Who will win the GOP runoff in Georgia?
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  Who will win the GOP runoff in Georgia?
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Poll
Question: Who will win the GOP runoff in Georgia?
#1
Jack Kingston
 
#2
David Perdue
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: Who will win the GOP runoff in Georgia?  (Read 3455 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: July 18, 2014, 11:53:56 AM »

Who will win the GOP runoff in Georgia?
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2014, 12:08:08 PM »

Perdue will surprise us all and win on Tuesday. 

In other news, I would have a lot more respect for Kingston if he had not decided to coddle-up next to the Tea Party after making the runoff. 
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illegaloperation
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2014, 12:11:48 PM »

Kingston
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2014, 12:13:48 PM »

I really want Perdue to win, but it looks like Kingston will.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2014, 02:20:27 PM »

I really want Perdue to win, but it looks like Kingston will.

I'm surprised a Dixiecrat would support Purdue over Kingston.
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2014, 02:29:50 PM »

I really want Perdue to win, but it looks like Kingston will.

I'm surprised a Dixiecrat would support Purdue over Kingston.

Nah, Kingston's too much of a big business puppet. Plus, Perdue is more likely to keep this seat in Republican hands.
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Vega
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« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2014, 02:34:40 PM »

Jack Kingston.
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Never
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« Reply #7 on: July 18, 2014, 03:01:41 PM »

I think Kingston will win, but Perdue still has a small chance at victory.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: July 18, 2014, 04:35:49 PM »

Probably Kingston, but a low turnout level in GA-01 could produce a Perdue upset.
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SWE
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« Reply #9 on: July 18, 2014, 04:38:29 PM »

Lean Kingston
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #10 on: July 19, 2014, 08:08:32 AM »

The "Georgia Tea Party" has already demonstrated their incompetence and insignificance in the state by failing to get one of their candidates into the runoff, leaving two "moderate" corporatists to compete for the nomination. They're not energized in this race, and pretty much a non-factor. It's the same dynamic/reason why even the Georgia extremists never allow the craziest of bills to come to the floor like many other Southern states have (the guns thing doesn't count; that's normal here). Most understand the precarious position the Republicans have and have had here; this state isn't nor ever has been that Republican, and they're not willing to risk it by going balls-to-the-wall crazy.

It's hilarious to see each of them attacking one another for the same things - things like Common Core, felon contributions, stimulus money and being out of touch - that they are both guilty of in reality. Perdue is "unhinged", making gaffes and has shown his propensity for temper-tantrums all through the race. He has a solid floor of support distributed evenly throughout the state, but that solid support is probably no more than 40%. Kingston's probably sitting at around 50% right now; they'll split undecideds.

When you stack that against the fact that virtually all of the establishment Republican brand in Georgia is backing Kingston - plus the CoC and perhaps even a majority of the "Tea Party" - Kingston wins it by 10.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #11 on: July 19, 2014, 02:33:12 PM »

While I really hope Perdue wins (voted for him yesterday), I fully expect Kingston to win. He might even isolate Perdue to urban/suburban Atlanta + Athens + Macon + Columbus.
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #12 on: July 19, 2014, 05:16:57 PM »

While I really hope Perdue wins (voted for him yesterday), I fully expect Kingston to win. He might even isolate Perdue to urban/suburban Atlanta + Athens + Macon + Columbus.

Aren't there enough voters in those areas to override Kingston's?
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solarstorm
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« Reply #13 on: July 19, 2014, 05:38:13 PM »

Why does everyone think Kingston is gonna win?
Didn't Perdue receive more votes in the first round?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: July 19, 2014, 05:41:37 PM »

I am also confused on the for sure-ness of the Kingston people. Perdue has been catching up in the polls in spite of a lack of endorsements, and I think he has the momentum at the moment, and in a low turnout scenario like this, that matters a great deal.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #15 on: July 19, 2014, 08:43:45 PM »

While I really hope Perdue wins (voted for him yesterday), I fully expect Kingston to win. He might even isolate Perdue to urban/suburban Atlanta + Athens + Macon + Columbus.

Aren't there enough voters in those areas to override Kingston's?

Not if Kingston wins >70-80% of the vote in nearly all of south GA, carries Savannah convincingly, keeps rural middle GA close, and stays competitive in North GA.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #16 on: July 20, 2014, 01:40:43 PM »

Kingston.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #17 on: July 20, 2014, 05:57:44 PM »

Why does everyone think Kingston is gonna win?
Didn't Perdue receive more votes in the first round?
Kingston is likely going to pick up a majority of those supporting Handel, Gingrey, and Broun and because of that, polling has shown him up by a few points. Ultimately it comes down to which side is more motivated - Perdue seems to have the edge there, so it should be pretty close.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #18 on: July 20, 2014, 06:51:16 PM »

I think Perdue will pull out a small victory in the GOP runoff. It will be small, but a good win for him. If he wins, I'll rate the race as Tossup.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #19 on: July 20, 2014, 09:20:23 PM »
« Edited: July 20, 2014, 10:38:05 PM by Del Tachi »

Are either Perdue or Kingston trying to "pull a Thad" in Georgia and actively work the Democratic vote?  If Perdue could tap into the Black Atlanta vote like Cochran did in Jackson he could put Kingston to bed even if he does just carry the Metro Atlanta counties. 

Also, do the polls only include responses from those who voted in the first GOP primary?
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #20 on: July 20, 2014, 09:21:22 PM »

I haven't heard about Kingston or Perdue trying the Cochran strategy, but I do know that there was talk about crossover voters in the primary to replace Paul Broun.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #21 on: July 20, 2014, 10:40:15 PM »

And, honestly, I just can't figure Kingston's platform out.  This race has devolved in a very strange type of "conservative insider" versus "moderate outsider" dynamic that is rare in GOP primaries. 

Would a Senator Kingston be substantially more conservative than a Senator Perdue?  Because his campaign rhetoric sure does sound like he would...
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #22 on: July 20, 2014, 10:57:46 PM »

Are either Perdue or Kingston trying to "pull a Thad" in Georgia and actively work the Democratic vote?  If Perdue could tap into the Black Atlanta vote like Cochran did in Jackson he could put Kingston to bed even if he does just carry the Metro Atlanta counties. 

Also, do the polls only include responses from those who voted in the first GOP primary?

I'd love for Perdue to do that, but I doubt it would work in Georgia. The Republican nominee, whoever it is, cannot afford to lose as many white voters as Thad has, especially since Nunn is a very strong Dem candidate. Also, He probably wouldn't get the same results since it's so late in the campaign.

Meanwhile the dude running in GA-10 is trying to pull a Thad.
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nolesfan2011
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« Reply #23 on: July 20, 2014, 11:41:21 PM »

Kingston 53-47 is my prediction, he has more endorsements, has run a better campaign, and has the mainstream and tea party rallying around him. Perdue's money can only get him so far, Kingston will run up huge margins outside ATL and compete enough there to win
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #24 on: July 21, 2014, 08:12:05 AM »

FYI, here's a two-way support map (plurality) between Kingston/Perdue in the May 20th primary. Yes, it makes Perdue's chances look good, but I think Tmth gave the best brief explanation as to why that could be deceiving.

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