WI: Gravis: Tie in Wisconsin

[Miles]

Article.

Walker (R)- 47%
Burke (D)- 47%

Downballot:

SOS

LaFollette (D)- 46%
Bradley (R)- 39%

Treasurer

Melchert (R)- 39%
Leeper (D)- 31%
Hardy (G)- 12%

[Gass3268]

Gravis sucks, but it tilts R if anything. I think its time to move WI-Gov to Toss-Up/Tilt R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It really looks like Walker is gonna lose.

[IceSpear]

Even when Gravis says the exact same thing as other polls, I still don't trust them.

[pbrower2a]

If the election looks close in August in a heavily-unionized state, the Democrat usually wins.

Wisconsin unions will be out for bear -- excuse me, elephant -- in Wisconsin as in Michigan this fall.

[Nhoj]

Why did they not poll AG?

[henster]

Think it's time to move Wisconsin to a tossup most ratings have it as Lean R but poll after poll shows this race as a dead heat.

[Flake]

New Poll: Wisconsin Governor by Gravis Marketing on 2014-08-02

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionsGuy]

We shouldn't just say this is a toss-up because the pollster has a right wing bias. Sometimes terrible posters like this (Rasmussen as well) are all over the place, and I haven't seen a poll with a Burke lead outside the margin of error.

[Mr. Reactionary]

We shouldn't just say this is a toss-up because the pollster has a right wing bias. Sometimes terrible posters like this (Rasmussen as well) are all over the place, and I haven't seen a poll with a Burke lead outside the margin of error.

[NHLiberal]

We shouldn't just say this is a toss-up because the pollster has a right wing bias. Sometimes terrible posters like this (Rasmussen as well) are all over the place, and I haven't seen a poll with a Burke lead outside the margin of error.

Right, that's why we're saying toss-up, not Lean D. It's been quite a while (March) since we've seen a poll with Walker outside the MOE either.

[sg0508]

Keep in mind that in WI, Democrats always seem to get a last second bump due to the "same day registration" issue, which has dogged the GOP there for years.  That fact may have cost Bush the state in '04 (and nearly the presidency had OH fallen to Kerry) and in '10, both GOP wins were far tighter than the final polls and predications showed.