New Brunswick: September 22, 2014

[Zanas]

Here's my first projection: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2014/09/2014-new-brunswick-election-projection.html

If anyone has any ideas for what I should do about Carleton-Victoria, please let me know.

In your model the NDP seems somewhat competitive there being within 15 pts of the Tories. Are voting transfers from the absent Liberals towards the NDP rather the PC a thing in New Brunswick/Canada ?

[Zanas]

So, yet another case of incumbents pulling through despite awful polling figures until the very last minute ? If so, nobody's ever going to believe provincial polling in any provincial election in Canade...

[Zanas]

Well that seems entertaining. I was actually rooting for a PC upset victory in the end, because I despise the Trudeau Liberals so much right now...

So, is this mess going to put electronic voting in question or not ? I mean, all we always hear is "electronic voting gets the results faster !!!!1!11!" but it. isn't. true. Period.

There is a way of counting manually and efficiently and have the result in 2 to 3 hours. We French are always boasting about that, but still we get great results.