Who will win the Senate control in November?

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

They couldn't do it in 2010. And 2014's no 2010. So... no. I think Democrats will lose a few seats, but...

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

Not necessarily. In 2010 the Republicans had to fight on hostile turf, and the only races they could have remotely gained ground on were in two swing states. Only two of their pickups were in red states.

Now, most of their pickup opportunities are on very friendly turf. South Dakota and West Virginia were pretty much DOA before Rockefeller and Johnson hung it up, and Montana's open race made it tilt towards the Republicans (even with Schweitzer). Alaska has a lot of ground to make up, and Begich is running the best campaign out of anyone, but Republicans double Democrats in the state. Arkansas is looking like Oklahoma 2.0 soon, even with two elitist Republicans as their candidates, so that leaves Louisiana, the sixth state on red turf. If they can force a runoff here, Landrieu's strategy of localization fails. A vote for Landrieu is a vote for Obama's party to control the Senate, and with that, Republicans take it.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

I know this forum hates Scott Brown, but he could win if we see the Generic Ballot shift to R+5.  It isn't likely, but NH is extremely elastic in Senate elections...

Scott Brown is not winning anything, dude. His campaign is imploding more than I could ever imagine, and it's looking like his win in Massachusetts was a fluke.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

If the candidate was literally anyone other than Scott Brown, NH could fall in a wave.

Well considering the most conservative member of the House (who's on the record as a birther who applauded the booing of a gay soldier and an Agenda 21 loon) was considering a run as the alternative, the NHGOP was boned from the start.

Never underestimate my state's Republican Party's ability to blow elections. They're basically a step above the Florida Democrats.