GA-Landmark Comm/WSB: Carter +8

[Adam Griffin]

Scandal having an effect? This poll's details aren't out yet, but:

Carter 49%
Deal 41%
Hunt 4%

[NHLiberal]

Uh considering this is a Republican firm this is very bad news for Deal

[Flake]

http://www.wsbtv.com/video-center/

click wsbtv-live button

[illegaloperation]

Boom! Deal needs to go down in flames.

[Flake]

They said Carter has about a 2-1 advantage with women. So that's where the lead is coming from.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Even if its accurate (this lead looks a little too wide), Carter is still below 50%. If he doesn't clear it the run-off is a more dicey affair.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Sorry...Not buying it !

Deal wins in a narrow margin.

[JRP1994]

If I could have one 2014 wish come true, it would be a Jason Carter win.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wouldnt be dismissive of this poll. The Carter and Nunn name may be an edge over corruption.

[Adam Griffin]

Landmark is Mark Rountree's polling firm (R). Even if this is an outlier, it's a terrible sign for Deal. It could be the opposite; maybe Carter's up by 10.

[Free Bird]

I find this hard to believe.

[free my dawg]

I'll be waiting for a reputable firm to confirm this.

[Adam Griffin]

It seems too good to be true, but the coverage of this latest round of ethics intimidation (for those who are unaware, the ethics chief who was embroiled in a series of lawsuits claiming she made Deal's ethics charges go away by firing people has now come forward to say that Deal's in-house attorney threatened her and the agency by saying that rule-making power would not be restored) is scathing.

I'm nearly certain that we'll have at least 1 or 2 other polls in the coming days that will show a clear trend away from Deal - maybe not with Carter up by 8, but we'll see. Rountree wouldn't release this if he didn't believe it to be legitimate - he's sending Deal a message.

[Flake]

New Poll: Georgia Governor by Other Source on 2014-07-15

Summary: D: 48.7%, R: 41.3%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Tender Branson]

Landmark had Romney winning 53-42 in Georgia a week before the 2012 election.

The result was 53-45.

They also had a really good GA GOP primary poll in 2012.

[user12345]

I have a feeling there will be a run off no matter who wins the November election. But Deal would win in a run off because less Democrats will turn out to vote in it.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I'm going to wait for a more reputable source to show carter ahead or deal ahead by only a couple points or so. The two polls before this (from Insider Advantage and Survey USA) had deal up by 7 points and 6 points respectively. Remains at Lean R for now.

[Adam Griffin]

I'm going to wait for a more reputable source to show carter ahead or deal ahead by only a couple points or so. The two polls before this (from Insider Advantage and Survey USA) had deal up by 7 points and 6 points respectively. Remains at Lean R for now.

To begin with, InsiderAdvantage is a junk pollster - always has been. That leaves the two polls mentioned. It's important to understand that the SurveyUSA poll (which is a good firm) was released before this latest round of ethics issues that pointedly showed Deal's office threatening the ethics agency if they didn't make the scandal go away, while the Landmark Poll was done the day after the story broke. They wouldn't square away with each other because of that; it doesn't mean that either poll wasn't reputable.

[Lief 🗽]

I have a feeling there will be a run off no matter who wins the November election. But Deal would win in a run off because less Democrats will turn out to vote in it.

This is the conventional wisdom, but if a right-wing Republican in Mississippi can make black Democrats turn out to vote in a run-off, I don't see why we can't do the same in Louisiana and Georgia this year.

[JerryArkansas]

I'm happy and hopeful to see a new president sorry governor Cater now.  Hope he is just as good as his Grand Dad in Ga and better if elected to the big house.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think this poll speaks for the strong candidacy of Michelle Nunn.

Carter may get in due to the Nunn legacy.

[Adam Griffin]

I think this poll speaks for the strong candidacy of Michelle Nunn.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, at any rate, Ga GOP have had three straight terms of GOP run. Deal scandles are fresh in the minds of voters. I think voters are ready for Dem reign. 

And the Carter scandles of 76 are long forgotten.

[illegaloperation]

Landmark Communications talks about why its result is different from those of SurveyUSA

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/07/21/rain-may-not-be-the-only-thing-dampening-gop-fervor/

You must be logged in to read this quote.