Election Night 2014 Timeline

Senator Cris
Cris
Junior Chimp

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Election Night 2014 Timeline

« on: August 11, 2014, 07:26:40 AM »

Poll closing times --> http://www.270towin.com/closing.php

Dem (+ Ind) 34 Rep 30

7.00 PM

Georgia - Too Close to Call
Kentucky - Too Close to Call
South Carolina - Projected for Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina Special - Projected for Tim Scott (R)
Virginia - Projected for Mark Warner (D)

Dem 35 Rep 32

7.30 PM

North Carolina - Too Close to Call
West Virginia - Too Close to Call

Dem 35 Rep 32

8.00 PM

Alabama - Projected for Jeff Sessions (R)
Delaware - Projected for Chris Coons (D)
Illinois - Projected for Dick Durbin (D)
Maine - Projected for Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts - Projected for Ed Markey (D)
Mississippi - Projected for Thad Cochran (R)
New Hampshire - Too Early to Call
New Jersey - Projected for Cory Booker (D)
Oklahoma - Projected for Jim Inhofe (R)
Oklahoma Special - Projected for James Lankford (R)
Rhode Island - Projected for Jack Reed (D)
Tennessee - Projected for Lamar Alexander (R)

Dem 40 Rep 38

8.30 PM

Arkansas - Too Close to Call
West Virginia - Projected for Shelley Moore Capito (R)

Dem 40 Rep 39

9.00 PM

Colorado - Too Close to Call
Kansas - Projected for Pat Roberts (R)
Louisiana - Runoff
Michigan - Too Close to Call
Minnesota - Too Early to Call
Nebraska - Projected for Ben Sasse (R)
New Mexico - Projected for Tom Udall (D)
South Dakota - Projected for Mike Rounds (R)
Texas - Projected for John Cornyn (R)
Wyoming - Projected for Mike Enzi (R)
New Hampshire - Projected for Jeanne Shaheen (D)

Rep 44 Dem 42

10.00 PM

Iowa - Too Close to Call
Montana - Projected for Steve Daines (R)
Minnesota - Projected for Al Franken (D)

Rep 45 Dem 43

10.30 PM

Georgia - Projected for David Perdue (R)
Michigan - Projected for Gary Peters (D)

Rep 46 Dem 44

11.00 PM

Hawaii - Projected for Brian Schatz (D)
Idaho - Projected for Jim Risch (R)
Oregon - Too Early too Call

Rep 47 Dem 45

11.20 PM

Oregon - Projected for Jeff Merkley (D)
Arkansas - Projected for Tom Cotton (R)

Rep 48 Dem 46

0.00 AM

Kentucky - Projected for Mitch McConnel (R)

Rep 49 Dem 46

0.30 AM

Colorado - Projected for Mark Udall (D)

Rep 49 Dem 47

1.00 AM

Alaska - Too Close to Call

Rep 49 Dem 47

1.30 AM

Iowa - Projected for Bruce Braley (D)
North Carolina - Projected for Kay Hagan (D)

Rep 49 Dem 49

7.00 AM

Alaska - Projected for Mark Begich (D) - Senate projected for Democrats

Dem 50 Rep 49

What do you think? Your timeline?

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Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,688

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2014, 10:59:59 AM »

Democratic Coalition: 34
Republicans: 30

7:00 PM
Georgia: Too close to call
Kentucky: Too close to call
South Carolina: Projected for Lindsey Graham
South Carolina (S): Projected for Tim Scott
Virginia: Projected for Mark Warner

Democratic Coalition: 35
Republicans: 32

7:30 PM
North Carolina: Too close to call
West Virginia: Projected for Shelley Moore Capito

Democratic Coalition: 35
Republicans: 33

8:00 PM
Alabama: Projected for Jeff Sessions
Delaware: Projected for Chris Coons
Illinois: Projected for Dick Durbin
Maine: Projected for Susan Collins
Massachusetts: Projected for Ed Markey
Mississippi: Projected for Thad Cochran
New Hampshire: Projected for Jeanne Shaheen
New Jersey: Projected for Cory Booker
Oklahoma: Projected for Jim Inhofe
Oklahoma (S): Projected for James Lankford
Rhode Island: Projected for Jack Reed
Tennessee: Projected for Lamar Alexander

Democratic Coalition: 41
Republicans: 38

8:30 PM
Arkansas: Too early to call, Tom Cotton leading

Democratic Coalition: 41
Republicans: 39

9:00 PM
Arkansas: Projected for Tom Cotton
Colorado: Too close to call
Kansas: Projected for Pat Roberts
Louisiana: Runoff
Michigan: Projected for Gary Peters
Minnesota: Projected for Al Franken
Nebraska: Projected for Ben Sasse
New Mexico: Projected for Tom Udall
South Dakota: Projected for Mike Rounds
Texas: Projected for John Cornyn
Wyoming: Projected for Mike Enzi

Democratic Coalition: 44
Republicans: 45

10:00 PM
Iowa: Too close to call
Montana: Projected for Steve Daines
North Carolina: Projected for Kay Hagan

Democratic Coalition: 45
Republicans: 46

10:30 PM
Colorado: Projected for Mark Udall

Democratic Coalition: 46
Republicans: 46

11:00 PM
Hawaii: Projected for Brian Schatz
Idaho: Projected for Jim Risch
Oregon: Projected for Jeff Merkley

Democratic Coalition: 48
Republicans: 47

12:00 AM
Georgia: Projected for Michelle Nunn

Democratic Coalition: 49
Republicans: 47

12:30 AM
Iowa: Projected for Bruce Braley

Democratic Coalition: 50 ✓
Republicans: 47

1:00 AM
Alaska: Too early to call, Mark Begich leading
Kentucky: Projected for Alison Lundergan Grimes

Democratic Coalition: 51 ✓
Republicans: 47

2:00 AM
Alaska: Projected for Mark Begich

Democratic Coalition: 52 ✓
Republicans: 47

December 6th
Louisiana: Projected for Bill Cassidy

Democrats: 50
Republicans: 48
Independents: 2

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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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Posts: 11,230

	Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline « Reply #2 on: August 11, 2014, 03:07:46 PM »
	« Edited: August 11, 2014, 03:11:07 PM by Castro2020 »

Democrats: 34* (with 2 Independents)
Republicans: 30

7:00 PM
Georgia: Too close to call
Kentucky: Too close to call
South Carolina: Projected for Lindsey Graham
South Carolina (S): Projected for Tim Scott
Virginia: Projected for Mark Warner

Democrats: 35
Republicans: 32

7:30 PM
North Carolina: Too close to call
West Virginia: Projected for Shelley Moore Capito

Democrats: 35
Republicans: 33

8:00 PM
Alabama: Projected for Jeff Sessions
Delaware: Projected for Chris Coons
Illinois: Projected for Dick Durbin
Maine: Projected for Susan Collins
Massachusetts: Projected for Ed Markey
Mississippi: Projected for Thad Cochran
New Hampshire: Projected for Jeanne Shaheen
New Jersey: Projected for Cory Booker
Oklahoma: Projected for Jim Inhofe
Oklahoma (S): Projected for James Lankford
Rhode Island: Projected for Jack Reed
Tennessee: Projected for Lamar Alexander

Democrats: 41
Republicans: 39

8:30 PM
Arkansas: Too close to call

Democrats: 41
Republicans: 39

9:00 PM
Arkansas: Projected for Tom Cotton
Colorado: Too close to call
Kansas: Projected for Pat Roberts
Louisiana: Runoff (Landrieu 48%, Cassidy 35%)
Michigan: Projected for Gary Peters
Minnesota: Projected for Al Franken
Nebraska: Projected for Ben Sasse
New Mexico: Projected for Tom Udall
South Dakota: Projected for Mike Rounds
Texas: Projected for John Cornyn
Wyoming: Projected for Mike Enzi

Democrats: 44
Republicans: 45

10:00 PM
Iowa: Too close to call
Montana: Projected for Steve Daines
North Carolina: Projected for Kay Hagan

Democrats 45
Republicans: 46

10:30 PM
Colorado: Projected for Mark Udall
Kentucky: Projected for Alison Grimes

Democrats: 47
Republicans: 46

11:00 PM
Hawaii: Projected for Brian Schatz
Idaho: Projected for Jim Risch
Oregon: Projected for Jeff Merkley
Iowa: Projected for Bruce Braley (Tipping Point)

Democrats: 50
Republicans: 47

12:00 AM
Georgia: Runoff (Nunn 49%, Perdue 49%)

Democrats: 50
Republicans: 47

1:00 AM
Alaska: Too close to call

Democrats: 50
Republicans: 47

2:00 AM
Alaska: Projected for Mark Begich

Democrats: 51
Republicans: 47

December 2nd
Georgia: Projected for David Perdue

Democrats: 51
Republicans: 48

December 6th
Louisiana: Projected for Mary Landrieu

Democrats: 50
Republicans: 48
Independents: 2

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NHLiberal
Jr. Member

Posts: 790

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2014, 03:25:26 PM »

Quote from: Castro2020 on August 11, 2014, 03:07:46 PM

Agree with this 100% except that Cassidy, not Landrieu, will win the runoff, resulting in a 51-49 Senate.

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ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,106

Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2014, 05:21:35 PM »

It starts out before the polls close:

Democrats: 34 (WITH Independents)
Republicans: 30

7:00 PM:

Georgia: Too Close to Call
Kentucky: Too Close to Call
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham projected winner
South Carolina (S): Tim Scott projected winner
Virginia: Mark Warner projected winner

Democrats: 35
Republicans: 32

7:30 PM:

North Carolina: Too Close to Call
West Virginia: Too Early with Capito lead

Democrats: 35
Republicans: 32

7:50 PM

West Virginia: Called for Shelley Capito (R+1)

Democrats: 35
Republicans: 33

8:00 PM

Alabama: Jeff Sessions projected winner
Delaware: Chris Coons projected winner
Illinois: Dick Durbin projected winner
Maine: Susan Collins projected winner
Massachusetts: Ed Markey projected winner
Mississippi: Thad Cochran projected winner
New Hampshire: Too Early with Shaheen lead
New Jersey: Cory Booker projected winner
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe projected winner
Oklahoma (S): James Lankford projected winner
Rhode Island: Jack Reed projected winner
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander projected winner

Democrats: 40
Republicans: 39

8:30 PM:

Arkansas: Too Close to Call

Democrats: 40
Republicans: 39

8:45 PM:

New Hampshire: Called for Jeane Shaheen

Democrats: 41
Republicans: 39

8:55 PM:

Georgia: Called for David Perdue

Democrats: 41
Republicans: 40

9:00 PM:

Colorado: Too Close to Call
Kansas: Pat Roberts projected winner
Louisiana: Too Close to Call
Michigan: Too Early with Peters lead
Minnesota: Too Early with Franken lead
Nebraska: Ben Sasse projected winner
New Mexico: Tom Udall projected winner
South Dakota: Mike Rounds projected winner (R+1)
Texas: John Cornyn projected winner
Wyoming: Mike Enzi projected winner

Republicans: 45
Democrats: 42

9:15 PM:

Kentucky: Called for Mitch McConnell

Republicans: 46
Democrats: 42

9:35 PM:

Minnesota: Called for Al Franken

Republicans: 46
Democrats: 43

9:50 PM:

Michigan: Called for Gary Peters

Republicans: 46
Democrats: 44

10:00 PM:

Iowa: Too Close to Call
Montana: Steve Daines projected winner (R+1)

Republicans: 47
Democrats: 44

10:10 PM:

Arkansas: Called for Tom Cotton (R+1)

Republicans: 48
Democrats: 44

10:35 PM:

North Carolina: Called for Kay Hagan

Republicans: 48
Democrats: 45

10:40 PM:

Colorado: Called for Mark Udall

Republicans: 48
Democrats: 46

11:00 PM:

Hawaii (S): Brian Schatz projected winner
Idaho: Jim Risch projected winner
Oregon: Jeff Merkley projected winner

Republicans: 49
Democrats: 48

11:15 PM:

Iowa: Called for Bruce Braley
Louisiana: Projected to go to runoff

Republicans: 49
Democrats: 49

1:00 AM:

Alaska: Too Close to Call

Republicans: 49
Democrats: 49

3:20 AM:

Alaska: Called for Dan Sullivan (R+1)

Republicans: 50
Democrats: 49

December 6th, 2014

9:00 PM:

Louisiana: Too Close to Call

Republicans: 50
Democrats: 49

10:55 PM:

Louisiana: Bill Cassidy projected winner (R+1)

Republicans: 51
Democrats: 49

Republicans Take Control of Senate with 51 Republicans, 47 Democrats, and 2 Independents.

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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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Posts: 11,230

	Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline « Reply #5 on: August 11, 2014, 06:12:04 PM »
	« Edited: August 11, 2014, 06:13:36 PM by Castro2020 »

Quote from: NHLiberal on August 11, 2014, 03:25:26 PM

Agree with this 100% except that Cassidy, not Landrieu, will win the runoff, resulting in a 51-49 Senate.

I'm thinking that Landrieu manages to survive the runoff in this situation since Democrats have already won the Senate and Republicans lose a major driving force, causing Republican spending and turnout to decrease.

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Vega
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,253

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2014, 06:16:10 PM »

Quote from: ElectionsGuy on August 11, 2014, 05:21:35 PM

This. I think Mark Begich will win Alaska, which will mean a 50/50 tie in the Senate, with Vice President Biden breaking the tie in the Democrats favor.

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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,917

Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2014, 07:24:11 PM »

Bit optimistic for Democrats

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Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,688

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2014, 07:37:47 PM »

That's 102 senators

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Vosem
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2014, 07:42:55 PM »

Quote from: Flo on August 11, 2014, 07:37:47 PM

That's 102 senators

He neglected to mention that Puerto Rico will be admitted to the Union before Election Day.

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Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp

Posts: 8,688

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #10 on: August 11, 2014, 07:45:40 PM »

Quote from: Vosem on August 11, 2014, 07:42:55 PM

Quote from: Flo on August 11, 2014, 07:37:47 PM

That's 102 senators

He neglected to mention that Puerto Rico will be admitted to the Union before Election Day.

No way the Republicans would win both of PR's seats.

51-51 split

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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,917

Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #11 on: August 11, 2014, 07:49:39 PM »

Quote from: Vosem on August 11, 2014, 07:42:55 PM

Quote from: Flo on August 11, 2014, 07:37:47 PM

That's 102 senators

He neglected to mention that Puerto Rico will be admitted to the Union before Election Day.

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SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
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Posts: 13,309

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #12 on: August 11, 2014, 07:51:16 PM »

Virginia won't be called immediately. Virginia had a weird obsession with counting the most conservative counties first

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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star

Posts: 21,106

Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #13 on: August 12, 2014, 01:23:05 PM »

Quote from: Speaker SWE on August 11, 2014, 07:51:16 PM

Virginia won't be called immediately. Virginia had a weird obsession with counting the most conservative counties first

Even with that, it would start out with at most a slight Gillespie lead and the press will call it very quickly.

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #14 on: August 12, 2014, 01:44:05 PM »

Quote from: ElectionsGuy on August 12, 2014, 01:23:05 PM

Quote from: Speaker SWE on August 11, 2014, 07:51:16 PM

Virginia won't be called immediately. Virginia had a weird obsession with counting the most conservative counties first

Even with that, it would start out with at most a slight Gillespie lead and the press will call it very quickly.

Depends on how quickly Virginia counts and what the exit poll says. If the exit poll shows Warner +18 or greater, then it will be called immediately by all networks (you have to win by about 15 points as a democrat in VA to be leading at the very start (or very close to it) of the count, the extra three points I added there is to account for extra cautiousness on some networks). Otherwise, it won't be called by all networks until Warner takes the lead in the raw vote, and the amount of time that will take to happen depends not only on his margin but also how fast Virginia counts this year.

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IceSpear
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Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline

« Reply #15 on: August 12, 2014, 03:48:25 PM »

Quote from: Speaker SWE on August 11, 2014, 07:51:16 PM

Virginia won't be called immediately. Virginia had a weird obsession with counting the most conservative counties first

I don't think that will matter, considering Warner will win by double digits, and usually races like that are called with 0% in.

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