Who will win the Senate control in November?

[Del Tachi]

At this point the GOP is definitely favored.

I'm predicting pickups in WV, NC, IA, AR, LA, SD, MT, and AK at the moment.   

[Del Tachi]

At this point the GOP is definitely favored.

I'm predicting pickups in WV, NC, IA, AR, LA, SD, MT, and AK at the moment.   

Eight seats?

So, the Republicans are going to have a night that is essentially the inverse of this? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2008

Yeah. Probably not.

The only seat the Republicans win in my scenario that Romney didn't carry in 2012 is Iowa, and I think that Braley's underwhelming campaign will ensure that we have a neck-and-neck race there come November.  The other states on the list are Romney states, and President Obama's popularity ratings are not going to be helping Democratic incumbents in states like NC, LA AR, and AK.  MT, SD, and WV are heavily favored for the GOP right now so I don't anticipate any qualms with those calls. 

We're going to be looking at a lot of tossup races come November 4, and I think Obama's unpopularity will cause most of them to break towards the GOP.

I mean, Democrats picked up 6 seats in 2006 and the map wasn't nearly as favorable to them as it is for the GOP this year.  Also, it seems like Republicans have learned their lesson and have refrained from nominating right-wing Tea Party nutjobs in competitive states.