New Brunswick: September 22, 2014
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Author Topic: New Brunswick: September 22, 2014  (Read 12896 times)
Poirot
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« Reply #75 on: September 13, 2014, 08:33:44 PM »
Forum Research has the Liberals at 42%, PC 32%, NDP 13%.

http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/140/liberal-lead-tightens-in-new-brunswick/
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #76 on: September 13, 2014, 10:42:41 PM »
I'm glad they finally have regional breaks, but I have no idea which region Northern NB fits in. I'm going to assume Moncton / East Coast contains all of Northern New Brunswick.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #77 on: September 16, 2014, 01:53:21 PM »
Maclean's endorses Alward.
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the506
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« Reply #78 on: September 17, 2014, 10:30:23 AM »
Brian Gallant may have had the worst interview in Canadian politics since Stephane Dion, and now the national media is seizing on it:

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2014/09/17/kelly-mcparland-stumble-in-new-brunswick-election-bodes-ill-for-untried-liberal-leaders/
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #79 on: September 17, 2014, 02:39:51 PM »
In over his head, but NB will get what they vote for...
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #80 on: September 17, 2014, 04:29:39 PM »
Quote from: the506 on September 17, 2014, 10:30:23 AM
Brian Gallant may have had the worst interview in Canadian politics since Stephane Dion, and now the national media is seizing on it:

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2014/09/17/kelly-mcparland-stumble-in-new-brunswick-election-bodes-ill-for-untried-liberal-leaders/


Doubt this will change the end result but it should save the Tories a few seats.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #81 on: September 19, 2014, 11:31:44 AM »
CRA: Grits 45 (-3), Tories 36 (+9), NDP 11 (-6).

Godwining makes an appearance.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #82 on: September 19, 2014, 08:52:29 PM »
NDP are choking hard, yet I can't point to anything in particular causing it.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #83 on: September 19, 2014, 08:57:23 PM »
Mills said he thinks voters are returning to their traditional parties.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #84 on: September 19, 2014, 10:09:20 PM »
Quote from: DC Al Fine on September 19, 2014, 08:52:29 PM
NDP are choking hard, yet I can't point to anything in particular causing it.

Downfall-gate?
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Hash
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« Reply #85 on: September 19, 2014, 10:16:03 PM »
It's amusing how all three leaders look like complete tools.
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DL
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« Reply #86 on: September 19, 2014, 10:26:46 PM »
Quote from: Hatman on September 19, 2014, 10:09:20 PM
Quote from: DC Al Fine on September 19, 2014, 08:52:29 PM
NDP are choking hard, yet I can't point to anything in particular causing it.

Downfall-gate?

Almost all the fieldwork was before that even happened.
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andrew_c
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« Reply #87 on: September 20, 2014, 01:49:34 AM »
Quote from: DC Al Fine on September 19, 2014, 08:52:29 PM
NDP are choking hard, yet I can't point to anything in particular causing it.

Is it a shy Tory/shy Liberal effect?
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #88 on: September 20, 2014, 05:48:20 AM »
Quote from: andrew_c on September 20, 2014, 01:49:34 AM
Quote from: DC Al Fine on September 19, 2014, 08:52:29 PM
NDP are choking hard, yet I can't point to anything in particular causing it.

Is it a shy Tory/shy Liberal effect?

I think its what Rogue Beaver was saying: voters returning to their traditional parties. The NDP have almost no base voters in Atlantic Canada. People will vote for a popular NDP leader or candidate, but the NDP doesn't have many habit voters like the Tories or Grits do.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #89 on: September 21, 2014, 05:17:58 PM »
LOL @ this TorStar headline:

Liberals poised for upset in New Brunswick election

Because nothing says upset like leading the polls for 2 years Tongue
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the506
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« Reply #90 on: September 21, 2014, 05:36:54 PM »
In fairness, the national media outlets have to be dragged kicking and screaming into realizing New Brunswick exists.
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the506
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« Reply #91 on: September 21, 2014, 09:15:27 PM »
Forum: 40-40-13.
http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/147/all-tied-up-in-new-brunswick/

Get your popcorn.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #92 on: September 21, 2014, 09:31:09 PM »
« Edited: September 21, 2014, 09:35:52 PM by RogueBeaver »
It's Forum, but whoa if true. I will cackle maniacally if Forum is somehow right.
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jaichind
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« Reply #93 on: September 21, 2014, 09:41:30 PM »
When does the polls close and will there be any web live stream coverage of results ?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #94 on: September 21, 2014, 09:51:39 PM »
8 PM Atlantic. CBC will have a livestream up tomorrow night. I'll be watching on Sun TV.
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Zanas
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« Reply #95 on: September 22, 2014, 06:25:52 AM »
So, yet another case of incumbents pulling through despite awful polling figures until the very last minute ? If so, nobody's ever going to believe provincial polling in any provincial election in Canade...
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #96 on: September 22, 2014, 08:11:41 AM »
308 projects a tossup.
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Hash
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« Reply #97 on: September 22, 2014, 09:28:23 AM »
Quote from: Armand Duval on September 22, 2014, 06:25:52 AM
So, yet another case of incumbents pulling through despite awful polling figures until the very last minute ? If so, nobody's ever going to believe provincial polling in any provincial election in Canade...

I think it's also a case of the Liberal leader being a Biebertrudeau-like dimwit who stumbled throughout the campaign. A nice preview of what will probably happen to the Belieberals in 2015.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #98 on: September 22, 2014, 09:40:40 AM »
Teddy projects a PC win.

8 ridings to watch.
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the506
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« Reply #99 on: September 22, 2014, 10:34:14 AM »
So any predictions?

I'm saying 26 Liberal, 21 PC, 2 NDP.
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