Silent Hunter's Super Sixty- Seat Prediction Competition
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Author Topic: Silent Hunter's Super Sixty- Seat Prediction Competition  (Read 2636 times)
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« on: April 05, 2005, 08:48:52 AM »

Silent Hunter’s Super Sixty

The rules are simple. Predict who will hold each seat at the end of the night.

You also need to predict what time (London time) Sunderland South will declare- this will be the time “Lab Hold Sunderland South” appears on the screen- and the overall number of Labour seats: these will be used as tiebreakers.

The seats:

Brent East
Bethnal Green and Bow
Dorset West
Hornchurch
Braintree
Leicester South
Ynys Mon
Birmingham Hodge Hill
Folkestone and Hythe
Hartlepool
Cardiff Central
Ilford North
Peterborough
Linlithgow
Cheadle
Finchley and Golders Green
Erewash
Islington South and Finsbury
Edinburgh South West
Stockton South
Sedgefield
Wyre Forest
Hove
Ipswich
Ogmore
Ochil and South Perthshire
Colchester
Keighley
Dumfries and Galloway
Sheffield Hallam
Jarrow
Thurrock
Castle Point
Ceredigon
Wantage
Altrincham and Sale
Norfolk North
Basildon
Monmouth
Taunton
Southwark and Bermondsey
Ross, Skye and Lochaber
Birmingham Yardley
The Wrekin
Clywd West
Dorset South
Shrewsbury and Atcham
Dartford
Welwyn Hatfield
Surrey West
Romsey
Perth and North Perthshire
Hammersmith and Fulham
Newry and Armagh
Gloucester
Stroud
Stourbridge
Worcester
Weston-super-Mare
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2005, 06:07:07 AM »

I'm not at all sure about some of these, but what the hell...

Brent East: Labour
Bethnal Green and Bow: Labour
Dorset West: LibDem
Hornchurch: Tory
Braintree: Tory
Leicester South: Labour
Ynys Mon: Don't really know... a lot of people on the island are non-partisan and just turnout and vote anyways... making it impossible to predict. Hmm... seeing as incumbents don't lose that often in rural Wales; Labour
Birmingham Hodge Hill: Labour
Folkestone and Hythe: Tory Sad
Hartlepool: Labour
Cardiff Central: LibDem (although it'll be closer than I'd have guessed a few months back)
Ilford North: Tory
Peterborough: Tory
Linlithgow: Labour
Cheadle: hmm... I'll guess LibDem
Finchley and Golders Green: Labour
Erewash: Labour (but Mr Orange Face confuses things)
Islington South and Finsbury: Labour
Edinburgh South West: Labour
Stockton South: Labour
Sedgefield: Labour
Wyre Forest: The Doctor
Hove: Tory
Ipswich: Labour
Ogmore: Labour
Ochil and South Perthshire: SNP Sad
Colchester: LD
Keighley: Labour
Dumfries and Galloway: Tory (I think...)
Sheffield Hallam: LD
Jarrow: Labour
Thurrock: Labour
Castle Point: NSDAP-Canvey Island Branch (Bob Spink)
Ceredigon: PC Sad
Wantage: Tory
Altrincham and Sale: Tory
Norfolk North: LD (although I'm hoping the Labour vote revives itself...)
Basildon: Labour
Monmouth: Tory
Taunton: Logic (a Tory hold) clashes with inside info (LD gain). Bahh... a hate Flook so; LD
Southwark and Bermondsey: Tammany Hall hold Sad
Ross, Skye and Lochaber: LD
Birmingham Yardley: J.Hemming Ego Party gain Sad
The Wrekin: Labour
Clywd West: Tory
Dorset South: Tory Sad
Shrewsbury and Atcham: Labour
Dartford: Labour
Welwyn Hatfield: Tory
Surrey West: LD
Romsey: Tory
Perth and North Perthshire: SNP Sad
Hammersmith and Fulham: Tory
Newry and Armagh: SF Sad
Gloucester: Labour
Stroud: Labour
Stourbridge: Tory
Worcester: Labour
Weston-super-Mare: Tory

I'm probably wrong with most of these. Oh well.
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ATFFL
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2005, 07:20:03 AM »

60?  ANd with more than two parties?

Are you trying to kill my dog?
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2005, 07:16:20 PM »


Ha, that's cute. The dog randomizer test never fails!
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ATFFL
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2005, 07:27:33 PM »


Ha, that's cute. The dog randomizer test never fails!

He was perfect in the '04 Senate.  Absolutely perfect.
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Emsworth
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: April 21, 2005, 08:11:43 PM »

Brent East - Lib Dem
Bethnal Green and Bow - Labour
Dorset West - Lib Dem
Hornchurch - Labour
Braintree - Tory
Leicester South - Lib Dem
Ynys Mon - Labour
Birmingham Hodge Hill - Labour
Folkestone and Hythe - Tory
Hartlepool - Lib Dem
Cardiff Central - Lib Dem
Ilford North - Tory
Peterborough - Tory
Linlithgow - Labour
Cheadle - Tory
Finchley and Golders Green - Labour
Erewash - Labour
Islington South and Finsbury - Labour
Edinburgh South West - Labour
Stockton South - Labour
Sedgefield - Labour (of course!)
Wyre Forest - IKHH
Hove - Labour
Ipswich - Labour
Ogmore - Labour
Ochil and South Perthshire - Labour
Colchester - Lib Dem
Keighley - Labour
Dumfries and Galloway - Tory
Sheffield Hallam - Lib Dem
Jarrow - Labour
Thurrock - Labour
Castle Point - Tory
Ceredigion - Plaid Cymru
Wantage - Tory
Altrincham and Sale - Tory
Norfolk North - Tory
Basildon - Labour
Monmouth - Tory
Taunton - Lib Dem
Southwark and Bermondsey - Lib Dem
Ross, Skye and Lochaber - Lib Dem
Birmingham Yardley - Labour
The Wrekin - Labour
Clwyd West - Labour
Dorset South - Tory
Shrewsbury and Atcham - Labour
Dartford - Labour
Welwyn Hatfield - Lib Dem
Surrey West - Lib Dem
Romsey - Lib Dem
Perth and North Perthshire - SNP
Hammersmith and Fulham - Labour
Newry and Armagh - SD&LP
Gloucester - Labour
Stroud - Labour
Stourbridge - Labour
Worcester - Labour
Weston-super-Mare - Tory

Labour: 382 seats
Sunderland South: 22:44 BST
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #6 on: April 22, 2005, 04:59:48 AM »

Brent East - LD
Bethnal Green and Bow - Labour
Dorset West - LD
Hornchurch - Con
Braintree - Con
Leicester South - LD
Ynys Mon - Labour
Birmingham Hodge Hill - Labour
Folkestone and Hythe - Con
Hartlepool - Labour
Cardiff Central - LD
Ilford North - Con
Peterborough - Labour
Linlithgow - Labour
Cheadle - LD
Finchley and Golders Green - Labour
Erewash - Labour
Islington South and Finsbury - LD Grin
Edinburgh South West - Labour
Stockton South - Labour
Sedgefield - Labour ;(
Wyre Forest - ind
Hove - Con
Ipswich - Labour
Ogmore - Labour
Ochil and South Perthshire - SNP
Colchester - LD
Keighley - Labour (thanks to Nick Griffin only)
Dumfries and Galloway - Con
Sheffield Hallam - LD
Jarrow - Labour
Thurrock - Labour
Castle Point - Con
Ceredigion - PC
Wantage - Con
Altrincham and Sale West - Con
Norfolk North - LD
Basildon - Labour
Monmouth - Labour (just because everybody else is predicting a Tory gain here)
Taunton - LD
Southwark and Bermondsey - LD
Ross, Skye and Lochaber - LD
Birmingham Yardley - LD
The Wrekin - Labour
Clywd West - Labour. Keeping the Tories out of Wales you see Grin
Dorset South - Labour
Shrewsbury and Atcham - Labour
Dartford - Con
Welwyn Hatfield - Con
Surrey West - Con
Romsey - LD
Perth and North Perthshire - SNP
Hammersmith and Fulham - Labour
Newry and Armagh - SF
Gloucester - Labour
Stroud - Con
Stourbridge - Labour
Worcester - Labour
Weston-super-Mare - LD

Sunderland South 22:43
Labour seats...er...I'd have to count'em...say 357 seats.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #7 on: May 06, 2005, 05:07:15 AM »

Al:
I'm not at all sure about some of these, but what the hell...

Brent East: Labour FALSE
Bethnal Green and Bow: Labour FALSE
Dorset West: LibDem FALSE
Hornchurch: Tory
Braintree: Tory
Leicester South: Labour
Ynys Mon: Don't really know... a lot of people on the island are non-partisan and just turnout and vote anyways... making it impossible to predict. Hmm... seeing as incumbents don't lose that often in rural Wales; Labour
Birmingham Hodge Hill: Labour
Folkestone and Hythe: Tory Sad
Hartlepool: Labour
Cardiff Central: LibDem (although it'll be closer than I'd have guessed a few months back)
Ilford North: Tory
Peterborough: Tory
Linlithgow: Labour
Cheadle: hmm... I'll guess LibDem
Finchley and Golders Green: Labour
Erewash: Labour (but Mr Orange Face confuses things)
Islington South and Finsbury: Labour
Edinburgh South West: Labour
Stockton South: Labour
Sedgefield: Labour
Wyre Forest: The Doctor
Hove: Tory FALSE
Ipswich: Labour
Ogmore: Labour
Ochil and South Perthshire: SNP Sad FALSE
Colchester: LD
Keighley: Labour
Dumfries and Galloway: Tory (I think...) FALSE
Sheffield Hallam: LD
Jarrow: Labour
Thurrock: Labour
Castle Point: NSDAP-Canvey Island Branch (Bob Spink)
Ceredigon: PC Sad FALSE
Wantage: Tory
Altrincham and Sale: Tory
Norfolk North: LD (although I'm hoping the Labour vote revives itself...)
Basildon: Labour
Monmouth: Tory
Taunton: Logic (a Tory hold) clashes with inside info (LD gain). Bahh... a hate Flook so; LD
Southwark and Bermondsey: Tammany Hall hold Sad
Ross, Skye and Lochaber: LD
Birmingham Yardley: J.Hemming Ego Party gain Sad
The Wrekin: Labour FALSE
Clywd West: Tory
Dorset South: Tory Sad FALSE
Shrewsbury and Atcham: Labour FALSE
Dartford: Labour
Welwyn Hatfield: Tory
Surrey West: LD FALSE
Romsey: Tory FALSE
Perth and North Perthshire: SNP Sad
Hammersmith and Fulham: Tory
Newry and Armagh: SF Sad
Gloucester: Labour
Stroud: Labour
Stourbridge: Tory FALSE
Worcester: Labour
Weston-super-Mare: Tory

I'm probably wrong with most of these. Oh well.

46/59, with the Irish one still out.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #8 on: May 06, 2005, 05:09:16 AM »

Emsworth:
Brent East - Lib Dem
Bethnal Green and Bow - Labour FALSE
Dorset West - Lib Dem FALSE
Hornchurch - Labour FALSE
Braintree - Tory
Leicester South - Lib Dem FALSE
Ynys Mon - Labour
Birmingham Hodge Hill - Labour
Folkestone and Hythe - Tory
Hartlepool - Lib Dem
Cardiff Central - Lib Dem
Ilford North - Tory
Peterborough - Tory
Linlithgow - Labour
Cheadle - Tory
Finchley and Golders Green - Labour
Erewash - Labour
Islington South and Finsbury - Labour
Edinburgh South West - Labour
Stockton South - Labour
Sedgefield - Labour (of course!)
Wyre Forest - IKHH
Hove - Labour
Ipswich - Labour
Ogmore - Labour
Ochil and South Perthshire - Labour
Colchester - Lib Dem
Keighley - Labour
Dumfries and Galloway - Tory FALSE
Sheffield Hallam - Lib Dem
Jarrow - Labour
Thurrock - Labour
Castle Point - Tory
Ceredigion - Plaid Cymru FALSE
Wantage - Tory
Altrincham and Sale - Tory
Norfolk North - Tory FALSE
Basildon - Labour
Monmouth - Tory
Taunton - Lib Dem
Southwark and Bermondsey - Lib Dem
Ross, Skye and Lochaber - Lib Dem
Birmingham Yardley - Labour FALSE
The Wrekin - Labour FALSE
Clwyd West - Labour FALSE
Dorset South - Tory FALSE
Shrewsbury and Atcham - Labour FALSE
Dartford - Labour
Welwyn Hatfield - Lib Dem FALSE
Surrey West - Lib Dem FALSE
Romsey - Lib Dem
Perth and North Perthshire - SNP
Hammersmith and Fulham - Labour FALSE
Newry and Armagh - SD&LP
Gloucester - Labour
Stroud - Labour
Stourbridge - Labour
Worcester - Labour
Weston-super-Mare - Tory

Labour: 382 seats
Sunderland South: 22:44 BST

44/59.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #9 on: May 06, 2005, 05:11:28 AM »

Ethelberth:

Brent East                                 LAB FALSE
Bethnal Green and Bow            LAB FALSE
Dorset West                             CON
Hornchurch                               CON
Braintree                                  CON
Leicester South                         LAB
Ynys Mon                                   PC FALSE
Birmingham Hodge Hill               LAB
Folkestone and Hythe               CON
Hartlepool                                  LAB
Cardiff Central                            LAB FALSE
Ilford North                                 LAB FALSE
Peterborough                              LAB FALSE
Linlithgow                                   LAB
Cheadle                                       CON
Finchley and Golders Green         LAB
Erewash                                      LAB
Islington South and Finsbury       LAB
Edinburgh South West                 CON
Stockton South                             LAB
Sedgefield                                    LAB
Wyre Forest                                  IND
Hove                                             LAB
Ipswich                                         LAB
Ogmore                                         LAB
Ochil and South Perthshire            SNP FALSE   
Colchester                                      LD
Keighley                                         LAB
Dumfries and Galloway                   CON FALSE
Sheffield Hallam                              LD
Jarrow                                             LAB
Thurrock                                         LAB   
Castle Point                                    CON
Ceredigon                                       LD
Wantage                                         CON
Altrincham and Sale                         CON
Norfolk North                                   CON FALSE
Basildon                                           LAB
Monmouth                                         LAB FALSE
Taunton                                            CON FALSE
Southwark and Bermondsey             LD
Ross, Skye and Lochaber                 GREENS FALSE
Birmingham Yardley                           LAB FALSE
The Wrekin                                        LAB FALSE
Clywd West                                        CON
Dorset South                                      LAB
Shrewsbury and Atcham                    LAB FALSE  
Dartford                                              LAB
Welwyn Hatfield                                  LAB FALSE
Surrey West                                         CON
Romsey                                               CON FALSE
Perth and North Perthshire                  SNP 
Hammersmith and Fulham                   CON
Newry and Armagh                               SDLP  THERE IS HOPE
Gloucester                                           LAB   
Stroud                                                  LAB
Stourbridge                                          LAB   
Worcester                                            CON
Weston-super-Mare                             CON

42/59
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #10 on: May 06, 2005, 05:13:20 AM »

meself:

Brent East - LD
Bethnal Green and Bow - Labour FALSE
Dorset West - LD FALSE
Hornchurch - Con
Braintree - Con
Leicester South - LD FALSE
Ynys Mon - Labour
Birmingham Hodge Hill - Labour
Folkestone and Hythe - Con
Hartlepool - Labour
Cardiff Central - LD
Ilford North - Con
Peterborough - Labour FALSE
Linlithgow - Labour
Cheadle - LD
Finchley and Golders Green - Labour
Erewash - Labour
Islington South and Finsbury - LD Grin FALSE
Edinburgh South West - Labour
Stockton South - Labour
Sedgefield - Labour ;(
Wyre Forest - ind
Hove - Con FALSE
Ipswich - Labour
Ogmore - Labour
Ochil and South Perthshire - SNP FALSE
Colchester - LD
Keighley - Labour (thanks to Nick Griffin only)
Dumfries and Galloway - Con FALSE
Sheffield Hallam - LD
Jarrow - Labour
Thurrock - Labour
Castle Point - Con
Ceredigion - PC FALSE
Wantage - Con
Altrincham and Sale West - Con
Norfolk North - LD
Basildon - Labour
Monmouth - Labour (just because everybody else is predicting a Tory gain here) FALSE
Taunton - LD
Southwark and Bermondsey - LD
Ross, Skye and Lochaber - LD
Birmingham Yardley - LD
The Wrekin - Labour FALSE
Clywd West - Labour. Keeping the Tories out of Wales you see Grin FALSE
Dorset South - Labour
Shrewsbury and Atcham - Labour FALSE
Dartford - Con FALSE
Welwyn Hatfield - Con
Surrey West - Con
Romsey - LD
Perth and North Perthshire - SNP
Hammersmith and Fulham - Labour FALSE
Newry and Armagh - SF
Gloucester - Labour
Stroud - Con FALSE
Stourbridge - Labour
Worcester - Labour
Weston-super-Mare - LD FALSE

42/59.

AL WINS!
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #11 on: May 06, 2005, 08:15:18 AM »


Yay!
Do I win something now? Want prize! Want prize! Grin
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #12 on: May 06, 2005, 08:23:54 AM »

You can have either a virtual pat on the head from me, or a George Galloway campaign poster. If you pick the latter, though, you'll have to pick it up at Respect headquarters yourself. Tell them I sent you.
Cheesy
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #13 on: May 06, 2005, 08:38:11 AM »

I'll take the virtual pat on the head
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #14 on: May 06, 2005, 08:49:25 AM »

Thought so...here you are.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #15 on: May 08, 2005, 12:08:20 PM »

I was going to mark these myself, but since Lewis has already done so, I'll accept his marks.

Well done Al!
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