New Brunswick: September 22, 2014
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Author Topic: New Brunswick: September 22, 2014  (Read 12911 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #100 on: September 22, 2014, 10:39:15 AM »
It'll be close.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #101 on: September 22, 2014, 11:15:42 AM »
My final projection: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2014/09/2014-new-brunswick-election-final.html

I admit to not following the election very closely, so I'm not that confident with my numbers. However, I did spend a long time on the transposition numbers, so I know my starting numbers are pretty accurate Tongue

Polls close at 7 Eastern.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #102 on: September 22, 2014, 11:35:24 AM »
I dont understand how 308 can show the Liberals winning the PV but losing the seat count. Not with the concentration of Tory support in the Saint John area. This could be a repeat of 2006.
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DL
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« Reply #103 on: September 22, 2014, 12:04:06 PM »
Quote from: Hatman on September 22, 2014, 11:35:24 AM
I dont understand how 308 can show the Liberals winning the PV but losing the seat count. Not with the concentration of Tory support in the Saint John area. This could be a repeat of 2006.

If anything its the Liberals who may "waste" voted in the Acadian parts of the province and lose narrowly everywhere else
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #104 on: September 22, 2014, 01:53:44 PM »
Quote from: DL on September 22, 2014, 12:04:06 PM
Quote from: Hatman on September 22, 2014, 11:35:24 AM
I dont understand how 308 can show the Liberals winning the PV but losing the seat count. Not with the concentration of Tory support in the Saint John area. This could be a repeat of 2006.

If anything its the Liberals who may "waste" voted in the Acadian parts of the province and lose narrowly everywhere else

Maybe in some ridings, but the Tories still have a few seats with popular incumbents in Acadia. The Liberals only hold 1 seat in Southern New Brunswick.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #105 on: September 22, 2014, 02:04:15 PM »
Electronic tabulation means we'll get results very quickly.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #106 on: September 22, 2014, 04:35:53 PM »
Oh God, that's terrible. At least there's a paper trail.
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the506
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« Reply #107 on: September 22, 2014, 04:48:06 PM »
They've been using it for municipal elections here since 2008. No complaints yet.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #108 on: September 22, 2014, 06:07:52 PM »
Tabulation counting seems to be a disaster.

10 PC, 8 Lib, 4 Green, 1 NDP, 1 People Alliance.

Doesn't make sense.
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Hash
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« Reply #109 on: September 22, 2014, 06:08:19 PM »
Some of these advance polls had one vote cast, so...
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MaxQue
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« Reply #110 on: September 22, 2014, 06:09:27 PM »
Quote from: PASOK Leader Hashemite on September 22, 2014, 06:08:19 PM
Some of these advance polls had one vote cast, so...

That is fishy, too. I can't believe an advance poll with only one voter.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #111 on: September 22, 2014, 06:14:34 PM »
Lead going back and forth.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #112 on: September 22, 2014, 06:16:21 PM »
Quote from: the506 on September 22, 2014, 04:48:06 PM
They've been using it for municipal elections here since 2008. No complaints yet.

We have them here too.
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jaichind
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« Reply #113 on: September 22, 2014, 06:18:32 PM »
So far it is opposite of 308.  CON ahead in seats (or at least competitive) but clearly behind in vote share.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #114 on: September 22, 2014, 06:21:22 PM »
CBC livestream: http://www.cbc.ca/includes/provincialelections/nbvotes2014/dashboard/
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #115 on: September 22, 2014, 06:30:04 PM »
Grits 26 L/E, Tories 23.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #116 on: September 22, 2014, 06:38:07 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on September 22, 2014, 06:18:32 PM
So far it is opposite of 308.  CON ahead in seats (or at least competitive) but clearly behind in vote share.

308 is generally terrible.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #117 on: September 22, 2014, 06:40:56 PM »
24 Lib, 24 PC, 1 People Alliance, right now.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #118 on: September 22, 2014, 06:49:27 PM »
Shock. The lead for People Alliance leader seems real. 413 PANB, 355 PC, 276 Lib!
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MaxQue
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« Reply #119 on: September 22, 2014, 06:51:39 PM »
Quote from: MaxQue on September 22, 2014, 06:49:27 PM
Shock. The lead for People Alliance leader seems real. 413 PANB, 355 PC, 276 Lib!

1108 PA, 751 PC, 633 Lib. It's happening?

What is People Alliance, exactly?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #120 on: September 22, 2014, 06:52:46 PM »
All I'm hoping for is that someone has a workable majority.
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Hash
Hashemite
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« Reply #121 on: September 22, 2014, 06:52:57 PM »

Basically Anglo supremacists masquerading as centrist mad-as-hell populists. In other words, kind of CoR 2.0
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #122 on: September 22, 2014, 06:54:02 PM »
Nutbars. Angry, angry nutbars.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #123 on: September 22, 2014, 06:56:47 PM »
Austin's losing now.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #124 on: September 22, 2014, 06:57:08 PM »

We can breath, PC leads by 60 votes, now.
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