Who will win the Hawaii Democratic Primary?
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  Who will win the Hawaii Democratic Primary?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who will win the Hawaii Democratic Primary?
#1
Neil Abercrombie (D), I		  
#2
David Ige (D)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 49

Author Topic: Who will win the Hawaii Democratic Primary?  (Read 1466 times)
Senator Cris
Cris
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« on: August 07, 2014, 12:32:03 PM »
Who will win the Hawaii Democratic Primary?
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2014, 12:34:25 PM »
Ige by 10-15.
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Vega
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« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2014, 12:34:32 PM »
*Ahem* Tongue

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=196632.0
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2014, 01:26:00 PM »

Sorry. If you want, I can delete this poll.
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Vega
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2014, 01:27:13 PM »

Nah no worries.

Anyway, Ige by 5-7 points.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2014, 01:43:38 PM »
Ige, he (Abercrombie) should be the only incumbent governor to be defeated in a primary this season.
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Vega
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« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2014, 01:47:23 PM »
Who voted that Abercrombie will win? Explain yourself.
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Never
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« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2014, 02:15:06 PM »
Ige, but it is difficult to predict a margin.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
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« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2014, 03:37:49 PM »
Quote from: Never on August 07, 2014, 02:15:06 PM
Ige, but it is difficult to predict a margin.
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Southern Democrat
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« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2014, 03:44:32 PM »
Ige by 6-7, unless late voters swing to the other side.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2014, 03:51:06 PM »
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Vega
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« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2014, 11:05:55 PM »
I have to wonder if the Hurricane and Abercrombie's handling of it will play into the election.
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cinyc
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« Reply #12 on: August 08, 2014, 02:41:15 PM »
Quote from: Vega on August 07, 2014, 11:05:55 PM
I have to wonder if the Hurricane and Abercrombie's handling of it will play into the election.

I am one of the people who voted Abercrombie in this poll because I think his response to the hurricane may put him over the top, despite what the pre-hurricane polling data says.  He's been on TV the past few days "just doing his job".  His opponent has not.
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Vega
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« Reply #13 on: August 08, 2014, 03:12:24 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on August 08, 2014, 02:41:15 PM
Quote from: Vega on August 07, 2014, 11:05:55 PM
I have to wonder if the Hurricane and Abercrombie's handling of it will play into the election.

I am one of the people who voted Abercrombie in this poll because I think his response to the hurricane may put him over the top, despite what the pre-hurricane polling data says.  He's been on TV the past few days "just doing his job".  His opponent has not.

Indeed. This may not win the election for him, but it sure will tighten it.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #14 on: August 10, 2014, 12:02:04 AM »
So long Abercrombie
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #15 on: August 10, 2014, 12:32:27 AM »
Could this be the worst primary loss for an incumbent governor ever if it holds up?
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Vega
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« Reply #16 on: August 10, 2014, 12:32:59 AM »
Quote from: asexual trans victimologist on August 10, 2014, 12:32:27 AM
Could this be the worst primary loss for an incumbent governor ever if it holds up?

Definitely in modern years.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: August 10, 2014, 01:22:30 AM »
Quote from: Vega on August 10, 2014, 12:32:59 AM
Quote from: asexual trans victimologist on August 10, 2014, 12:32:27 AM
Could this be the worst primary loss for an incumbent governor ever if it holds up?

Definitely in modern years.

Jim Gibbons lost his primary 56-27 in 2010. We'll see if Abercrombie can crack that.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #18 on: August 10, 2014, 01:23:23 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 10, 2014, 01:22:30 AM
Quote from: Vega on August 10, 2014, 12:32:59 AM
Quote from: asexual trans victimologist on August 10, 2014, 12:32:27 AM
Could this be the worst primary loss for an incumbent governor ever if it holds up?

Definitely in modern years.

Jim Gibbons lost his primary 56-27 in 2010.

This is a wider margin than that so far, though Gibbons's percentage was lower.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #19 on: August 10, 2014, 01:42:18 AM »
Frank Murkowski got third when running for re-election for Governor of Alaska, with only 19% of the vote to Palin's 51%. That's the closest I could find to what looks like an amazing defeat in Hawaii.
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CountyTy90
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« Reply #20 on: August 10, 2014, 11:28:08 AM »
This is a little farther back, but Rhode Island governor Bruce Sundlun lost his 1994 primary to Myrth York. She got 57.2% to his 27.7%, an almost 30 point defeat.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #21 on: August 10, 2014, 01:06:38 PM »
Seems like all the news outlets are characterizing this as a stunner, but check out the forum poll results on this thread. Pat on the back Atlas forumites.
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Vega
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« Reply #22 on: August 10, 2014, 01:11:15 PM »
Quote from: Joshua on August 10, 2014, 01:06:38 PM
Seems like all the news outlets are characterizing this as a stunner, but check out the forum poll results on this thread. Pat on the back Atlas forumites.

They must be doing that for dramatic effect, it's been clear since at least June that Ige was going to win.
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