Who will win in Georgia?
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  Who will win in Georgia?
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Poll
Question: Who do you think will win the Georgia senate election?
#1
David Purdue (R)
 
#2
Michelle Nunn (D)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 64

Author Topic: Who will win in Georgia?  (Read 5278 times)
RR1997
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« on: July 23, 2014, 07:58:46 AM »

I think that Nunn will win, but very narrowly. I also think that this will the only Democratic party senate pickup of the night. I also think that Kingston would've done even worse than Purdue, so the GOP voters made the right decision for once.

How about you guys?
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2014, 08:02:28 AM »

I was worried about Kingston not being able to defeat Nunn, but I think that Perdue can definitely beat her.
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2014, 08:03:57 AM »

Gun to my head, Perdue, but he could very well ruin that with a gaffe or two.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2014, 08:29:37 AM »

Perdue.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2014, 08:39:44 AM »

At this pt Michelle Nunn has the potential to break the 50 percent thresehold, moreso than Landrieu, to win in Nov.

Perdue and Deal were trailing in the last poll by similar margins. D wins this race.
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solarstorm
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« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2014, 08:57:37 AM »

Nunn. Without any doubt.
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« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2014, 09:00:14 AM »


So this is Safe D now? Seriously?
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solarstorm
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« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2014, 09:05:51 AM »


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Georgia,_2014#Polling_4
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2014, 09:22:01 AM »


Being up by 6 and 7 points isn't necessarily a solid guarantee of a win this far out, and we must remember that Landmark is not that good of a pollster.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2014, 09:31:06 AM »
« Edited: July 23, 2014, 09:33:52 AM by OC »

Nunn was at 49 percent in one poll as she has polled ahead of Landrieu, stuck in the low 40s against Cassidy.

Should we hold onto AK or NC, and win Ga, it will save us from a runoff in La, and save the senate.
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solarstorm
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« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2014, 09:34:07 AM »


Being up by 6 and 7 points isn't necessarily a solid guarantee of a win this far out, and we must remember that Landmark is not that good of a pollster.

It's not only Landmark, it's also PPP and Rasmussen that say Nunn is gonna win.
"Officially" Georgia isn't a safe Dem. state, of course. But in my personal judgment, it is quite safe.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2014, 09:36:12 AM »
« Edited: July 24, 2014, 04:24:00 PM by ModerateVAVoter »

Nunn has hardly been attacked. The first major ad buy against her started yesterday. While the Republicans have beat themselves up in the primary, Nunn's skated by as Sam's daughter. Once the ads and attacks start, her poll numbers will slip. She flopped her answers on the VA issues and on Obamacare. She's still a Democrat running while Obama is President.
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2014, 09:42:39 AM »


Being up by 6 and 7 points isn't necessarily a solid guarantee of a win this far out, and we must remember that Landmark is not that good of a pollster.

It's not only Landmark, it's also PPP and Rasmussen that say Nunn is gonna win.
"Officially" Georgia isn't a safe Dem. state, of course. But in my personal judgment, it is quite safe.

PPP has been slipping in sample quality in some states this year in my view (not that they're completely wrong), and Rasmussen, well, need I say more? I have my doubts that Nunn will be able to pull off a win. If this were 2016, I'd say she would have a better chance, but it's a midterm with her party in the White House.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2014, 09:44:05 AM »

Last names are common in Ga and it doesnt help that this Perdue has the same last name as the 2x ex gov of Ga and the Deal scandles, has about the same affect as running with Obama ans Affordable Care Act.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2014, 09:51:09 AM »

Last names are common everywhere, OC...

It doesn't help that Perdue has the same last name of Sonny Perdue? As far as I've heard, and correct me if I'm wrong, but Sonny was fairly popular in Georgia. And his last name clearly helped him get through the primary, I'd say.

Deal could very well lose. I've always insisted Carter had a good shot, better than Nunn's. Once Nunn gets attacked, I expect that to dampen her chances.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2014, 10:03:20 AM »

Nunn probably wins 50.5-47.5 or something.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: July 23, 2014, 10:04:33 AM »
« Edited: July 23, 2014, 10:06:59 AM by OC »

Like I said Sonny Perdue just like Deal had controversies.

He came in on the Confederate flag issue that divided blks who overwhelmingly vote for Taylor in 2006, but in not large enough numbers. Also in 2003, he failed to disclose Jackson Lake as summer home

Perdue also only has a high school education.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #17 on: July 23, 2014, 10:15:34 AM »


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« Reply #18 on: July 23, 2014, 10:18:39 AM »

Like I said Sonny Perdue just like Deal had controversies.

He came in on the Confederate flag issue that divided blks who overwhelmingly vote for Taylor in 2006, but in not large enough numbers. Also in 2003, he failed to disclose Jackson Lake as summer home

Perdue also only has a high school education.

If blacks couldn't turn out enough in a Democratic wave like 2006 to defeat a Republican, how are they going to deliver the election to Nunn in a year like this?  Also, Perdue does have a bachelor's in industrial engineering and a master's in operations research from Georgia Tech. Handel was the one with just a HS diploma.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #19 on: July 23, 2014, 10:18:57 AM »

Perdue. You guys are getting way too optimistic about this whole thing. Nunn is a DINO whose only platform is "you love my father."
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #20 on: July 23, 2014, 10:24:55 AM »

Never, what OC was trying to point out Perdue's comment about Handel's education - not suggest Perdue hadn't gone to college.
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« Reply #21 on: July 23, 2014, 10:28:05 AM »

Never, what OC was trying to point out Perdue's comment about Handel's education - not suggest Perdue hadn't gone to college.

Okay, that clears things up. I wasn't sure if he was mixing up the two or not.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #22 on: July 23, 2014, 10:38:17 AM »

Like I said Sonny Perdue just like Deal had controversies.

He came in on the Confederate flag issue that divided blks who overwhelmingly vote for Taylor in 2006, but in not large enough numbers. Also in 2003, he failed to disclose Jackson Lake as summer home

Perdue also only has a high school education.

If blacks couldn't turn out enough in a Democratic wave like 2006 to defeat a Republican, how are they going to deliver the election to Nunn in a year like this?  Also, Perdue does have a bachelor's in industrial engineering and a master's in operations research from Georgia Tech. Handel was the one with just a HS diploma.

Well Georgia 2006 was MUCH different than Georgia today. Not saying Nunn would be advantaged in a runoff, but I'm not sure the comparison is fair.
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« Reply #23 on: July 23, 2014, 10:45:40 AM »

Like I said Sonny Perdue just like Deal had controversies.

He came in on the Confederate flag issue that divided blks who overwhelmingly vote for Taylor in 2006, but in not large enough numbers. Also in 2003, he failed to disclose Jackson Lake as summer home

Perdue also only has a high school education.

If blacks couldn't turn out enough in a Democratic wave like 2006 to defeat a Republican, how are they going to deliver the election to Nunn in a year like this?  Also, Perdue does have a bachelor's in industrial engineering and a master's in operations research from Georgia Tech. Handel was the one with just a HS diploma.

Well Georgia 2006 was MUCH different than Georgia today. Not saying Nunn would be advantaged in a runoff, but I'm not sure the comparison is fair.

True, Georgia is different now, but that year was a Democratic wave, and this year is not. If Romney were president, I think Nunn would be favored, since the party controlling the White House just doesn't tend to do well in midterms, but Obama being in office really drags her down. That's all I'm trying to say.
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SWE
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« Reply #24 on: July 23, 2014, 11:24:38 AM »

All I'm seeing is a bunch of polls showing her under 50%, i.e. the percentage she'd need to avoid a runoff, which the Republican will almost certainly be favored in.
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