Who will win the GOP runoff in Georgia?

[Bacon King]

Kingston willl win by a larger margin than expected

[JRP1994]

Perdue definitely over-performing his polls so far.

[Adam Griffin]

Yeah this is ridiculous; he just took the lead for the first time since polls closed.

[Indy Texas]

Kingston is running the table in his home district/region, just like in the first round.

[SNJ1985]

I think the winner will be Kingston.

[Free Bird]

We all just ate our words.

[NHLiberal]

How the hell did the Obama fake phone call ad not seal the deal for Kingston?

[Maxwell]

I will take my accolades now. I was saying watch for Perdue when he was polling at 8% and even King Griffy was saying "who?"

[IceSpear]

I will take my accolades now. I was saying watch for Perdue when he was polling at 8% and even King Griffy was saying "who?"

People didn't think Purdue had a chance? His ability to self fund, last name, outsider status, and the fractured field automatically made him a strong contender in my eyes, even when he was polling at nothing.

[Maxwell]

I will take my accolades now. I was saying watch for Perdue when he was polling at 8% and even King Griffy was saying "who?"

People didn't think Purdue had a chance? His ability to self fund, last name, outsider status, and the fractured field automatically made him a strong contender in my eyes, even when he was polling at nothing.

The conversation I saw back then was "DEAR JESUS PAUL BROUN COULD WIN" and "Karen Handel is doomed". Only one of those proved to be right.

And on the run-off: I think Republican voters saw Kingston's move to impeachment as incredibly desperate, and I think most GOP voters, in their heart of hearts, think impeachment is really freaking stupid.

[Adam Griffin]

Yes, I give up trying to predict that Georgia's Republicans will do. In my defense, a Kingston win was quite unanimously believed likely by Georgia's politicos as well. Here's what I think happened:

I'd argue that Kingston's negativity, in a rare instance, backfired on him more than anything. In areas where he had no competition on the airwaves, it worked (Kingston ran ads for months in my media market of Chatt/NW GA; Perdue didn't; this is why Kingston won that weird patch of GA), but in ATL, he just sounded like a whiny ass compared to Perdue, who actually did run some positive, issue-based ads.

In the end, though, that two-way map above and tonight's results look pretty dang similar.

[Adam Griffin]

Yeah, that took about 10 seconds to make...

[solarstorm]

Why does everyone think Kingston is gonna win?
Didn't Perdue receive more votes in the first round?

[Del Tachi]

Perdue will surprise us all and win on Tuesday. 

BOO-YA!

Never bet against a Perdue. 

[moderatevoter]

Del Tachi, you've been on fire with your predictions. Cochran and now Perdue.

[Del Tachi]

Del Tachi, you've been on fire with your predictions. Cochran and now Perdue.

Most of these predictions have been wishful thinking meeting a hunch.  While in the Cochran case I did reason-out why I thought he would win (ideas that were discredited by the entirety of the forum, I might add) I didn't do the same with Georgia.  My guess on Perdue was a total shot in the dark, and I would feel a bit uncomfortable taking credit for it as anything more than that.