Who will win in North Carolina?

[Senator Cris]

Who will win in North Carolina?

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm just barely leaning on Hagan now. It seems like Thillis is losing any momentum he had and the Lib is taking >5% in the polls.

[Dixie Reborn]

Hagan 49-47.

[Flake]

Hagan 49-44-7

[Suburbia]

I see Hagan slightly winning over Tillis. Unless if Tillis can recharge his campaign, he can have a small chance.

[TDAS04]

Hagan 48-47.

[Miles]

Hagan by 2-3.

The Republicans botching this NCGA session helped her a lot. I think Haugh ends up with no more than 5% though.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Sean Haugh wins in an upset.

[MATTROSE94]

I think that Kay Hagan will end up winning by about a point or two when all is said and done.

[Free Bird]

Have to wait for the legislature to be out of session for more neutral ground

[nclib]

Hagan by 2-3.

The Republicans botching this the NCGA sessions where they've had power helped her a lot. I think Haugh ends up with no more than 5% though.

Otherwise agreed. The only good thing to come from the crazy legislature.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Months ago I thought she was a goner, but Hagan's hanging in there for the win I think

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Hagan by at least 4. Thinking more likely 5-6. The question will be if she cracks 50, but of course that is irrelevant unlike the rest of the south.

[Ogre Mage]

Hagan.  I am more confident about her chances than some.  She's not an overly strong incumbent, but Tillis has major political baggage due to his connection with the NC state legislature.  Hagan is also a strong fundraiser while Tillis is a mediocre one.

[LeBron]

I'm pretty confident about Hagan pulling this out. Her fundraising is combating with the AFP money pouring into this race and NC is by no means AR or LA.

Republicans have been hyping their chances too much here ever since Tillis beat out the Tea Party firebrand and the religious sociocon. Not only is Tillis unpopular from everything the legislature has done (especially in the 2013 session), but he's made horrible gaffes and is so far-right and unappealing that enough will vote for the Libertarian for Hagan to pull it out.

[Mr. Illini]

Tillis is going to win. Hagan has proven to be unexciting and that isn't good where anti-incumbent sentiment is strong.

[Vega]

Sean Haugh (sane).

[RR1997]

Hagan

[GaussLaw]

Tillis stumbled in the past 2 months but seems to be regaining momentum with the teacher pay hike(though there are some caveats in the bill that passed). 

I think Tillis very well might be the winner here.

[Mr. Reactionary]

Tillis is going to win. Hagan has proven to be unexciting and that isn't good where anti-incumbent sentiment is strong.

[Free Bird]

Is the legislation out of session now?

[Frodo]

Ultimately Thom Tillis, but it will be a nail-biter to the end.  

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Probably Hagan 48-45-7 if the election was held today. But of course, the fall campaign and months with the legislature out of session can quite easily turn things around.

[Alreet]

Hagan.

[Heimdal]

For now my money is on Tillis. Tillis isn’t that great a candidate, but neither is Hagan. She is an incumbent Senator, that can’t pull 45 % against a mediocre challenger. This, combined with the partisan lean of North Carolina is why I give Tillis the edge.