Marist/NBC: Ties in both IA & NH

[Tender Branson]

IA:

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The NBC/Marist poll of Iowa was conducted July 7-13 of 558 potential Republican caucus-goers (+/- 4.1% margin of error), 538 potential Democratic caucus-goers (+/- 4.2%) and 1,599 potential general-election voters (+/- 2.5%).

NH:

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The NBC/Marist poll of New Hampshire was conducted July 7-13 of 544 potential GOP primary voters (+/- 4.2%), 479 potential Democratic primary voters (+/- 4.5%) and 1,342 registered voters (+/- 2.7%)

...

20 percent of GOP caucus-goers in Iowa and 22 percent of GOP New Hampshire primary voters say they are undecided about their pick in 2016.

...

DEMS:

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http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/poll-democrats-ready-hillary-everyone-else-not-much-n157821

[Mr. Morden]

Iowa

Dems

Clinton 70%
Biden 20%

GOP

Bush 12%
Paul 12%
Ryan 11%
Santorum 9%
Christie 8%
Perry 7%
Cruz 7%
Rubio 7%
Walker 5%
Jindal 1%


New Hampshire

Dems

Clinton 74%
Biden 18%

GOP

Paul 14%
Christie 13%
Bush 10%
Cruz 9%
Ryan 7%
Rubio 7%
Walker 6%
Perry 5%
Jindal 4%
Santorum 3%

[Mr. Morden]

Who is your second choice on the GOP side?

Iowa

Bush 12%
Santorum 11%
Ryan 11%
Perry 11%
Paul 10%
Cruz 9%
Christie 9%
Rubio 8%
Walker 6%
Jindal 4%

New Hampshire

Rubio 16%
Bush 13%
Christie 12%
Paul 12%
Ryan 10%
Cruz 7%
Jindal 6%
Walker 6%
Perry 6%
Santorum 4%

[IceSpear]

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No way. I heard Democrats despise Hillary and are hungry for an alternative.

[Phony Moderate]

The GOP primaries are going to be an absolute circus.

[Maxwell]

Cruz is at Perry levels. Ouch. He was leading the field earlier.

If Walker wins re-election, I still have a feeling he will be the next Anti-Paul.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

I thought Ryan was polling low-I am surprised that he is now gaining steam.

[Mr. Morden]

I thought Ryan was polling low-I am surprised that he is now gaining steam.

11% in Iowa is lower than his showing in 2 of the 3 most recent Iowa polls, so I wouldn't call it "gaining steam".  The difference is that you usually have someone (usually Huckabee, who wasn't included in this poll) farther up in the high teens or so, whereas in this poll, the field is incredibly flat.