Which of the following candidates think they'll win the gubernatorial election?

[solarstorm]

I've only listed those candidates who will surely lose their respective election.

[NHLiberal]

I've only listed those candidates who will surely lose their respective election.

But you included Hatch, Hassebrook, and Sheheen. Hell, even Abercrombie and Quinn aren't totally dead.

[solarstorm]

I've only listed those candidates who will surely lose their respective election.

But you included Hatch, Hassebrook, and Sheheen. Hell, even Abercrombie and Quinn aren't totally dead.

This map + Wikipedia served as a basis for my list.

[NHLiberal]

I've only listed those candidates who will surely lose their respective election.

But you included Hatch, Hassebrook, and Sheheen. Hell, even Abercrombie and Quinn aren't totally dead.

This map + Wikipedia served as a basis for my list.

Illinois is rated a tossup by every single rating firm included in the 2014 Gubernatorial Elections wikipedia article. And recent but consistent polling in Iowa will probably shift some of the ratings there.

[solarstorm]

Illinois is rated a tossup by every single rating firm included in the 2014 Gubernatorial Elections wikipedia article. And recent but consistent polling in Iowa will probably shift some of the ratings there.

In my estimation Illinois doesn't look like a toss-up:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illinois_gubernatorial_election,_2014#General_election

[NHLiberal]

Illinois is rated a tossup by every single rating firm included in the 2014 Gubernatorial Elections wikipedia article. And recent but consistent polling in Iowa will probably shift some of the ratings there.

In my estimation Illinois doesn't look like a toss-up:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illinois_gubernatorial_election,_2014#General_election

I understand, that's fine. Rauner's definitely at an advantage. But you have to be consistent.

[ElectionsGuy]

All of them, since when politicians are asked about their confidence, they always reply positive even if they're a democrat from Idaho, or something. Its amazing that they always think they can win, they can't tell/accept the truth sometimes.

[nolesfan2011]

Davis, Corbett, Daley, GOP candidate from MN, King and Abercrombie probably are all very much over confident. Daley and Corbett because of incumbency, Davis is in a bubble, Abercrombie mix of incumbency and the party he is a member of is the dominant one, and King probably thinks Martinez is much more unpopular than she is in NM

[NHLiberal]

All of them, since when politicians are asked about their confidence, they always reply positive even if they're a democrat from Idaho, or something. Its amazing that they always think they can win, they can't tell/accept the truth sometimes.

Well no one is going to vote for someone who says they are going to lose. I'm pretty confident that the Democrat from Idaho doesn't actually think he'll win; just being a politician alone doesn't make you oblivious. It's just what they have to say.

[IceSpear]

Quinn, Abercrombie, and Corbett.

[SWE]

I've only listed those candidates who will surely lose their respective election.

lmao

[Suburbia]

Hatch, Astorino, Davis, Sheheen, Gov. Corbett. Although if Sheheen pulls an upset, he should be on the Democratic veep list in 2016 as a Southerner who can have good appeal.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Quinn; if I were writing a timeline on the 2014 elections Rauner wins the governorship at the top of the 8 o'clock hour. Its a 12 point lead in the polls right now. Something Illinois has not seen in a good decade or so.

Unless Rauner wins by like 15+, he won't get an immediate call because IL is a state where the most democratic votes (i.e. chicago) come in first. Even if Rauner wins by like 10 or 11, Quinn will still be in the lead for the first quarter to third of the vote - Kirk didn't get ahead of Giannoulias until about 80% in in 2010.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

Lepage should probably be on this poll as well.

[NHLiberal]

Lepage should probably be on this poll as well.

Yeah...Quinn has a better chance of winning than LePage unless you are evaluating these races exclusively based on polls alone.

[Flake]

Lepage should probably be on this poll as well.

Yeah...Quinn has a better chance of winning than LePage unless you are evaluating these races exclusively based on polls alone.

Especially WeAskAmerica polls.

[solarstorm]

Lepage should probably be on this poll as well.

Yeah...Quinn has a better chance of winning than LePage unless you are evaluating these races exclusively based on polls alone.

LePage is at an disadvantage temporarily, but his chances of winning aren't totally gone yet.

My intention when creating this poll was to find candidates who live in a fool's paradise, who overestimate themselves so hard that they've lost their grip on reality - like Wendy Davis or Scott Brown in the senatorial poll (unlike LePage).

[NHLiberal]

Lepage should probably be on this poll as well.

Yeah...Quinn has a better chance of winning than LePage unless you are evaluating these races exclusively based on polls alone.

LePage is at an disadvantage temporarily, but his chances of winning aren't totally gone yet.

My intention when creating this poll was to find candidates who live in a fool's paradise, who overestimate themselves so hard that they've lost their grip on reality - like Wendy Davis or Scott Brown in the senatorial poll (unlike LePage).

Not saying LePage's chances of winning are totally gone. Saying Quinn's aren't.

[solarstorm]

Why is Wendy Davis living in a bubble?

[solarstorm]

Hell, even Abercrombie and Quinn aren't totally dead.

The former is!

And the latter ... no, he doesn't have a chance of winning.

[Dixie Reborn]

Parker Griffith and "Chrles" Brown are in fact very confident that they will win their respective elections.

[Vega]

Might want to add David Ige and remove Neil Abercrombie in a updated version of the poll.

[solarstorm]

Might want to add David Ige and remove Neil Abercrombie in a updated version of the poll.

I wish polls could be revised afterwards.
Especially here it would seem the thing to do.

[KCDem]

Might want to add David Ige and remove Neil Abercrombie in a updated version of the poll.

Except Ige will win.