The surprises of the Senate elections...

[Senator Cris]

Well?
What will be the surprises of the Senate elections?

[badgate]

I still got hope

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ALG defeats McConnell and blocks the GOP from winning control.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Tennett closes the gap in WV but still loses by a 5-6 point margin and Nunn barely gets 50% in November (the last one's just my hope).

[dmmidmi]

Since there's no accountability for any predictions, and I'm not putting money down on it...

Tennant wins by five.

[CatoMinor]

The TX Dems defeat Ted Cruz, however fail to realize until it is too late that they filed for the wrong race since John Cornyn's seat was up this year.

[illegaloperation]

Michelle Nunn wins, leading the Georgia Democrats out of a twelve years drought.

[Vega]

Michelle Nunn wins, leading the Georgia Democrats out of a twelve years drought.

Pretty much this.

[LeBron]

The TX Dems defeat Ted Cruz, however fail to realize until it is too late that they filed for the wrong race since John Cornyn's seat was up this year.

lol Maxey Scherr

I've got to agree with badgate on Walsh. I still think he'll pull it out in the end unexpectedly just like Tester and Bullock's wins were pretty unexpected. Besides "mah incumbency," he's been pretty successful in the Senate so far and has run a great campaign (winning by a wider margin than expected over Bohlinger and running strong ads now against Daines).

Among other surprises, Wolf has an opportunity to knock off Kansas's senior Senator and Nunn winning and breaking 50% in November (if Kingston's nominee). Not to say they'll win, but Weiland and Tennant will probably only lose by single digits in their races which wasn't originally expected, I guess.

And just for fun, in a surprise occurrence, I think the WY Democratic Party's nominee for Senate will end up being the out-of-state Prohibitionist attorney.

[SWE]

James Inhofe loses reelection

[Del Tachi]

Hagan loses by a more substantial margin than Pryor or Landrieu. 

[Maxwell]

Rauner wins by double digits.

James Inhofe loses reelection

If only

[free my dawg]

Nunn runs a closer than expected race against Kingston, setting her up for a run in 2016 or a gubernatorial run in 2018. Shame she doesn't live in GA-1 - she could make her way as a Barrow-type there, especially if the nom is a crazy.

Mine is that Kay Hagan will win by a relatively comfortable margin.

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Rauner wins by double digits.

That would be very surprising if Rauner defeated Durbin by double digits to replace him in the Senate in 2015, considering Rauner is running for Illinois Governor.


I think Nunn and Walsh could very easily upset, considering the disadvantages Nunn starts out with and Montana's hard swing toward the GOP.

[IceSpear]

Grimes defeats McConnell (Larry Sabato will spit out his coffee). Warner wins by double digits (huge surprise to the beltway media). Walsh loses by double digits (pundits scream "but...muh incumbency!").

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

- The Illinois Senate Race won't be called right at poll closing time.
- Larry Pressler will get close to 20% in SD
- The Warner race will take over an hour to call due to VA's obsession with reporting the most republican votes first.
- Walsh, Tennant, and Weiland will all lose by double digits.
- Scott Brown will get closer to beating Shaheen than Sununu did in '08.
- Merkley will win by 15 points or so.
- Franken will not manage a double-digit margin of victory.
- Landrieu will manage ~47% in LA, coming very close to avoiding a runoff but not quite reaching the 50% threshold. Then in the Runoff she'll lose by 2-5.
- Perdue/Kingston will narrowly avoid a december runoff in GA.
- McConnell will win, but the race won't be called until >75% of the vote is in, much to the surprise of Larry Sabato.

[Free Bird]

Mark Warner loses
Al Franken has a repeat of 2008
Schweitzer runs as an independent and crushes Daines and Walsh a-la Angus King.

[Kushahontas]

Pryor hangs on

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Mark Warner loses
Al Franken has a repeat of 2008
Schweitzer runs as an independent and crushes Daines and Walsh a-la Angus King.

The independent filing deadline in MT was two months ago....

[free my dawg]

Pryor hangs on

I'll take it a step further:

Pryor does the best out of all the Marks.

[IceSpear]

Mark Warner loses

Auditioning to be a future Politico columnist?

[NHLiberal]

- Scott Brown will get closer to beating Shaheen than Sununu did in '08.

LOL. At this point he'd be lucky to do better against Shaheen than he did against Warren

Landrieu will manage ~47% in LA, coming very close to avoiding a runoff but not quite reaching the 50% threshold. Then in the Runoff she'll lose by 2-5.

This wouldn't be at all surprising. In fact this is exactly what I predict will happen.

Mark Warner loses
Al Franken has a repeat of 2008
Schweitzer runs as an independent and crushes Daines and Walsh a-la Angus King.

LOL at the first two (especially the first one), the last one would be a dream scenario but I doubt it will happen; Schweitzer would hate the Senate

[Dixie Reborn]

-Mike Rounds loses in South Dakota.
-Joe Carr wins in Tennessee.

[NHLiberal]

-Mike Rounds loses in South Dakota.

To Weiland or Pressler?

[Dixie Reborn]

-Mike Rounds loses in South Dakota.

To Weiland or Pressler?

To Weiland, because of Pressler and the Tea Party dude.