Is the Republican's problem that they're too Southern? (user search)
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  Is the Republican's problem that they're too Southern? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is the Republican's problem that they're too Southern?  (Read 18416 times)
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,791
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« on: January 14, 2015, 12:59:07 PM »

MI, IL, ME, MA, MD, WI should flip with Stabenow, Baldwin, and Warren running.

I mentioned FL as well as OH because Brown will be running for reelection and he is good, unless he is picked for VP. But Brown or whoever replaces Nelson of FL can win without gubernatorial coattails.
Out of all states that you mentioned, I only think that the Democrats could possibly win Illinois and Florida due to the fact that the Republicans are likely to do well in the 2018 midterm elections if Hillary Clinton is President. The Republicans could also make further gains in the 2018 gubernatorial races by picking up Colorado, Connecticut and maybe Alaska if they play their cards right. 
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,791
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 18, 2015, 01:18:09 PM »

MI, IL, ME, MA, MD, WI should flip with Stabenow, Baldwin, and Warren running.

I mentioned FL as well as OH because Brown will be running for reelection and he is good, unless he is picked for VP. But Brown or whoever replaces Nelson of FL can win without gubernatorial coattails.
Out of all states that you mentioned, I only think that the Democrats could possibly win Illinois and Florida due to the fact that the Republicans are likely to do well in the 2018 midterm elections if Hillary Clinton is President. The Republicans could also make further gains in the 2018 gubernatorial races by picking up Colorado, Connecticut and maybe Alaska if they play their cards right.  


Again, I don't accept that, we will do well in MI, IL, WI, and MA, and MD and possibly ME because Baldwin, Stabenow, King, Cardin, and Warren will easilly be reelected. Just because it is a midterm, Obama will be out of office.

GOP picks up AK for sure,
Usilly, the party that controls the Presidency does poorly in midterm elections. I believe that the only midterm elections in which the party that controlled the Presidency gained seats were 1904, 1934, 1962, 1998 and 2002. Regardless of what Hillary Clinton does, I don't see her bucking the usual midterm election trend in 2018.
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