Who will win in Montana
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  Who will win in Montana
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Poll
Question: Who will win the Montana senate race?
#1
John Walsh (D, "I")
 
#2
Steve Daines (R)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 59

Author Topic: Who will win in Montana  (Read 1641 times)
Free Bird
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« on: July 23, 2014, 03:08:37 PM »

I can't believe I had to make this, but the race, for SOME reason, is tightening up. Daines still has a lead, but this is just weird. So who will win? Why is this surge suddenly happening?
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RR1997
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2014, 03:09:05 PM »

Daines
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2014, 03:11:38 PM »

Daines, and it won't be particularly close.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2014, 03:12:33 PM »

Daines, and it won't be particularly close.

Why is it tightening? It's weird.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2014, 03:12:39 PM »

Daines, and it won't be particularly close.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2014, 03:13:13 PM »

Daines, especially in light of the plagiarism.
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SWE
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« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2014, 03:15:39 PM »

Daines will save us from Walshcare
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2014, 03:21:14 PM »

Daines will win by high single digits. Walsh may get a moral victory for being close, but I don't think he will win. It's not impossible though.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2014, 03:22:29 PM »

Nobody has an explanation why it is tightening up?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2014, 03:23:23 PM »

Daines, and it won't be particularly close.

Why is it tightening? It's weird.

Well, it's not as if Daines was ever going to win by 20 points. Still, only one pollster has even shown it tightening. Gravis is trash and internals are notoriously unreliable.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2014, 03:45:53 PM »

Daines easily.
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Flake
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2014, 03:51:00 PM »

Daines by five or so. I don't think the plagiarism scandal will hurt Walsh as much as it hurt others like Paul, since Walsh isn't seen as a presidential candidate. Of course it will hurt him somewhat, but even if he didn't plagiarize, he wouldn't win.
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2014, 03:51:10 PM »

Daines by mid-single digits.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2014, 03:53:27 PM »

Daines by five or so. I don't think the plagiarism scandal will hurt Walsh as much as it hurt others like Paul, since Walsh isn't seen as a presidential candidate. Of course it will hurt him somewhat, but even if he didn't plagiarize, he wouldn't win.

The plagiarism thing didn't hurt Paul at all. It promptly went down the media memory hole after like a week.

And let's not forget who the sitting VP is...this is much ado about nothing.
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LeBron
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« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2014, 03:53:43 PM »

Nobody has an explanation why it is tightening up?
Because ever since Bullock appointed Walsh, Walsh has gotten enough outside help and campaign help from the MT establishment to unleash some pretty huge attack ads against Daines (the biggest one being the "Melissa" ad). By doing so, Daines' disapproval went up as more people have gotten to know Walsh.

For that reason and the fact that the Libertarian will probably cost Daines the election like they did Rehberg, I say Walsh holds on in the end by a tight margin. Kind of optimistic, but it's a bold prediction.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2014, 05:06:40 PM »

Nobody has an explanation why it is tightening up?
Because ever since Bullock appointed Walsh, Walsh has gotten enough outside help and campaign help from the MT establishment to unleash some pretty huge attack ads against Daines (the biggest one being the "Melissa" ad). By doing so, Daines' disapproval went up as more people have gotten to know Walsh.

For that reason and the fact that the Libertarian will probably cost Daines the election like they did Rehberg, I say Walsh holds on in the end by a tight margin. Kind of optimistic, but it's a bold prediction.

More like very. Even with it tightening, Daines is still hovering barely below 50
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: July 23, 2014, 05:10:19 PM »

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TDAS04
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« Reply #17 on: July 23, 2014, 05:20:54 PM »

The Republican. 
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #18 on: July 23, 2014, 05:36:02 PM »
« Edited: July 26, 2014, 07:10:27 PM by NHLiberal »

Gonna go ahead and say it jusssst might be Walsh. This race is starting to look a lot like MT/ND 2012. Still Lean R, for now. Maybe Natalie Tennant will be next?

EDIT: Daines.
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Kushahontas
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« Reply #19 on: July 23, 2014, 08:03:08 PM »

Walsh hangs on
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: July 23, 2014, 08:10:30 PM »

Walsh by a hair.
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Never
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« Reply #21 on: July 23, 2014, 09:37:20 PM »

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Maxwell
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« Reply #22 on: July 26, 2014, 12:56:33 PM »

Editing my prediction - Daines by double digits.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #23 on: July 26, 2014, 01:24:41 PM »


Stop.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #24 on: July 26, 2014, 01:40:36 PM »

Daines by a decent margin, though that could change if the DSCC somehow manages to parachute Schweitzer in.
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