Who will win the Hawaii Democratic Primary?
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  Who will win the Hawaii Democratic Primary?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who will win the Hawaii Democratic Primary?
#1
Brian Schatz (D), I		  
#2
Colleen Hanabusa (D)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 55

Author Topic: Who will win the Hawaii Democratic Primary?  (Read 2888 times)
Senator Cris
Cris
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« on: August 09, 2014, 08:48:58 AM »
Who will win?
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2014, 08:56:25 AM »
Schatz 53%
Hanabusa 46.7%
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Vega
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« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2014, 09:09:10 AM »
Schatz by a couple points.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #3 on: August 09, 2014, 09:36:30 AM »
Hanabusa narrowly.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2014, 10:55:17 AM »
My prediction:

Schatz (D), I : 52%
Hanabusa (D) : 48%
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2014, 10:55:48 AM »
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Flake
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« Reply #6 on: August 09, 2014, 12:45:17 PM »
It's very tough to predict, I don't know who will win, gun to my head, Schatz, but Hawaii polling usually has pretty poor Asian responses and Hanabusa seems to be the favorite among that demographic. I predict the race will be within 2%.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #7 on: August 09, 2014, 01:16:53 PM »
The Republican
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Miles
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« Reply #8 on: August 09, 2014, 02:40:22 PM »
Hanabusa- 52%
Schatz- 48%
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #9 on: August 09, 2014, 02:40:43 PM »
I want Hanabusa to win, but most likely Schatz will.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #10 on: August 09, 2014, 02:53:30 PM »
I am hopeful that Hanabusa will win. Her campaign has gained momentum in recent weeks.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #11 on: August 09, 2014, 04:05:43 PM »
Schatz, yet narrowly.  He'll win with less than 52%.

LOL if they only senate incumbent defeated this cycle is a democrat

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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #12 on: August 09, 2014, 05:02:55 PM »
Quote from: Del Tachi on August 09, 2014, 04:05:43 PM

LOL if they only senate incumbent defeated this cycle is a democrat

And to a more conservative challenger. Go figure.
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ShadowRocket
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« Reply #13 on: August 09, 2014, 05:07:43 PM »
Schatz by 1-2%
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Suburbia
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« Reply #14 on: August 09, 2014, 05:17:31 PM »
Schatz 52.5%
Hanabusa 48.3%
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TDAS04
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« Reply #15 on: August 09, 2014, 05:30:34 PM »
Schatz narrowly. 
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: August 09, 2014, 07:14:46 PM »
52% Schatz
44% Hanabusa
4% Evans
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Horus
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« Reply #17 on: August 09, 2014, 08:09:38 PM »
I hope I'm wrong, but,

Hanabusa - 49%
Schatz - 48%
Other - 3%
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #18 on: August 09, 2014, 08:12:53 PM »
Schatz 51-45.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #19 on: August 09, 2014, 08:13:33 PM »
Hanabusa barely. Those guys love Inouye, and even the crappy Hawaii polls have shown it all over the place.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #20 on: August 09, 2014, 08:21:21 PM »
I'm hoping Schatz, but my gut says Hanabusa by 2%.
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #21 on: August 09, 2014, 08:22:42 PM »
Hopefully Schatz. Really not comfortable making a prediction here
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Free Bird
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« Reply #22 on: August 09, 2014, 08:34:20 PM »
Quote from: NHLiberal on August 09, 2014, 08:22:42 PM
Hopefully Schatz. Really not comfortable making a prediction here

Well the polls are really schizophrenic
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #23 on: August 09, 2014, 08:46:26 PM »
Quote from: FreedomHawk on August 09, 2014, 08:34:20 PM
Quote from: NHLiberal on August 09, 2014, 08:22:42 PM
Hopefully Schatz. Really not comfortable making a prediction here

Well the polls are really schizophrenic

Yeah, that's partially why. If anything they undersample Asian-American voters, which worries me a lot.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #24 on: August 09, 2014, 08:52:37 PM »
Quote from: Del Tachi on August 09, 2014, 04:05:43 PM
Schatz, yet narrowly.  He'll win with less than 52%.

LOL if they only senate incumbent defeated this cycle is a democrat

In any case, the 3 strongest primary challenges against incumbents (Schatz, Roberts, and Cochran) have all been from the right.
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