GA-Landmark Comm/WSB: Carter +7

[Adam Griffin]

Article with poll crosstabs for both Gov and Senate.

Carter 47
Deal 40

[tmthforu94]

If I were to guess, I say Carter and Perdue win the General. No surprise - Deal is a crook...didn't support him in 2010 and won't this time around either.

[NHLiberal]

If I were to guess, I say Carter and Perdue win the General. No surprise - Deal is a crook...didn't support him in 2010 and won't this time around either.

Yeah, at this point I'm thinking Carter gets a little bit over 50% on Election Day, and Nunn loses in a runoff

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I'd really like to see a non-internal poll this race, Landmark is not trustworthy. The last two non-landmark polls have Deal up 6 and 7 points respectively. As it is, though, Deal really needs to start governing well and run a strong campaign. Regardless of what CNN and Rothenberg may think, Carter's a strong contender and Deal's record is bad. I still have this at Lean R (as I have the whole cycle, I never thought for a minute that Deal was anywhere near Safe given his 2010 performance in which he barely avoided a runoff), but only just. A poll from a reliable company showing Deal up by 3 or less, or a Carter lead, would be all that's needed for me to move this from Lean R to Toss-Up.

[Adam Griffin]

I'd really like to see a non-internal poll this race, Landmark is not trustworthy. The last two non-landmark polls have Deal up 6 and 7 points respectively. As it is, though, Deal really needs to start governing well and run a strong campaign. Regardless of what CNN and Rothenberg may think, Carter's a strong contender and Deal's record is bad. I still have this at Lean R (as I have the whole cycle, I never thought for a minute that Deal was anywhere near Safe given his 2010 performance in which he barely avoided a runoff), but only just. A poll from a reliable company showing Deal up by 3 or less, or a Carter lead, would be all that's needed for me to move this from Lean R to Toss-Up.

For the second or third time: it's not an internal - it has a house bias. Those are two different things. Besides, the only reason you would make that argument is if it had a Democratic bias and was showing Carter up by 7-8, not the other way around.

And the last two non-Landmark polls occurred before the biggest round of ethics scorching for Deal, so they're not exactly something that should be cited in my opinion.

[Never]

I have reservations about the quality of Landmark's polls. Carter is probably leading to some degree, but I would greatly appreciate another pollster. Nevertheless, Carter can definitely win this race, since the incumbent Deal is a weak candidate in my view.

[Miles]

^ Rassy will probably have numbers out here within a few days, as they just put out a Senate poll.

But yeah, I wish we had more numbers from a quality pollster...

[pbrower2a]

One of the better pollsters, PPP, has done few polls in Georgia while the potential Republican nominees were  contesting the primary. Now that the polling involves simpler, binary choices or a choice involving the two major candidates and an independent/third-party candidate, PPP may start polling Georgia, one of the most interesting states for a hot Gubernatorial and Senatorial races. Maybe Marist will get into the act. Quinnipiac? Survey USA? You Gov?

   

[Flake]

New Poll: Georgia Governor by Landmark Communications on 2014-07-24

Summary: D: 47%, R: 40%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details