorum: 37%
Others: 2%

North Carolina (17% in):

Schweitzer: 53%
Santorum: 45%
Others: 2%

Virginia (20% in):

Santorum: 53%
Schweitzer: 46%
Others: 1%

Schweitzer now has the lead in the electoral college! He has 78 electoral votes to 66 for Santorum.

Looking now to the senate, we have republican victories in Alabama and Oklahoma, and a Democratic Victory in Maryland!

Alabama Senate (Final Results):

Shelby(R): 65%
Griffith(D): 33%
Others: 2%

Oklahoma Senate (Final Results):

Lankford(R): 66.9%
Johnson(D): 31.8%
Others: 1.3%

Maryland Senate (Final Results):

Gansler(D): 59.4%
Jacobs(R): 38.1%
Others: 2.5%

In Connecticut, it is too early to call with a lead for the democrats, and it is too close to call in Florida, Missouri, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire. The Illinois vote will be heavily republican until cook county comes in.

Connecticut Senate (1% in):

Blumenthal (D): 52%
Foley(R): 46%
Others: 2%

Florida Senate (50% in):

Sink(D): 50%
Rubio(R): 47%
Others: 3%

Missouri Senate (1% in):

Blunt(R): 54%
Koster(D): 40%
Other: 6%

Illinois Senate(1% in):

Kirk(R): 55%
Bustos(D): 42%
Others: 3%

Pennsylvania Senate (1% in):

Sestak(D): 55%
Toomey(R): 44%
Others: 1%

New Hampshire Senate (1% in):

Hassan(D): 61%
Ayotte(R): 37%
Others: 2%

Still too early to call with republican leads according to exit polling in Georgia and Ohio, and still too close to call in North Carolina.

Georgia Senate (9% in):

Isakson(R): 60%
Carter(D): 38%
Others: 2%

Ohio Senate (7% in):

Sittenfeld(D): 56%
Portman(R): 41%
Others: 2%

North Carolina Senate (17% in):

Cowell(D): 52%
Burr(R): 46%
Others: 2%

Let's now take a look at the senate map:

Rep: 37
Dem: 32
Ind: 4

Looking at the governorships, we have a democratic victory in Delaware, and it is too close to call in Missouri and New Hampshire.

Delaware Governor (Final Results):

Biden(D): 65%
Cragg(R): 34%
Others: 1%

Missouri Governor (1% in):

Hanaway(R): 55%
Zweifel(D): 41%
Others: 4%

New Hampshire Governor (1% in):

Marchand(D): 60%
Bradley(R): 37%
Others: 3%

Still too early to call with a McCrory exit poll lead in North Carolina, and still too close to call in Vermont.

North Carolina Governor (17% in):

Cooper(D): 50%
McCrory(R): 48%
Others: 2%

Vermont Governor (17% in):

Shumlin(D): 50%
Dubie(R): 47%
Others: 3%

Here's the gubernatorial map:

Rep: 31
Dem: 10
Ind: 1

Here's the newest batch of exit polling:



Missouri:

Santorum: 50%
Schweitzer: 48%

Florida:

Santorum: 49%
Schweitzer: 49%

Florida Senate:

Sink(D): 50%
Rubio(R): 47%

Missouri Senate:

Blunt(R): 47%
Koster(D): 47%

Illinois Senate:

Bustos(D): 49%
Kirk(R): 48%

Pennsylvania Senate:

Sestak(D): 50%
Toomey(R): 48%

New Hampshire Senate:

Hassan(D): 49%
Ayotte(R): 49%

Missouri Governor:

Hanaway(R): 48%
Zweifel(D): 48%

New Hampshire Governor:

Bradley(R): 49%
Marchand(D): 48%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 2 Continued

It is 8:30 on the east coast, and polls are closing in Arkansas!



President Santorum will win the state of Arkansas, and Senator Boozman has won re-election!

Arkansas (Final Results):

Santorum: 59%
Schweitzer: 38.3%
Others: 2.7%

Arkansas Senate (Final Results):

Boozman(R): 60%
Maloch(D): 37.7%
Others: 2.3%

We can also project the North Carolina Governor's Race for Pat McCrory!

North Carolina Governor (32% in):

McCrory(R): 49%
Cooper(D): 49%
Others: 2%

North Carolina Governor (Final Results):

McCrory(R): 53.4%
Cooper(D): 45.3%
Others: 1.3%

Here are the new maps:

Schweitzer: 78
Santorum: 72

Rep: 38
Dem: 32
Ind: 4

Rep: 32
Dem: 10
Ind: 1

---------------------
8:50



Two more important projections to make. Senator Johnny Isakson will hold on in Georgia, but Schweitzer has won the important battleground state of New Hampshire!

Georgia Senate (31% in):

Isakson(R): 60%
Carter(D): 38%
Others: 2%

Georgia Senate (Final Results):

Isakson(R): 53.1%
Carter(D): 45.1%
Others: 1.8%

New Hampshire (22% in):

Schweitzer: 55%
Santorum: 43%
Others: 2%

New Hampshire (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 52.5%
Santorum: 45.6%
Others: 1.9%

Here are the new maps:

Schweitzer: 82
Santorum: 72

Rep: 39
Dem: 32
Ind: 4

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 3

It is 9:00 on the east coast, and the polls are closing in several more states, including the battlegrounds of Arizona, Colorado, and Wisconsin!



For President Santorum, we can now project that Georgia, Louisiana, Texas, Kansas, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Wyoming will be in his column!

Georgia (36% in):

Santorum: 59%
Schweitzer: 40%
Others: 1%

Georgia (Final Results):

Santorum: 52.3%
Schweitzer: 46.9%
Others: 0.8%

Louisiana (Final Results):

Santorum: 57.8%
Schweitzer: 40.2%
Others: 2%

Texas (Final Results):

Santorum: 56.8%
Schweitzer: 41.4%
Others: 1.8%

Kansas (Final Results):

Santorum: 59%
Schweitzer: 39%
Others: 2%

South Dakota (Final Results):

Santorum: 55.9%
Schweitzer: 42.4%
Others: 1.7%

North Dakota (Final Results):

Santorum: 55.4%
Schweitzer: 41.2%
Others: 3.4%

Wyoming (Final Results):

Santorum: 68.4%
Schweitzer: 29.9%
Others: 1.7%

For the state of Nebraska, we can project the 2 at large votes, the 1 vote for the first congressional district, and the 1 vote for the third congressional district for Santorum. The second congressional district is too early to call with a Santorum lead.

Nebraska (Final Results):

Santorum: 59.8%
Schweitzer: 38.4%
Others: 1.8%

NE-1 (Final Results):

Santorum: 56.9%
Schweitzer: 40.5%
Others: 2.6%

NE-2 (1% in):

Santorum: 53%
Schweitzer: 45%
Others: 2%

NE-3 (Final Results):

Santorum: 69.2%
Schweitzer: 29.7%
Others: 1.1%

For Brian Schweitzer, we can project New Mexico, Michigan, and New York!

New Mexico (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 54.8%
Santorum: 42.1%
Others: 3.1%

Michigan (12% in):

Schweitzer: 50%
Santorum: 48%
Others: 2%

Michigan (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 54.5%
Santorum: 43.8%
Others: 1.7%

New York (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 61.4%
Santorum: 37%
Others: 1.6%

In the state of Arizona, which has a republican counting bias, it is too early to call with a Santorum lead. Under state law, non-exit-poll results will not be released until an hour from now.

In Minnesota, Wisconsin, ME-2, and Pennsylvania, it is too early to call with a lead for Schweitzer according to exit polling. Minnesota's counting bias is democratic, Wisconsin's is republican.

Minnesota (1% in):

Schweitzer: 60%
Santorum: 38%
Others: 2%

Wisconsin (1% in):

Santorum: 57%
Schweitzer: 41%
Others: 2%

ME-2 (10% in):

Schweitzer: 52%
Santorum: 46%
Others: 2%

Pennsylvania (3% in):

Schweitzer: 55%
Santorum: 44%
Others: 1%

In Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Missouri, Ohio, and Colorado, it is too close to call. Colorado has a republican counting bias.

Virginia (46% in):

Santorum: 51%
Schweitzer: 47%
Others: 2%

North Carolina (47% in):

Schweitzer: 51%
Santorum: 47%
Others: 2%

Florida (83% in):

Santorum: 49%
Schweitzer: 49%
Others: 2%

Missouri (2% in):

Santorum: 58%
Schweitzer: 40%
Others: 2%

Ohio (25% in):

Schweitzer: 54%
Santorum: 44%
Others: 2%

Colorado (1% in):

Santorum: 55%
Schweitzer: 43%
Others: 2%

Now, Santorum has taken the lead in the electoral college! He has 153 electoral votes to 132 for Schweitzer.

Now, for the senate, we have democratic victories in New York, Connecticut, and Florida!

New York Senate (Final Results):

Schumer(D): 63.7%
Astorino(R): 35%
Others: 1.3%

Connecticut Senate (25% in):

Blumenthal(D): 53%
Foley(R): 45%
Others: 2%

Connecticut Senate (Final Results):

Blumenthal(D): 52.7%
Foley(R): 45%
Others: 2.3%

Florida Senate (83% in):

Sink(D): 50%
Rubio(R): 48%
Others: 2%

Florida Senate (Final Results):

Sink(D): 49.5%
Rubio(R): 48.3%
Others: 2.2%

and Republican victories in Louisiana, Kansas, South Dakota, and North Dakota!

Louisiana Senate (Final Results)

Vitter(R): 57.5%
Jackson(D) 40.1%
Others: 2.4%

Kansas Senate (Final Results):

Moran(R): 58%
Brewer(D): 39.7%
Others: 2.3%

South Dakota Senate (Final Results):

Thune(R): 64%
Jarding(D): 32.5%
Others: 3.5%

North Dakota Senate (Final Results):

Hoeven(R): 56%
Sinner(D): 40%
Others: 4%

In Arizona, it is too close to call. Again, no results will be available until an hour from now.

In Ohio, still too early to call with a Portman lead according to exit polling, and it is too close to call in Colorado, Missouri, Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and New Hampshire.

Ohio Senate (25% in):

Sittenfeld(D): 50%
Portman(R): 47%
Others: 3%

Colorado Senate (1% in):

Tipton(R): 55%
Bennett(D): 42%
Others: 3%

Missouri Senate (2% in):

Blunt(R): 53%
Koster(D): 41%
Others: 6%

Illinois Senate (17% in):

Kirk(R): 58%
Bustos(D): 40%
Others: 2%

Wisconsin Senate (1% in):

Johnson(R): 58%
Baldwin(D): 40%
Others: 2%

Pennsylvania Senate (3% in):

Sestak(D): 54%
Toomey(R): 45%
Others: 1%

North Carolina Senate (47% in):

Cowell(D): 50%
Burr(R): 48%
Others: 2%

New Hampshire Senate (26% in):

Hassan(D): 51%
Ayotte(R): 48%
Others: 1%

Let's take a look at the senate map:

Rep: 43
Dem: 35
Ind: 4

Among the gubernatorial races, it is too close to call in North Dakota, Missouri, Vermont, and New Hampshire.

North Dakota Governor (1% in):

Darylmple(R): 50%
Heitkamp(D): 48%
Others: 2%

Missouri Governor (2% in):

Hanaway(R): 54%
Zweifel(D): 42%
Others: 4%

Vermont Governor (40% in):

Shumlin(D): 51%
Dubie(R): 46%
Others: 3%

New Hampshire Governor (26% in):

Marchand(D): 50%
Bradley(R): 49%
Others: 1%

Here's the gubernatorial map:

Rep: 32
Dem: 10
Ind: 1

Let's now take a look at the latest batch of exit polling:



Colorado:

Santorum: 49%
Schweitzer: 49%

Colorado Senate:

Tipton(R): 49%
Bennett(D): 49%

Arizona Senate:

Schweikert(R): 48%
Carmona(D): 48%

Wisconsin Senate:

Baldwin(D): 50%
Johnson(R): 48%

North Dakota Governor:

Darlymple(R): 49%
Heitkamp(D): 48%

And one more call to make:



We can project the republicans will keep their majority in the house of representatives, but their majority has shrunk in size.

House Majority (Final Results):

Rep: 237 (-10)
Dem: 198 (+10)

(As always, the full list of house pickups will be released at the end of election night coverage)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 3 Continued

9:18



Terrible news for Santorum. Schweitzer has won the state of Pennsylvania!

Pennsylvania (7% in):

Schweitzer: 67%
Santorum: 31%
Others: 2%

Pennsylvania (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 52.4%
Santorum: 46.1%
Others: 1.5%

Here is the new electoral map:

Santorum: 153
Schweitzer: 152

------------
9:27



And now some good news for the republicans! Santorum wins in the state of Florida, as Rob Portman wins reelection to the senate!

Florida (90% in):

Santorum: 50%
Schweitzer: 48%
Others: 2%

Florida (Final Results):

Santorum: 49.8%
Schweitzer: 47.9%
Others: 2.3%

Ohio Senate (33% in):

Portman(R): 49%
Sittenfeld(D): 48%
Others: 3%

Ohio Senate (Final Results):

Portman(R): 52%
Sittenfeld(D): 44.7%
Others: 3.3%

Here are the new presidential and senate maps:

Santorum: 182
Schweitzer: 152

Rep: 44
Dem: 35
Ind: 4

---------
9:40



Richard Burr has won another six years in the senate!

North Carolina Senate (58% in):

Burr(R): 49%
Cowell(D): 49%
Others: 2%

North Carolina Senate (Final Results):

Burr(R): 51%
Cowell(D): 47%
Others: 2%

Here is the new senate map:

Rep: 45
Dem: 35
Ind: 4

-------------
9:49



Schweitzer has won the state of Minnesota, and can also breathe a sigh of relief as he wins the 2nd congressional district of Maine, which was the deciding jurisdiction four years ago.

Minnesota (20% in):

Schweitzer: 59%
Santorum: 39%
Others: 2%

Minnesota (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 54%
Santorum: 44.2%
Others: 1.8%

ME-2 (29% in):

Schweitzer: 52%
Santorum: 46%
Others: 2%

ME-2 (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 52.8%
Santorum: 45.4%
Others: 1.8%

Here's the new electoral map:

Santorum: 182
Schweitzer: 163

[Free Bird]

http://objection.mrdictionary.net/go.php?n=7819839

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

http://objection.mrdictionary.net/go.php?n=7819839

Hey, if I made this timeline utterly predictable, it would be unpopular. You should be glad that I slip some surprises in.

[The Other Castro]

http://objection.mrdictionary.net/go.php?n=7819839

Hey, if I made this timeline utterly predictable, it would be unpopular. You should be glad that I slip some surprises in.

Rubio losing? Impossible. Santorum beating Obama in 2012 and still having a 2014 Republican wave? Why not.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 4

It is 10:00 on the east coast, and the polls are closing in four more states!



We can project the states of Utah and North Carolina for President Santorum!

Utah (Final Results):

Santorum: 66.6%
Schweitzer: 30.4%
Others: 3%

North Carolina (71% in):

Santorum: 49%
Schweitzer: 49%
Others: 2%

North Carolina (Final Results):

Santorum: 50%
Schweitzer: 47.6%
Others: 2.4%

In Montana, Nevada, and Wisconsin, too early to call with a lead for Schweitzer. Montana and Nevada have democratic counting biases.

Montana (1% in):

Schweitzer: 65%
Santorum: 32%
Others: 3%

Nevada (1% in):

Schwetizer: 66%
Santorum: 32%
Others/NOTA: 2%

Wisconsin (14% in):

Santorum: 53%
Schweitzer: 45%
Others: 1%

In Arizona and NE-2, still too early to call with a Santorum lead.

Arizona (1% in):

Santorum: 58%
Schweitzer: 40%
Others: 2%

NE-2 (19% in):

Santorum: 52%
Schweitzer: 46%
Others: 2%

In Iowa, Colorado, Missouri, Ohio, and Virginia, it is too close to call.

Iowa (1% in):

Schweitzer: 64%
Santorum: 34%
Others: 2%

Colorado (50% in):

Santorum: 52%
Schweitzer: 46%
Others: 2%

Missouri (20% in):

Santorum: 54%
Schweitzer: 44%
Others: 2%

Ohio (49% in):

Schweitzer: 51%
Santorum: 46%
Others: 3%

Virginia (70% in):

Santorum: 50%
Schweitzer: 49%
Others: 1%

Now to the electoral map. Santorum has crossed the 200 barrier, and stands at 203 electoral votes. Schweitzer lags behind at 163.

Now, turning to the senatorial races, we have republican victories in Iowa and Utah!

Iowa Senate (Final Results):

Grassley(R): 58.9%
Vilsack(D): 38.4%
Others: 2.7%

Utah Senate (Final Results):

Romney(R): 60.7%
Owens(D): 37%
Others: 2.3%

In Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Missouri, Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire, it is too close to call.

Nevada Senate (1% in):

Reid(D): 60%
Krolicki(R): 38%
Others: 2%

Arizona Senate (1% in):

Schweikert(R): 55%
Carmona(D): 42%
Others: 3%

Colorado Senate (50% in):

Tipton(R): 53%
Bennett(D): 45%
Others: 2%

Missouri Senate (20% in):

Blunt(R): 50%
Koster(D): 44%
Others: 6%

Illinois Senate (51% in):

Bustos(D): 53%
Kirk(R): 44%
Others: 3%

Wisconsin Senate(14% in):

Johnson(R): 55%
Baldwin(D): 44%
Others: 1%

Pennsylvania Senate (35% in):

Sestak(D): 55%
Toomey(R): 44%
Others: 1%

New Hampshire Senate (50% in):

Ayotte(R): 51%
Hassan(D): 48%
Others: 1%

Here's the new senate map:

Rep: 47
Dem: 35
Ind: 4

In terms of gubernatorial races, we have a democratic victory in Vermont, and Republican Victories in Utah and New Hampshire!

Vermont Governor (60% in):

Shumlin(D): 52%
Dubie(R): 45%
Others: 3%

Vermont Governor (Final Results):

Shumlin(D): 51.4%
Dubie(R): 46%
Others: 2.6%

Utah Governor (Final Results):

Herbert(R): 68%
Granato(D): 29.9%
Others: 2.1%

New Hampshire Governor (50% in):

Bradley(R): 52%
Marchand(D): 46%
Others: 2%

New Hampshire Governor (Final Results):

Bradley(R): 50.2%
Marchand(D): 47.5%
Others: 2.3%

In Missouri, North Dakota, and Montana, it is too close to call.

Missouri Governor (20% in):

Hanaway(R): 51%
Zweifel(D): 45%
Others: 3%

North Dakota Governor (16% in):

Heitkamp(D): 49%
Darylmple(R): 49%
Others: 2%

Montana Governor (1% in):

Bullock(D): 58%
Hill(R): 38%
Others: 4%

Here's the new gubernatorial map:

Rep: 34
Dem: 11
Ind: 1

Here's the next batch of exit polling:



Iowa:

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 49%

Nevada Senate:

Krolicki(R): 50%
Reid(D): 47%

Montana Governor:

Hill(R): 48%
Bullock(D): 47%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 4 Continued

10:16



The state of Virginia will go for Brian Schweitzer!

Virginia (76% in):

Schweitzer: 50%
Santorum: 49%
Others: 1%

Virginia (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 51.7%
Santorum: 46.8%
Others: 1.5%

Santorum - 203
Schweitzer - 176

------------

10:40



Santorum wins in Arizona and NE-2!

Arizona (50% in):

Santorum: 55%
Schweitzer: 44%
Others: 1%

Arizona (Final Results):

Santorum: 52.6%
Schweitzer: 45.9%
Others: 1.5%

NE-2 (32% in):

Santorum: 53%
Schweitzer: 45%
Others: 2%

NE-2 (Final Results):

Santorum: 52.4%
Schweitzer: 45.5%
Others: 2.1%

Santorum: 215
Schweitzer: 176

---------
10:46



Senator Kirk has been defeated!

Illinois Senate (66% in):

Bustos(D): 52%
Kirk(R): 45%
Others: 3%

Illinois Senate (Final Results):

Bustos(D): 49.9%
Kirk(R): 47.3%
Others: 2.8%

Rep - 47
Dem - 36
Ind - 4

------------
10:48



Here's one that Santorum will have a tough time getting around. Schweitzer will win in the states of Wisconsin and Ohio! For Ohio, most of the republican areas are in, and what's left will either keep the race where it is or help Schweitzer, so we can now place the state in Schweitzer's Column!


Wisconsin (33% in):

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 49%
Others: 2%

Wisconsin (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 52.7%
Santorum: 45.6%
Others: 1.7%

Ohio (69% in):

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 48%
Others: 3%

Ohio (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 50.3%
Santorum: 47.3%
Others: 2.4%

Now, both candidates have over 200 electoral votes!

Santorum: 215
Schweitzer: 204

[Free Bird]

Congrats President Schweitzer

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 5

And now, the clock has struck 11 on the east coast!



And we can project that due to victories in California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, and Montana, Former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer will be the 46th president of the united states! This nation will also see its first female vice president, in the New York Senator and soon to be the 49th Vice President of the United States, Kirsten Gillibrand!

California (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 60.3%
Santorum: 37.6%
Others: 2.1%

Oregon (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 55.7%
Santorum: 42.1%
Others: 2.3%

Washington (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 57.4%
Santorum: 40.9%
Others: 1.7%

Hawaii (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 67%
Santorum: 31%
Others: 2%

Idaho (Final Results):

Santorum: 63.9%
Schweitzer: 32%
Others: 4.1%

Montana (12% in):

Schweitzer: 61%
Santorum: 36%
Others: 3%

Montana (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 54.4%
Santorum: 42.9%
Others: 2.7%

Schweitzer: 285
Santorum: 219

-----To Be Continued------

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 5 Continued

11:15:

We're going to interrupt the discussion of the presidential winner for a look at the latest results. We'll begin with an important projection that just came in:



Santorum will win in the state of Missouri! This state is much closer this cycle than it was in 2012, but Missouri remains just too republican to support even a moderate democrat at the presidential level, and this takes away any trace of Missouri's former status as a bellwether state.


Missouri (54% in):

Santorum: 53%
Schweitzer: 45%
Others: 2%

Missouri (Final Results):

Santorum: 51.5%
Schweitzer: 47.2%
Others: 1.3%

Here are new numbers from the three states that remain uncalled at the presidential level:

Nevada (5% in):

Schweitzer: 63%
Santorum: 35%
Others: 2%

Colorado (77% in):

Santorum: 50%
Schweitzer: 48%
Others: 2%

Iowa (55% in):

Schweitzer: 50%
Santorum: 48%
Others: 2%

Here's the new electoral map:

Schweitzer: 285
Santorum: 229

Now to the senate races. We have democratic victories in Washington, Oregon, and Hawaii!

Washington Senate (Final Results):

Murray(D): 57%
Litzle(R): 43%

Oregon Senate (Final Results):

Wyden(D): 57.7%
Conger(R): 39.6%
Others: 2.7%

Hawaii Senate (Final Results):

Schatz(D): 100%

The Republicans will win in Idaho!

Idaho Senate (Final Results):

Crapo(R): 62.1%
Mitchell(D): 35%
Others: 2.9%

In California, too early to call with a lead for the Democrats. 7 other senate races remain uncalled:

California Senate (4% in):

Jones(D): 52%
Faucloner(R): 48%

Nevada Senate (5% in):

Reid(D): 56%
Krolicki(R): 42%
Others: 2%

Arizona Senate (66% in):

Schweikert(R): 52%
Carmona(D): 45%
Others: 3%

Colorado Senate (77% in):

Tipton(R): 51%
Bennett(D): 46%
Others: 3%

Missouri Senate (54% in):

Blunt(R): 49%
Koster(D): 45%
Others: 6%

Wisconsin Senate (40% in):

Johnson(R): 50%
Baldwin(D): 48%
Others: 2%

Pennsylvania Senate (59% in):

Sestak(D): 53%
Toomey(R): 46%
Others: 1%

New Hampshire Senate (77% in):

Ayotte(R): 51%
Hassan(D): 48%
Others: 1%

Here's the new senate map:

Rep: 48
Dem: 39
Ind: 4

For the gubernatorial races, four states remain too close to call. Washington state has a republican counting bias.

Washington Governor (5% in):

Reichert(R): 55%
Inslee(D): 45%

Montana Governor (15% in):

Bullock(D): 54%
Hill(R): 42%
Others: 4%

North Dakota Governor (41% in):

Darylmple(R): 49%
Heitkamp(D): 49%
Others: 2%

Missouri Governor (54% in):

Hanaway(R): 50%
Zweifel(D): 46%
Others: 4%

Here's the new gubernatorial map:

Rep: 34
Dem: 11
Ind: 1

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 5 Continued

Washington Governor (EXIT POLL)

Inslee(D): 50%
Reichert(R): 50%

-------------------

11:26-11:37 - President Santorum's Concession Speech

11:38:



During Santorum's Concession Speech, we received calls on 3 senate races. Only one of the calls is good news for the republicans:

Wisconsin Senate (52% in):

Baldwin(D): 49%
Johnson(R): 49%
Others: 2%

Wisconsin Senate (Final Results):

Baldwin(D): 51.4%
Johnson(R): 47%
Others: 1.6%

Pennsylvania Senate (67% in):

Sestak(D): 53%
Toomey(R): 46%
Others: 1%

Pennsylvania Senate (Final Results):

Sestak(D): 50.9%
Toomey(R): 48%
Others: 1.1%

New Hampshire Senate (85% in):

Ayotte(R): 51%
Hassan(D): 48%
Others: 1%

New Hampshire Senate (Final Results):

Ayotte(R): 49.9%
Hassan(D): 48.9%
Others: 1.2%

Rep: 49
Dem: 41
Ind: 4

11:45:



Two more senate races to call. One goes to the democrats, the other to the republicans!

California Senate (20% in):

Jones(D): 53%
Faucloner(R): 47%

California Senate (Final Results):

Jones(D): 54.6%
Faucloner(R): 45.4%

Arizona Senate (80% in):

Schweikert(R): 51%
Carmona(D): 46%
Others: 3%

Arizona Senate (Final Results):

Schweikert(R): 49.6%
Carmona(D): 47.4%
Others: 3%

Now, as long as Orman continues to caucus with them, the republicans have kept their senate majority!

Rep: 50
Dem: 42
Ind: 4

11:56:



Schweitzer wins in Nevada, as high evangelical turnout gets Santorum a victory in Iowa!

Nevada (54% in):

Schweitzer: 56%
Santorum: 42%
Others/NOTA: 2%

Nevada (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 53.7%
Santorum: 44.7%
Others/NOTA: 1.6%

Iowa (84% in):

Santorum: 50%
Schweitzer: 48%
Others: 2%

Iowa (Final Results):

Santorum: 49.9%
Schweitzer: 48.1%
Others: 2%

Schweitzer: 291
Santorum: 235

12:01-12:28: President-Elect Schweitzer Victory Speech

12:44:



Harry Reid has been defeated!

Nevada Senate (76% in):

Krolicki(R): 50%
Reid(D): 48%
Others/NOTA: 2%

Nevada Senate (Final Results):

Krolicki(R): 51.6%
Reid(D): 46.8%
Others/NOTA: 1.6%

Now, regardless of how Orman caucuses, Republicans have retained their senate majority!

Rep: 51
Dem: 42
Ind: 4

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Part 6

It is 1:00 AM on the east coast, and polls are closing in Alaska!



We project the state of Alaska for President Santorum, and the state of Colorado for President-Elect Schweitzer!

Alaska (Final Results):

Santorum: 57%
Schweitzer: 40%
Others: 3%

Colorado (91% in):

Schweitzer: 49%
Santorum: 49%
Others: 2%

Colorado (Final Results):

Schweitzer: 49.5%
Santorum: 48.4%
Others: 2.1%

The Presidential Map is now complete!

Schweitzer: 300
Santorum: 238


Moving along to the senate, we project Alaska and Colorado for the republicans!

Alaska Senate (Final Results):

Murkowski(R): 58.5%
French(D): 39.7%
Others: 1.8%

Colorado Senate (91% in):

Tipton(R): 50%
Bennett(D): 47%
Others: 3%

Colorado Senate (Final Results):

Tipton(R): 48.9%
Bennett(D): 48.1%
Others: 3%

Still too close to call in Missouri:

Missouri Senate (79% in):

Blunt(R): 48%
Koster(D): 46%
Others: 6%

Here's the new senate map:

Rep: 53
Dem: 42
Ind: 4

Still too close to call in the four uncalled gubernatorial races:

Missouri Governor (79% in):

Hanaway(R): 49%
Zweifel(D): 47%
Others: 4%

North Dakota Governor (86% in):

Heitkamp(D): 49%
Darylmple(R): 49%
Others: 2%

Montana Governor (57% in):

Bullock(D): 51%
Hill(R): 45%
Others: 4%

Washington Governor (55% in):

Reichert(R): 52%
Inslee(D): 48%

The Gubernatorial map remains unchanged:

Rep: 34
Dem: 11
Ind: 1

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Election Night 2016 - Final Results

Senate:

Rep Caucus: 54
Dem Caucus: 46

Missouri Senate (Final Results):

Koster(D): 48%
Blunt(R): 46.3%
Others: 5.7%

Pressler, Sanders, and King continue to caucus with democrats. Orman continues to caucus with republicans.

The new democratic leader is Chuck Schumer. Dick Durbin is still Minority Whip. All other leadership remains the same for both the house and senate.

-------

Governors:

Rep: 34
Dem: 15
Ind: 1

North Dakota Governor (Final Results):

Heitkamp(D): 49.8%
Darylmple(R): 48.8%
Others: 2.4%

Montana Governor (Final Results):

Bullock(D): 48.6%
Hill(R): 47.4%
Others: 4%

Missouri Governor (Final Results):

Zweifel(D): 48.7%
Hanaway(R): 47.6%
Others: 3.7%

Washington Governor (Final Results):

Inslee(D): 51.2%
Reichert(R): 48.8%

--------------

President:

Schweitzer: 300
Santorum: 238

There are no faithless electors.

National Popular Vote

Schweitzer: 51%
Santorum: 46.8%
Others: 2.2%

--------------

House Pickups:

Republican Pickup:

NE-02

Democratic Pickups:

IA-01
NV-04
NY-01
NY-24
CA-07
MN-08
AZ-02
IL-10
NY-19
PA-08
MI-01

Final Count:

Rep: 237 (-10)
Dem: 198 (+10)

--------------------

And so, after an uneventful lame duck session and early January, Schweitzer and Gillibrand assumed the offices of President and Vice President. As Schweitzer gave his inaugural address, there was one republican watching who was perhaps happier than the rest:


Image Credit: spokesman.com

That would be Dino Rossi, who had won election to WA-08 to replace Dave Reichert, who had to retire in order to run for governor. Dino Rossi was no longer a mere perennial - he finally held a federal office. It was only a U.S. House seat, yes - but it was a start....

**THE END (at least for now)**

(My next timeline, as chosen by the other users of this site, will be "The 1968 Deadlock".)

[Free Bird]

Calling it now. Rossi takes on Schweitzer in 2020. And how does a Democrat win an ND governor race? I'm interested in seeing the Senate composition here. By 2000s standards, it looks more wacky than the 80s

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling it now. Rossi takes on Schweitzer in 2020. And how does a Democrat win an ND governor race? I'm interested in seeing the Senate composition here. By 2000s standards, it looks more wacky than the 80s

I don't do state senate results, that would take way too much time. I've posted full results for the U.S. Senate. But the basic idea behind Heitkamp's win is that Darylmple had a pretty average six years as governor with little charisma, Heitkamp was a moderate who had very high name recognition from her 2012 senate run, and Schweitzer hitting the low 40's in ND got the number of percentage points Heitkamp needed to run ahead of him just low enough for her to win.