2015 KY-Governor/Gravis Marketing: Conway (D) up by 9

[Tender Branson]

Human Events and Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 1,054 likely registered voters regarding current events by automated calls to landlines  7/17/14-7/20/14.  The poll carries a margin of error of 3% with a 95% confidence level.

http://gravismarketing.com/uncategorized/kentucky-statewide-political-survey

[user12345]

I wonder how much not defending the gay marriage ban may have or could hurt his numbers?

[warandwar]

Gravis is not to be trusted. They have an awful track record. Besides, isn't it a bit early to be polling that?

[Maxwell]

Conway has blown leads this big before, I have confidence he will do it again.

[NHLiberal]

What is the likelihood that Heiner will end up being the nominee? Is it considered likely that Comer will run?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Comer (R-The Media) will probably run, but nobody can stand him.

[NHLiberal]

Comer officially announced at Fancy Farm this weekend. Heiner has virtually no shot against Comer so this poll isn't really relevant anymore. Hopefully we'll see a Comer vs. Conway poll soon, since that looks to be the matchup.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Now the question is if Former Gov. Ernie Fletcher and/or Former Ambassador Catherine Bailey will also enter and further complicate the republican situation. Conway may very well end up unopposed in his primary, although Former Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo is mulling a run, and there is talk of Sec. of State Allison Grimes running if she loses to Sen. McConnell later this year.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Now the question is if Former Gov. Ernie Fletcher and/or Former Ambassador Catherine Bailey will also enter and further complicate the republican situation. Conway may very well end up unopposed in his primary, although Former Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo is mulling a run, and there is talk of Sec. of State Allison Grimes running if she loses to Sen. McConnell later this year.

Conway would beat Mongiardo in the primary.

But if Grimes narrowly loses the Senate election and doesn't make a fool of herself in the process, and if McConnell continues to make a fool of himself after winning, there will be such buyers' remorse that Grimes could instantly become the frontrunner for governor. If that happens, Conway might just quit the race and support Grimes.

[tmthforu94]

I don't think Comer will have much difficulty winning the primary.

I also don't see Grimes running - if there is buyers remorse, she may be more likely to be waiting in the wings for 2016 if Paul ends up running for President.

[henster]

Hopefully the Republican primary is bloody and it's good that Conway can ride through the primary.