Should Democrats run on the issue of redistricting in 2018 and 2020?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 08:59:32 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Should Democrats run on the issue of redistricting in 2018 and 2020?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Should Democrats run on the issue of redistricting in 2018 and 2020? (And would it be a winning issue for them?)
#1
Yes (Yes)
 
#2
Yes (No)
 
#3
No (Yes)
 
#4
No (No)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 41

Author Topic: Should Democrats run on the issue of redistricting in 2018 and 2020?  (Read 1206 times)
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 19, 2014, 09:11:17 PM »

The idea could have merit. It's an argument that would need to be repeated over and over and over before voters get it, but it can be boiled down: the last redistricting was political, so too many seats were drawn to keep incumbents safe. The plethora of safe districts is the cause of gridlock. Elect us for redistricting reform.

What do y'all think?
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2014, 09:24:05 PM »
« Edited: July 19, 2014, 09:26:59 PM by Keystone Phil »

This is the stuff you emphasize with your base to get them more engaged. Your average voter isn't going to be motivated by "You'll be thrown into a super safe district for the other party if you don't vote for us in x, y and z." Not to say that they'll like gerrymandering but your average folks just aren't going to make it a top priority.
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2014, 09:36:11 PM »

I think so, yes, but people will more than likely just glaze over about the issue.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,716
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 20, 2014, 01:40:05 AM »

The democrats won't run on it because they gerrymander too and it won't help them on the next house map (2020s).

They've gerrymandered NY and IL, would be gerrymandering CA if the voters there hadn't chosen to have an independent commission do it, just as the republicans are gerrymandering FL, PA, and OH. If both parties gave up gerrymandering and had the whole country do it by independent commission, the overall effect would be about equal - some safe democratic districts would become competitive as well as some safe republican districts, and a mixture of swing districts would find themselves safe. 
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,727


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 20, 2014, 01:52:36 AM »

The democrats won't run on it because they gerrymander too and it won't help them on the next house map (2020s).

They've gerrymandered NY and IL, would be gerrymandering CA if the voters there hadn't chosen to have an independent commission do it, just as the republicans are gerrymandering FL, PA, and OH. If both parties gave up gerrymandering and had the whole country do it by independent commission, the overall effect would be about equal - some safe democratic districts would become competitive as well as some safe republican districts, and a mixture of swing districts would find themselves safe. 

NY wasn't gerrymandered for the Democrats except for the State Assembly.
In IL, the median state legislature district is more Republican than the state as a whole. The median Congressional district has the same PVI as the state. That doesn't sound like a gerrymander to me.
Logged
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 20, 2014, 02:00:02 AM »

I'm saying that Dems should point to the issue as the cause of gridlock. Once that part sinks in, especially if the party is united around a non-partisan platform for redistricting, it could sway moderate and independent voters who would prefer a functional government.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,678
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 20, 2014, 09:42:10 AM »

Id imagine so since the House looks more favorable in 2016 and after.

The FLa redistricting will be a start.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 20, 2014, 10:39:13 AM »

It's too inside baseball for most voters to care about, but Democrats should certainly make it a priority anyway.
Logged
Mister Mets
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,440
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 20, 2014, 10:40:28 AM »

No on many counts.

They overestimate the extent to which redistricting hurts the party. Geographic sorting favors Republicans, since Democrats tend to live in liberal enclaves, or in urban areas where they have big majorities.

It's also not a smart move politically. Most voters aren't concerned about the mechanics of politics (there's a similar problem with running on campaign finance issues) and those that are would be disproportionately Republican, since college-educated whites are more likely to be Republicans. This could end up increasing Republican turnout.
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,321
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 20, 2014, 11:27:01 AM »

The Democrats want to redistrict the wealth?
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,261
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 20, 2014, 12:17:10 PM »

As far as you can get from a kitchen sink issue as you can. So, err, no.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 20, 2014, 12:28:32 PM »

The idea could have merit. It's an argument that would need to be repeated over and over and over before voters get it, but it can be boiled down: the last redistricting was political, so too many seats were drawn to keep incumbents safe. The plethora of safe districts is the cause of gridlock. Elect us for redistricting reform.

What do y'all think?

I think that's kind of a scam, I would be surprised if they actually would do that instead of gerrymandering more seats in their favor (if they gain majorities in many cases). But no one will ever know until then.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,716
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 20, 2014, 01:25:12 PM »

The democrats won't run on it because they gerrymander too and it won't help them on the next house map (2020s).

They've gerrymandered NY and IL, would be gerrymandering CA if the voters there hadn't chosen to have an independent commission do it, just as the republicans are gerrymandering FL, PA, and OH. If both parties gave up gerrymandering and had the whole country do it by independent commission, the overall effect would be about equal - some safe democratic districts would become competitive as well as some safe republican districts, and a mixture of swing districts would find themselves safe. 

NY wasn't gerrymandered for the Democrats except for the State Assembly.
In IL, the median state legislature district is more Republican than the state as a whole. The median Congressional district has the same PVI as the state. That doesn't sound like a gerrymander to me.
While Upstate New York and Downstate IL isn't gerrymandered that much overall, within NYC and Chicago, there are tons of gerrymandered districts designed to favor democrats.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 20, 2014, 10:13:58 PM »

This could be used to rally those in the base, but I suspect the average voter would be turned off if they were told "Vote for Democrats so we can gerrymander and not the Republicans."
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.047 seconds with 13 queries.