NV (2016): Harper (R): Reid in trouble against Sandoval
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  NV (2016): Harper (R): Reid in trouble against Sandoval
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Author Topic: NV (2016): Harper (R): Reid in trouble against Sandoval  (Read 1592 times)
Miles
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« on: July 31, 2014, 09:37:46 AM »

Article.

Sandoval (R)- 53%
Reid (D)- 43%
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2014, 09:40:53 AM »

Reid should really retire. Such a great Dem bench in Nevada. Sandoval can be stopped, but probably not by Reid.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2014, 09:43:07 AM »

Wish a real pollster would look at that.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2014, 10:11:10 AM »

If Sandoval loses this my heart will break.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2014, 10:48:53 AM »

If Sandoval loses this my heart will break.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2014, 10:49:30 AM »

Reid should really retire. Such a great Dem bench in Nevada. Sandoval can be stopped, but probably not by Reid.

He's power hungry. Even the most partisan people should realize this
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King
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« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2014, 11:50:50 AM »

Reid should retire, but he'd beat Sandoval. Never bet against Harry Reid and also never trust R internals out of Nevada. The machine is too good there.
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Vega
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« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2014, 12:01:40 PM »

This is the Harry Reid that almost lost to Sharron Angle. Do you honestly think he'll do well against a popular Governor?

Funny how both Senate Leaders are in trouble when it comes to winning their own elections.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2014, 12:16:58 PM »

I wish Reid and Pelosi would not run for reelection in 2016. We need some movement in the Democratic leadership.

How about a majority leader Durbin? (ehh @ Chuck Schumer). And Hoyer and Clyburn should be gone relatively soon too, so a Leader Becerra has a nice ring to it.
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Person Man
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« Reply #9 on: July 31, 2014, 12:21:37 PM »

I'm inclined to think a Senator Sandoval could be a good idea. There needs to be more moderate Republicans in Congress.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: July 31, 2014, 01:07:30 PM »

Reid should retire, but he'd beat Sandoval. Never bet against Harry Reid and also never trust R internals out of Nevada. The machine is too good there.

This.
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windjammer
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« Reply #11 on: July 31, 2014, 01:09:49 PM »

This is Harper= rep poll.
You can at least add +6 to Reid.

Reid won't retire, and he will win against him.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #12 on: July 31, 2014, 01:19:34 PM »


Um, not really.  Ross Miller has his heart set on the governor's mansion eventually (whether he wins the AG race this November or not), the other statewide officials aren't high profile or all that popular enough, Berkley's done, Titus or Horsford wouldn't work.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #13 on: July 31, 2014, 03:12:47 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2014, 03:18:17 PM by NHLiberal »


Um, not really.  Ross Miller has his heart set on the governor's mansion eventually (whether he wins the AG race this November or not), the other statewide officials aren't high profile or all that popular enough, Berkley's done, Titus or Horsford wouldn't work.

You don't think Cortez-Masto has a promising political future in the state? I'll certainly defer to you on this, but I always assumed she'd be a strong future Senator/Governor/Congresswoman. And then current statewide officers Marshall and Wallin should raise their profiles should they win the higher offices they are seeking this year, but even if not, it's not like non-Governor statewide officers ever tend to have super high name recognition but that usually changes once they start running for Senate or Governor. And then there's Lucy Flores who I'd imagine would be well-positioned for something if she wins or comes very close this year. Agreed about Titus, Berkley, and Horsford though.

Also, this may not be the right place for this, but how do you handicap the Democrat's chances for 2014 for LG, AG, SecState, Treasurer, and Controller?
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #14 on: July 31, 2014, 03:26:45 PM »

This is Harper= rep poll.
You can at least add +6 to Reid.

Reid won't retire, and he will win against him.
Totally agree.
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henster
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« Reply #15 on: July 31, 2014, 03:50:07 PM »

If Reid doesn't run Mastos will and it will two Latinos against each other.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #16 on: July 31, 2014, 04:02:48 PM »

Sandoval would beat Reid by a comfortable margin. The Reid people seem to have a let a modest win over Sharron f'ing Angle get to their heads. Against a popular governor like Sandoval he'd be toast.
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Never
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« Reply #17 on: July 31, 2014, 04:18:44 PM »

Sandoval would beat Reid by a comfortable margin. The Reid people seem to have a let a modest win over Sharron f'ing Angle get to their heads. Against a popular governor like Sandoval he'd be toast.

Good point.

I think Reid is very beatable in 2016. Sandoval isn't leading by 10, but has a clear advantage.

Lowden or Tarkanian could have mopped the floor with Reid in 2010. He got lucky by having Angle as his opponent.
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King
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« Reply #18 on: July 31, 2014, 04:29:21 PM »

I don't know IceSpear. He's down 10 right now, in 2014, a Republican-friendly midterm year, in a Republican internal. He has the support of all the casino worker unions, and he even has the casino owners firmly in his pocket (or him in theirs), even Adelson to an extent. Hillary Clinton will be on the top of the ballot against God knows who...

This isn't the most unpopular Reid's been in the past decade.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: July 31, 2014, 04:42:02 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2014, 04:46:23 PM by IceSpear »

I don't know IceSpear. He's down 10 right now, in 2014, a Republican-friendly midterm year, in a Republican internal. He has the support of all the casino worker unions, and he even has the casino owners firmly in his pocket (or him in theirs), even Adelson to an extent. Hillary Clinton will be on the top of the ballot against God knows who...

This isn't the most unpopular Reid's been in the past decade.

You make good points, but if Angle can get 45% against Reid, I find it really hard to see how Sandoval can't get 50%. As for campaign contributions, Reid will be well funded, but so would Sandoval. People are going to shell out big bucks to take out Reid. Even Angle outraised him, and she was a complete nutjob.

If 2016 ends up being a good Democratic year (as it seems like it could be at the moment), it could end up barely dragging Reid over the finish line, but that wouldn't be his own doing.

There's also the "None of the above" option which could actually end up hurting Reid. Dean Heller and Mitt Romney got about the same percentage of the vote in 2012 (about 46%, I believe). However, Heller ended up winning because a bunch of Obama voters voted for None of the above and the fringe independent guy instead of Berkley.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #20 on: July 31, 2014, 05:47:48 PM »

Reid has been in more dire straits, yet

Even Angle outraised him, and she was a complete nutjob.

...all that money for nothing. Tongue


I would prefer Heck to Sandoval actually but if Sandoval can get the job done then so be it.

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Free Bird
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« Reply #21 on: July 31, 2014, 06:39:29 PM »

I don't know IceSpear. He's down 10 right now, in 2014, a Republican-friendly midterm year, in a Republican internal. He has the support of all the casino worker unions, and he even has the casino owners firmly in his pocket (or him in theirs), even Adelson to an extent. Hillary Clinton will be on the top of the ballot against God knows who...

This isn't the most unpopular Reid's been in the past decade.

Just switch your affiliation already, Arlen
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